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Romney claims President won with ‘Gifts’?

According to the Associated Press (AP), Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s telling top donors President Obama was re-elected because of the “gifts” he’d given to Blacks, Hispanics and young voters, and because of the painting him as anti-immigrant.

“The president’s campaign, if you will, focused on giving targeted groups a big gift,” Romney said in a special call to “big” donors this week. “He made a big effort on small things.”

Of course during his call he didn’t bring up any of his own screw ups, like his infamous “47 percent” remark, his lack of support for the auto bailout, his call for illegal immigrants to “self-deport,” or his flip-flopping virtually on every single position.

Among the so-called “gifts” Willard maintains the President had given out in order to win were free health care “in perpetuity,” which Romney alleged was highly motivational to Black and Hispanic voters as well as for voters making $25,000 to $35,000 a year.

Willard also claimed the promise of “amnesty” to the children of illegal immigrants –”the so-called DREAM Act kids” – helped send Hispanics to the polls for Obama.

Then were the “young voters”, which Romney stated, were motivated by the administration’s plan for partial forgiveness of college loan interest and being able to remain on their parents’ health insurance plans. And of course there were the young women who had the additional incentive to vote for the President because of “free contraception coverage” under the president’s health care plan.

So, according to Willard Mitt Romney, he lost because more than 50% of voters were bought off, not because he sucked, his campaign sucked or because the GOTP’s policies really suck. Not only was Mitt a sad candidate, he’s even a sadder loser.

 
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Posted by on November 15, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney ‘Shell-shocked’

As it became clear Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney had lost the election advisors said Willard was taken completely by surprise.

“He was shell-shocked,” one adviser reportedly told CBS News.

Clearly Willard and his staff were caught unprepared because they’d chosen to ignore polling showing swing state races favoring the President. Instead, according to CBS News, they foolishly relied upon their own so-called “unskewed” internal polling, which plainly were not only wrong, but wildly wrong and completely skewed.

Anyone honestly assessing the election knew Romney was never going to win, and for months I’ve predicted the election’s outcome up to and including the morning of election day; this is not rocket science, you simply have to be willing to evaluate the polling data honestly.

CBS News reported as it became clear Willard had lost the race and had to concede, his personal assistant, Garrett Jackson, called his counterpart in the Obama campaign, Marvin Nicholson, to connect the two men.

Romney reportedly appeared “stoic” as he talked to the president, as his wife Ann wept; running mate Paul Ryan seemed “genuinely shocked”, and Ryan’s wife Janna also was shaken and cried softly.

Meanwhile back at the ranch Timmy’s fallen down the well again and conservatives across the nation are in panic mode, mourning for their country as President Obama prepares for the next four years; Glenn Beck’s imploring his faithful listeners to move to the country with “like minded” people and to buy guns and ammunition because America’s “driving the righteous out” and “deserves to be destroyed”; Donald Trump’s calling for “revolution” while Sarah Palin’s “perplexed” and Rush Limbaugh’s “confused” as to how this happened.

It happened because your candidate sucked, and your party’s out of touch with reality. You sit in your bubbles watching FOX News and salivating over Rasmussen polling data totally ignoring all that’s going on around you. If the GOTP’s ever to become the GOP again it needs to pull its collective heads out of its fourth point of contact and look around, otherwise it’s destined to some day, in the not so distant future, to go the way of the Wig Party.

 
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Posted by on November 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 6 Nov 12 Edition

Today’s the day…

With votes being cast how are the candidates faring in the polls as it all comes to a close?

The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 5 Nov 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 49

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 3 – 5 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 49

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 49

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12

President Obama 48/Romney 47

Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.6/47.4

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 6 Nov 12

Obama 292/246
Obama 318/220
Obama 305/233
Obama 322/216
Obama 301/237
Obama 311/227
Obama 276/262
Obama 300/238

Romney 293/245
Romney 273/265

According to today’s simulations President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.

 
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Posted by on November 6, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 5 Nov 12 Edition

IT’S Finally here! Election Day Eve! And now we can all put out our stockings and wait for … oh, wait a minute…

So, with one day to go, how do the candidates stand up against each other?

The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 49

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 49

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12

President Obama 48/Romney 47

Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.5/47.3

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12

Obama 338/200
Obama 284/254
Obama 326/212
Obama 273/265
Obama 278/260
Obama 313/225
Obama 288/250
Obama 305/233
Obama 323/215

Romney 284/254

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 90% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 10%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.

 
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Posted by on November 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 4 Nov 12 Edition

Just two days until the November election.

So, how do the candidates stand up against each other?

The ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 30 Oct – 2 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 54% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 53% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12

President Obama 48/Romney 47

Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.4/46.6

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12

Obama 296/242
Obama 313/225
Obama 321/217
Obama 347/191
Obama 300/238
Obama 280/258
Obama 281/257
Obama 306/232

Romney 281/257
Romney 272/266

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.

 
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Posted by on November 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 3 Nov 12 Edition

Three days until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s continues in desperation to flame out with his pack of lies running 24/7 in the swing states.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 1 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 49

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 48

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 51

IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.5/46.8

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.7/44.3 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 3 Nov 12

Obama 270/268
Obama 293/245
Obama 306/232

Obama 309/229
Obama 278/268
Obama 281/257
Obama 271/267

Romney 271/267
Romney 293/245
Romney 271/267

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 70% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 30%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.

 
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Posted by on November 3, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 2 Nov 12 Edition

Four more days and counting until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s going down with his pants streaming flame behind him, his latest Florida ads have him comparing the President to Castro.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 48

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 51

IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.4/46.5

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.7/44.3 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12

Obama 332/206
Obama 319/219
Obama 299/239
Obama 297/241
Obama 274/264
Obama 289/249
Obama 272/266
Obama 310/228
Obama 313/225
Obama 290/248

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 100% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 0%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.

 
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Posted by on November 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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