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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 07 Aug 12 Edition

Thirteen weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s still trying to dodge the need to release his tax records and the heat’s now been turned on by Senate Leader Harry Reid who announced on floor of the United States Senate that he’d received a phone call from a former Bain investor who claimed Willard hadn’t paid any taxes in ten years; Romney’s campaign turned around and told Senator Reid to prove it, and to “put up or shut up”. Oddly enough that’s how Willard could solve this problem, he could put up and then everyone else would shut up.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted from 16 – 26 Jul 12, showed the President with a 50% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 37%. No candidate has ever even come close to winning the presidency with such pathetic favorability ratings.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 31 Jul – 06 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

The most recent Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 26 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 41

And finally, the most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 07 Aug 12

Obama 324/214
Obama 302/236
Obama 325/213
Obama 286/252
Obama 319/219

Obama 288/250
Obama 312/226
Romney 273/265
Obama 347/191
Romney 271/267

Obama 347/191
Obama 320/218
Obama 304/234
Obama 342/196
Obama 311/227

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on August 7, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Tea Party says Romney Better Move to Right?

According to news reports the Tea Party (whoever that really is) following an upset primary win by Tea Party (TP) backed Ted Cruz in Texas is telling the presumptive Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential nominee Willard Mitt Romney he better start toeing the mark.

Tea Party backed Republican Texas Senate candidate Rafael Edward Cruz

“These guys [newly elected Tea Party candidates]” are going to force Romney to the right,” said Andrea Shell, a spokeswoman for Tea Party group Freedom Works. “That is our entire mission.”

Cruz won the Texas Republican primary Tuesday night, which considering it is Texas is a virtual win in November as well.

His victory appears – at least on the surface – to be the latest in a string of TP candidates to use anti-establishment frustration within the party to overcome the seemingly deep pockets of more “traditional” conservative candidates; meaning it’s possible to defeat money in the general election folks – even the seemingly bottomless pockets of the Koch Brothers.

“If we can elect a really conservative House and Senate that will force Romney to go along with our bold conservative agenda,” Shell said. “He’s going to have to really, really go to the right. He’ll be working with guys in the House and Senate. He won’t be able to get away with too many middle of the road policies, especially on things like the deficit.”

Of course, first you have to be able to elect “a really conservative House and Senate”, which is unlikely; and second, Willard has be elected President, something also increasingly at odds with the current political trends in poll after poll, but certainly something that could change as Americans are nothing if not fickle.

“If the Tea Party says it wants Romney to move right, I think, that’s were Romney is going anyway,” Newton Leroy Gingrich, former House speaker (who resigned after multiple extra-marital affairs were revealed) and failed GOTP presidential candidate, told ABCNews.com.

“Romney has endorsed the Ryan budget plan, opposed tax increases, and indicated he supports the full repeal of Obamacare. That’s a pretty activist opening day,” Gingrich said.

Yeah, but having that “pretty activist opening day” is a long shot at best, and your candidate just doesn’t seem to have the moxie to pull that off.

“You have to think of Romney as having a foot in the Tea Party and a foot in the establishment,” he said, adding, “that’s right where the Republicans want him.”

Yes, Willard’s trying to have it both ways, being part of the TP and part of the more traditional side of the party; problem with playing both sides is sooner or later you have to choose because a “house divided against itself cannot stand” observed on rather famous former Republican President.

The problem with the Tea Partistas is they just don’t want a candidate simply moving their way they want them completely indoctrinated and marinated in the TP way of life. Romney’s already moved so far to the right during the primaries he’s bending himself into a pretzel to show he’s not some right-wing lunatic, and it’s only adding to the political perception that he’s a flip-flopping etch-a-sketch candidate.

As former Democratic Speaker of the House used to say, “All politics are local”; winning a senate seat in Texas is one thing – especially in a deeply red state, taking those fringe far-right bumper sticker talking points and winning a national election for the presidency is entirely different. The TP had one of its own on the ticket in 2008 and the result was a resounding defeat.

 
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Posted by on August 2, 2012 in 2012 Election, Tea Party

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 25 Jul 12 Edition

It’s only 15 weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s decided that he agrees with President Obama that business success didn’t happen by itself while disagreeing that success didn’t happen by itself. He continues to be under fire for having said he left Bain Capital in 1999 while records from the company filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) show he was still involved into 2002. He’s telling the President it’s time to stop stonewalling on alleged leaks from the White House while he’s been stonewalling for months in refusing to release his tax returns – not smart speech writing.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

According to the last CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 Jul 12 – 16 Jul 12, shows the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18 Jul – 24 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 46

The most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 18 Jul – 22 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

And finally, the most recent FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 15 Jul 12 – 17 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 41

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 25 Jul 12

Obama 337/201
Obama 312/226
Obama 316/222
Obama 294/244
Obama 311/227

Obama 275/263
Obama 317/221
Obama 299/239
Obama 305/233
Obama 295/243

Romney 273/265
Obama 352/186
Obama 313/225
Obama 314/224
Romney 275/263

Of 15 simulations ran, Romney ekes out only two victories by the slimmest of margins, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 13/15 times.

 
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Posted by on July 25, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 19 Jul 12 Edition

Sixteen weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s under fire for having said he left Bain Capital in 1999 while records from the company filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) show he was still not just involved but intimately involved being listed as the CEO, sole stock holder and chief cook and bottle washer; additionally he’s being pressured to release his tax records (to date he’s released a partial 2010) and thus far Willard’s refusing to give anything up.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

According to the latest CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 – 16 Jul 12, shows the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News, Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 12 – 18 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

The most recent CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted 11 – 16 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

And finally, the most recent NPR poll of likely voters conducted 09 – 12 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, it’s too close to call between Willard Mitt Romney and President Obama in the general election.

However, according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on July 19, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 10 Jul 12 Edition

Seventeen weeks until the November election and while President Obama’s gone on the offensive calling on Congress to extend the Bush tax cuts for everyone earning less than $250,000 per year, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s calling for the tax cuts to be extended for everyone, saying increasing taxes on the top 2% would hurt the “job creators” in America; only problem with Willard’s theory is we’ve had these tax cuts for more than ten years now, and seen very little return from the so-called “job creators”.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

No new polls on current favorability of the candidates; however, according to the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 Jun – 01 Jul 12, shows the President with a 54% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 49%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News, Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 05 Jul – 09 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

The most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 01 Jul – 08 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

The most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 05 Jul – 08 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

And finally, the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted 28 Jun 12 – 01 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on July 10, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 05 Jul 12 Edition

Eighteen weeks and counting to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s campaign has been rocked by the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold the Affordable Care Act (aka Obamcare) which was patterned after Romneycare in Massachusetts; right down to the individual mandate penalty which SCOTUS declared was a tax forcing Romney to either admit he instituted a tax increase while Governor of Massachusetts, or to attempt a flip-flop and claim it’s a penalty in Massachusetts but a tax on the national level, predictably, he chose the latter.

Willard’s also dealing with increasing pressure from fellow Republicans to shake up his campaign staff, and his wife Ann’s now claiming he’s seriously considering a female running mate as VP.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The current favorability of the candidates, according to the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 Jun – 01 Jul 12, shows the President with a 54% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 49%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News or Rasmussen (which are always skewed to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 27 Jun – 3 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 44

The most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted 28 Jun – 1 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 46

And finally, the most recent Newsweek/Daily Beast poll of likely voters conducted 28 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 44

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on July 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney Says Students Should Get ‘As Much Education As They Can Afford’?

According to news reports, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney has given some advice to future students while campaigning in Virginia.

“I think this is a land of opportunity for every single person, every single citizen of this great nation. And I want to make sure that we keep America a place of opportunity, where everyone has a fair shot. They get as much education as they can afford and with their time they’re able to get and if they have a willingness to work hard and the right values, they ought to be able to provide for their family and have a shot of realizing their dreams.”

The statement, “get as much education as they can afford” is no big shock coming from a rich kid whose biggest financial challenge while going to college was having to divest some of his stock portfolio while roughing it in a 3,000 + SF apartment. Willard’s other sage advice to students has been to “take risks” and even borrow money from their parents to fuel success.

This appears to be just another, “Let them eat cake” moment for the struggling GOTP candidate, who’s had a dismal time showing he’s in touch with middle and lower class Americans. “Get as much education as they can afford” smacks of elitism and begs the question, “So, only rich kids should go to college”? Maybe only rich kids who keep their hair cut short?

 
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Posted by on June 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney’s staff meets at dance club

According to news reports, staffers for Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Willard Mitt Romney held a meeting at a club catering to adults offering “body painting”, ‎”Models/Dancers/Showgirls” and where the “The Mint’s three unique bar experiences will invite discovery and ignite excitement”.

But wait, that’s not all, one review of the “meeting place” said in a review, “The club also offers a ‘specialty champagne bar in the co-ed bathroom.’ In the marble unisex bathroom, a bartender makes drinks while patrons take ‘socializing in the bathroom to a new level”

Yep, it just speaks like the type of place the first Mormon candidate for President of the United States should have tied to his name and campaign; it just screams “family Values”!

Romney 2012! Family Values, and a whole lot more!

 

 
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Posted by on June 21, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 19 Jun 12 Edition

Down to 20 weeks to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) “it’s my turn” bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney’s having trouble identifying doughnuts and has boldly declared he’ll do the opposite of everything President Obama has done for or to Israel – while clearly not understanding anything the President’s done for our Mideast ally – (http://thelibertytree.wordpress.com/2012/06/16/romney-says-hed-do-the-opposite-of-everything-president-obamas-done-for-israel/), and he’s stated his wife Ann’s “the real Olympian” even though it’s her horse which will be competing in London this summer, with someone else riding it.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

There’s been no new polls showing favorability of the candidates, but the last Bloomberg poll of voters conducted from 15-18 Jun 12, shows the President with a 55% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 39%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News or Rasmussen (which are appearing very skewed) – the most current Bloomberg poll of voters conducted 15-18 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 53/Romney 40

The most recent Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 13-19 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 47

And finally, the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 7-11 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on June 20, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney says he’d do the opposite of everything President Obama’s done for Israel?

The Associated Press is reporting Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Willard Mitt Romney’s declared he would do “the opposite” of what President Barack Obama has done on Israel.

“I think, by and large, you can just look at the things the president has done and do the opposite,” Willard mewed when asked about Israel.

Well, OK Willard let’s look at what the President’s done for Israel and apply your now official stance of doing the opposite.

Late in 2009, President Obama transferred 55 bunker-buster 5,000 pound bombs to Israel putting it in the perfect position to take out Iran’s buried nuclear facilities; or perhaps to target Hezbollah’s buried bunkers in Lebanon at its earliest convenience (http://thelibertytree.wordpress.com/2011/09/26/obama-gave-israel-bunker-busters/ ).

Since Willard’s living in “Oppositeland” he’d have done what President Bush did and refuse to give Israel the arms it needs to defend itself.

In September the President led the charge in the United Nations (UN) to deny the creation of a Palestinian state; in Romney’s alternate reality he would’ve then backed the creation of a Palestinian state.

Under President Clinton aid to Israel was $4,132,000,000 but under the Bush administration aid to Israel steadily declined to $2,424,000,000; under President Obama aid to Israel is on the rise once again $2,550,000,000 in 2009 and $2,770,000,000 in 2010 with continued increase expected through FY 12 – http://thelibertytree.wordpress.com/2011/10/20/president-obama%E2%80%99s-record-israel/ – Romney would no doubt cut spending to Israel since President Obama increased it, because he’d “look at the things the president has done and do the opposite”.

Once again Willard proves he’s either looking for his village or he’s an abject liar, or he’s an abject liar looking for his village; to make statements like he did today in opposition to the President’s very strong and supportive stance of Israel is beyond reason.

 
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Posted by on June 16, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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