Newton Leroy Gingrich has finally bowed out of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential contest leaving perennial hopeful Willard Mitt Romney and the other guy; but Willard still has yet to capture the magic 1,144 delegates to officially make him the nominee.
The regular season primary wins to date: Romney 26; Ron “Somebody or Other” 0 and anyone but Romney 12.
The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 865; other than Romney 414 and Paul 93.
The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:
Other than Romney 5,780,644
Although Willard’s still the presumptive nominee, it’ still (week after week) a big fat hairy fact, there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:
Anyone but Romney 7,116,466 (58%)
Romney 5,228,676 (42%)
That’s right sports fans; Willard’s only managing 42% of his own party’s vote to date; the President must be truly terrified by the amount of support Romney’s garnering.
So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen); but interestingly enough, the most current Rasmussen Tracking poll of likely voters conducted 01-03 May 12; if the general election were held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 45
However, if you eliminate the traditional five point slant towards the conservative side of Rasmussen’s polling the real numbers are probably somewhere around:
President Obama 52/Romney 45
If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.
How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers: