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Tag Archives: 2012 Super Tuesday

Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Kansas Caucus) 9 Mar 12 Edition

Super Tuesday has come and gone, that magic time every four years when cat fights turn to dog fights, when the dust is thick and heavy and when it clears there’s usually a clear indicator of who will win their party’s nomination – usually. But this year it’s different, this year we have the hybrid Republican Tea Party (GOTP) types running to the polls to decide for which of the four horsemen of the GOPocalypse they hope will win the presidential nomination. So, how’d they score?

Romney won Alaska’s Proportional Caucus (8 delegates), Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus (32 delegates), Massachusetts’s Proportional Primary (38 delegates) and Ohio’s Proportional Primary (35 delegates), Vermont’s Hybrid Primary (9 delegates) and Virginia’s Hybrid Primary (43 delegates); additional delegates won = 43; total delegates won = 208

Santorum won North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus (11 delegates), Oklahoma’s Proportional Primary (14 delegates) and Tennessee’s Proportional Primary (25 delegates); additional delegates won = 34; total delegates won = 84

Gingrich won Georgia’s Proportional Primary (42 delegates); additional delegates won = 26; total delegates won = 68

Paul won = 21 delegates

So, what’s coming up next on the candidate’s radar?

10 Mar 12 we’ve got the Northern Marianas’ Non-Binding Caucus with 9 delegates; Virgin Islands’ Non-Binding Caucus with 9 delegates and Guam’s Non-Binding Caucus also with 9 delegates, and there’s no polling data for any of these contests.

Kansas’ Hybrid Primary – 10 Mar 12 (40 delegates): no polling data available

Alabama’s Proportional Primary – 13 Mar 12 (50 delegates): Ala. Education Assoc. poll of likely voters conducted 1 – 6 Mar 12; Romney 31; Santorum 22; Gingrich 21 and Paul 7.

American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus – 13 mar 12 (9 delegates): no polling data available

Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus with 20 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 16 Oct 11; Romney 24; Gingrich 8; Paul 4 and Santorum 1.

Mississippi’s Proportional Primary with 52 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 4 – 6 Nov 11; Gingrich 28; Romney 12; Paul 4 and Santorum 1.

Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): The Simon Poll/SIU poll of registered voters conducted 11 – 16 Oct 12; Romney 21; Gingrich 8; Paul 7 and Santorum 2.

Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): Clarus Research poll of likely voters conducted 20 – 22 Nov 12; Gingrich 31; Romney 23; Paul 6 and Santorum 0.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 7; Santorum 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 404; Santorum 165; Gingrich 105 and Paul 61.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,194,834

Gingrich 989,187

Santorum 956,245

Paul 479,835

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 3 – 7 Mar 12: Romney 37; Santorum 23; Gingrich 12 and Paul 11 with 17% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 5 – 7 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 44

President Obama 50/Santorum 42

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on March 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Super Tuesday) 5 Mar 12 Edition

Tomorrow – Super Tuesday – Republican Tea Party (GOTP) types will run to the polls in droves to decide which for which of the four horsemen of the GOPocalypse they hope will win their party’s presidential nomination.

Willard Mittens Romney won Saturday’s Washington’s Non-Binding Caucus with 43 delegates; Romney 37.6 (16 delegates); Santorum 32 (5 delegates); Paul 16 (5 delegates) and Gingrich 13 (0 delegates).

So how do things stack up going into Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)?

Alaska’s Proportional Caucus with 27 delegates; no polling info …

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; InsiderAdvantage poll of likely voters conducted 4 Mar 12: Gingrich 47; Romney 21; Santorum 18 and Paul 6 with 8% undecided. Newt is showing a second wind, at least in his home state – but the more important question is who will take second place?

Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus with 32 delegates; no polling info …

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; Suffolk/7News poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 15 Feb 12: Romney 64; Santorum 16; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 and with 7% undecided.

North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus with 28 delegates; no polling info …

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 4 Mar 12: Santorum 32; Romney 31; Gingrich and Paul 13 with 11% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Rasmussen Reports of likely voters conducted 21 Feb 12: Santorum 43; Gingrich 22; Romney 18 and Paul 7 with 10% undecided.

Tennessee’s Proportional Primary with 58 delegates; PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 3 – 4 Mar 12: Santorum 34; Romney 29; Gingrich 27 and Paul 8 with 2% undecided.

In Vermont’s Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; Castleton State College poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 11 Feb 12: Romney 34; Santorum 27; Paul 14 and Gingrich 10 with 15% undecided

Virginia ludicrous Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; a new NBC News/Marist poll of likely voters conducted 29 Feb – 2 Mar 12: Romney 69 and Paul 26 with 5% undecided. Of course winning a state where you’re the only real candidate on the ballot doesn’t mean much, except in delegates awarded.

So the Super Tuesday rundown looks like this:

Romney: Idaho, Massachusetts, Vermont and Virginia

Santorum: Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee,

Gingrich: Georgia

Paul:

Unknown: Alaska and North Dakota

The regular season records for the gallant candidates: Romney 7; Santorum 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 173; Santorum 74; Paul 37 and Gingrich 33.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,786,594

Gingrich 989,187

Santorum 956,245

Paul 479,835

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 29 Feb – 3 Mar 12: Romney 38; Santorum 32; Gingrich and Paul 13 with 4% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 29 Feb – 3 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 44

President Obama 53/Santorum 39

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on March 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 16 Feb 12 Edition

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Santorum 4, Romney 3, Gingrich 1 and Paul 0; and Maine remains to be decided!

After Ricky pulled the trifecta, Mittens scrambled for a desperate win in Maine, and after some shenanigans by the state GOTO he maybe, kinda, sort of picked up a win; but hold the phone, there’s a lot of votes remaining to be counted and many more yet to be cast in the pine tree state, many of which may be for Ron Paul, and may give Uncle Ron his first primary win.

Michigan’s Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Inside MI Politics/MRG poll of likely voters conducted 13 – 14 Feb 12: Santorum 43; Romney 33; Gingrich 11 and Paul 8 with 5% undecided.

There’s no new polling in Arizona’s Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; the last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; Landmark/Rosetta Stone poll of likely voters conducted 09 Feb 12: Gingrich 35; Santorum 26; Romney 16 and Paul 5 with 18% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 15 Feb 12: Santorum 42; Romney 24; Gingrich 13 and Paul 10 with 11% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

Virginia Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 9 Feb 12: Romney 68 and Paul 19 with 13% undecided.

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 90; Santorum 44; Gingrich 32 and Paul 13. Hopefully the state officials in Maine will figure it all out and figure it out soon allowing the voters to know who’s really in the lead moving into Arizona and Michigan.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,119,283

Gingrich 838,344

Santorum 430,753

Paul 305,797

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll of registered voters conducted 14 Feb 12: Santorum 39; Romney 27; Gingrich 15 and Paul 10 with 9% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 13 – 15 Feb 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 43

President Obama 51/Gingrich 37

President Obama 47/Santorum 41

President Obama 44/Paul 39

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Rick Santorum would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

What’s the electoral map look like if the election were held today?

 
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Posted by on February 16, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 10 Feb 12 (pre-Maine Caucus Conclusion) Edition

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Santorum 4, Romney 3, Gingrich 1 and Paul 0; CAN YOU BELIEVE IT!? Santorum pulled the trifecta – the hat-trick! He swept all three on Tuesday!

Ricky pulled the surprise upset in the Colorado Non-binding Caucus with 40.2% of the vote and 13 delegates; Romney got 34.9% of the vote picking up 6; Gingrich got 12.8% and picked up 2 delegates, while Paul polled 11.8% and won a whopping 1 delegate.

Ricky also dominated in the Minnesota Non-binding Caucus where he buried Mittens with 45% and 13 delegates. Romney actually placed third behind Ron Paul; Paul garnered 27.1% of the vote and 4 delegates; Mittens won 2 whole delegates with an astounding 16.9% of the vote; placing a dismal last was Newton Leroy who took 10.8% of the vote for 1delegate.

In Missouri’s Primary – which awarded no delegates; those will be decided later with caucuses – Rick surged to victory (sending the opposition packing) with 55.2% of the vote; Romney25.3% and Paul came in third with 12.2%. Gingrich – the dimwitted former Speaker – managed not to be on the Missouri ballot.

Maine’s – week long – Non-binding Caucus with 24 Delegates concludes tomorrow and the last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted way back in October is likely to be a lot closer – especially where Santorum’s concerned, charging hard from behind Romney.

Michigan’s Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 23; Santorum 17 and Paul 14 with 8% undecided.

Arizona Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 02 Feb 12: Gingrich 45; Romney 32; Santorum 9 and Paul 8 with 6% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 25; Santorum 22 and Paul 11 with 16% undecided.

Virginia Hybrid Primary (Where the FIX is in and only Romney’s on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 90; Santorum 44; Gingrich 32 and Paul 13. An interesting thought is if Gingrich and Paul were to step out and throw their delegates to Santorum, there’d be a real contest; but the same could be said if Santorum did the same for Newt; Paul is inconsequential as he’s not a serious contender – meaning he has a better chance of contracting small pox than of winning the GOTP nomination, and frankly Newt’s heading that way now too.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,119,283

Gingrich 838,344

Santorum 430,753

Paul 305,797

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll of registered voters conducted 06 Feb 12: Romney 34; Gingrich 27; Santorum 18 and Paul 11 with 10% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 07 – 09 Feb 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 40

FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 06 – 09 Feb 12:

President Obama 51/Gingrich 38

President Obama 50/Santorum 38

President Obama 48/Paul 38

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on February 10, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 06 Feb 12 (pre-Colorado and Minnesota Caucuses) Edition

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Romney 3, Gingrich 1, Santorum 1 and Paul 0.

Romney buried the opposition in Nevada’s Proportional Caucus Romney 50 (14 delegates); Gingrich 21 (6 delegates); Paul 19 (5 delegates) and Santorum 10 (3 delegates).

Colorado Non-binding Caucus with 36 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 4 Feb 12: Romney 40; Santorum 26; Gingrich 18 and Paul 12 and with 4% undecided.

Minnesota Non-binding Caucus with 40 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 4 Feb 12: Santorum 29; Romney 27; Gingrich 22 and Paul 19 with 3% undecided.

Maine Non-binding Caucus with 24 Delegates – 11 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Michigan Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 23; Santorum 17 and Paul 14 with 8% undecided.

Arizona Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 02 Feb 12: Gingrich 45; Romney 32; Santorum 9 and Paul 8 with 6% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 25; Santorum 22 and Paul 11 with 16% undecided.

Virginia Hybrid Primary (Where the FIX is in and only Romney’s on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 79; Gingrich 29; Santorum 9 and Paul 8.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,088,064

Gingrich 824,645

Santorum 382,231

Paul 284,853

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 01 – 04 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 24; Santorum 18 and Paul 14 with 6% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 04 Feb 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 45

President Obama 54/Gingrich 43

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on February 6, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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