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Newt’s sugar daddy says he’s done?

Various news reports are saying Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential “no way it’s ever going to happen” hopeful Newton Leroy Gingrich’s being told he’s done, and Newton’s sugar daddy, casino magnate Sheldon Adelson’s apparently lost any hope in his electoral prospects; that’s pretty much the end when your one chief – if not only – backer decides you’re done. To date Adelson has reportedly poured about $16.5 million down the Gingrich drain.

Adelson’s conceded his “golden boy’s” basically got no chance of winning the GOTP nomination, “It appears as though [Gingrich is] at the end of his line. Because mathematically he can’t get anywhere near the numbers [of delegates required to gain the nomination], and there’s unlikely to be a brokered convention.”

Of course even if there’s a brokered convention who outside of Newt and Callista really believes he’d ever – in a million years – be the GOTP nominee?

Anyone?

Anyone?

Bueller?

Newton’s never had a chance; he’s not just damaged goods, he’s the box that fell out of the UPS truck on the interstate overpass and got pummeled by every other vehicle for the next three hours until there’s nothing left. He’s a failed former House Speaker who resigned in disgrace; a failed former House Speaker who had not one, but at least two extra-marital affairs, while prosecuting a President for lying about an affair; a failed former House Speaker who didn’t just have affairs but who also asked for an “open marriage” and who told one wife he was divorcing her while she was undergoing chemotherapy, all while trumpeting – wait for it – “family values”; yeah, like he ever had a chance; but hopefully he sticks around for awhile if only to annoy Willard.

 
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Posted by on March 29, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Missouri Caucus) 16 Mar 12 Edition

Willard Mitt Romney got his lunch handed to him this week in the deep south where clearly Republican Tea Party (GOTP) voters didn’t buy his “How y’all doin?” nonsense. Romney came in third in both Alabama and Mississippi, falling in behind Santorum and Gingrich, but he won Hawaii and American Samoa.

In Alabama’s Proportional Primary Rick Santorum took first (19 delegates); Leroy Newt Gingrich took second (12 delegates) Romney limped into third (11 delegates) and Ron Paul came in his traditional last place (0 delegates).

In American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus Romney took first in the strong Mormon island winning all 9 delegates.

In Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus Romney again took first (9 delegates) Santorum took second (5 delegates) Paul took third (3 delegates) and came in dead last (0 delegates).

In Mississippi’s Proportional Primary Santorum took first (13 delegates) Gingrich was second (12 delegates) and Romney came in third with fewer votes (12 delegates) and Paul was again last (0 delegates).

Next up is Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

In Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): Chicago Tribune poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 9 Mar 12; Romney 35; Santorum 31; Gingrich 12 and Paul 7.

In Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): GCR/WWL-TVh poll of likely voters conducted 8 – 10 Mar 12; Santorum 25; Romney 21; Gingrich 20 and Paul 6.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 19; Santorum 9; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 496; Santorum 236; Gingrich 141 and Paul 66.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,477,020

Santorum 2,286,339

Gingrich 2,106,200

Paul 949,914

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 14 Mar 12: Romney 35; Santorum 27; Gingrich 15 and Paul 10 with 13% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 12 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 42

President Obama 51/Santorum 39

President Obama 53/Gingrich 35

President Obama 50/Paul 38

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Current electoral college totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on March 16, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Alabama and Mississippi primaries) 12 Mar 12 Edition

Willard Mitt Romney has added, little-by-little, to his delegate lead in the past week for the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential nomination, sweeping his opposition in the Northern Marianas’ Non-Binding Caucus (9 delegates); Virgin Islands’ Non-Binding Caucus (7 delegates) and Guam’s Non-Binding Caucus (9 delegates) taking home a whopping 24 non-binding delegates, meaning they can switch at the convention; but he had his lunch handed to him in Kansas.

Speaking of the Sunflower State, Rick Santorum won a devastating victory over Mittens, taking home 33 delegates from the Kansas Hybrid Primary to Romney’s 7.

Newton Leroy Gingrich won zero delegates out of the last four primaries and caucuses; while Ron Paul garnered one delegate from the contest in the Virgin Islands.

And so the fight heads towards the Deep South:

In Alabama’s Proportional Primary – 13 Mar 12 (50 delegates): a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 10 – 11 Mar 12; Romney 31; Gingrich 30; Santorum 29 and Paul 8.

American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus – 13 mar 12 (9 delegates): no polling data available

In Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus with 20 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 16 Oct 11; Romney 24; Gingrich 8; Paul 4 and Santorum 1.

In Mississippi’s Proportional Primary with 52 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 11 Mar 12; Gingrich 33; Romney 31; Santorum 27 and Paul 7.

In Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

In Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): Chicago Tribune poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 9 Mar 12; Romney 35; Santorum 31; Gingrich 12 and Paul 7.

In Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): Clarus Research poll of likely voters conducted 20 – 22 Nov 12; Gingrich 31; Romney 23; Paul 6 and Santorum 0.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 16; Santorum 7; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 455; Santorum 199; Gingrich 117 and Paul 64.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,203,592

Santorum 1,974,351

Gingrich 1,832,322

Paul 904,503

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 11 Mar 12: Santorum 34; Romney 30; Gingrich 13 and Paul 4 with 19% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 10 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 49

President Obama 49/Santorum 46

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Rick Santorum would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on March 12, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Mathematically Improbable for Romney to win nomination

Being somewhat of a politics-geek I’ve been thinking why the Romney camp’s pushing the idea he’s the sole inevitable winner of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating process; the only answer I can come up with is because he’s nothing of the kind and they’re trying to weaken his opponent’s base. They’ve come to understand the longer Rick Santorum and Newton Leroy Gingrich hang on the fewer delegates their guy wins.

If you run the numbers – specifically the number of delegates yet to be won – it’s abundantly clear Romney’s the only one who can still win the nomination outright prior to the GOTP convention 27 – 30 Aug 12; but it’s not very clear at all if he’ll be able to do so, in fact the odds are fast becoming anything but in his favor. There are 878 delegates left to be picked up by the candidates and 1,144 needed for victory; Romney’s picked up 455 delegates to date and still needs to pick up 691 delegates to win, or roughly 80% of all the remaining delegates. If you eliminate the “winner take all” primaries won so far he’s averaging about 33% of delegates, and that’s not going to get it done; even if he wins all the “winner take all” primaries – which he may, but is doubtful – if Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich remain in the race it doesn’t look probable for Romney, and thus a brokered convention is looming more and more on the horizon.

There are 126 so-called “super delegates” available at the GOTP Convention, made up of state chairs and additional RNC types, but they’re not necessarily going all to Romney, especially considering his “popularity” within the party; even if we were to count all the super delegates to Mitt, he only takes the nomination at that point by a mere 50 or so delegates. Santorum or Gingrich could very much act as spoilers sending this into a brokered convention. At any rate, it’s not a foregone conclusion that Mitt’s the nominee. Not just yet.

Of course the only possible way for Santorum to win now is in a brokered convention and that’s what he’s aiming at, he knows he can’t win any other way; Newt’s reason for hanging on is pure and simple, he hates Romney’s guts for the character attacks following the South Carolina primary; so at this point it’s all about keeping Romney from winning. Ron Paul’s still hanging in there but he’s pretty much inconsequential, basically just siphoning off delegates here and there. Romney’s basically in a begging position where he needs the others to fall out.

 
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Posted by on March 12, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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God himself could not sink this campaign?

According to news reports Willard Thurston Mittens Romney’s campaign staff called the national press corps into a room and boldly declared, it would take an “act of God” for any candidate not named Mitt Romney to win the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nomination. Really, they declared this roughly a month from the 100th anniversary of the sinking of the “unsinkable” RMS Titanic, the ship “God himself could not sink”!?

Now, their seemingly unshakeable confidence in Mr. Vanilla is not necessarily misplaced, especially when one starts looking at the mathematics; clearly Ron Paul is way past done, and outside of Newt’s “miraculous” victory in his home state of Georgia he too is finished in this campaign, leaving only Rick Santorum, who also clearly is facing extremely long odds at winning the nomination out right – but Romney’s camp shouldn’t be invoking the Lord’s name quite so fast. After all, it was just a few short weeks ago that Mrs. Santorum declared that God had chosen Rick.

“We will get to 1,144 whether it’s on someone else’s timeline, or on our timeline,” said one top Romney aide. “We will get to 1,144 and be the Republican nominee.”

But, what if their candidate were to make another couple of dozen gaffs? Like that’ll never happen; and what if Santorum can keep from sounding too crazy, and he wins enough delegates, not necessarily to win, but to keep Mittens from crossing the magic number? And of course there’s always the possibility that many of the delegates – who are “non-binding” switch allegiance?

The Romney campaign’s simply trying to paint their guy as the inevitable winner, and is trying to convince GOTP types to stop all this nonsense and just accept it, and rally to their banner!

“There’s not a lot of Floridas left out there, no more Arizonas, no more Virginias. There’s just no more big chunks of delegates to go get. So whether it’s a one-, two-, three- or four-way race, you’re still going to have people bunched up there,” said one Romney aide.

The campaign’s also trying to get its opponents to accept they can’t win and to drop out rather than to continue to force Romney to spend millions more in primaries and caucuses only to barely squeak past Santorum; states like his home state of Michigan, where he outspent Ricky by 2 to 1 only to win by a couple of percentage points; or in Ohio, where he once again out spent Santorum by more than 2 to 1 and managed a mere 1 percent victory. In short, it’s getting embarrassing and, to top it all off, they’re making Mittens spend his war chest too quickly. Allegedly Romney’ campaign raised $11.5 million in February, but then spent between $8 to $9 million between Michigan and Ohio, and who knows what it spent in Virginia where Ron Paul still managed to win more than 40%.

What’s really funny is how Romney aides are trying to play down the persistent stories their man’s a weak front-runner, unable to connect and failing to garner the support of independent voters and they’re pointing to polling from 1992, which showed then-Gov. Bill Clinton’s favorability ratings upside down.

“If I remember correctly, he served two terms,” said one aide.

THEY’RE COMPARING ROMNEY TO BILL CLINTON!? Yeah, that’s going to help big time with the uber-conservative crowd; or are they simply trying to imply Romney’s got a heartbeat, and is a “great communicator”?

When you, as the purported GOTP frontrunner (who’s only managed to garner 55% of the delegates thus far) start to compare your campaign to Bill Clinton all is not as it appears; my Dad used to tell me when someone keeps talking about one particular strength in a product – or a candidate – attempting to get you to buy it, that’s usually its weakest point; team Romney’s not confident of winning, they’re scared spit less this is going to drag on into summer, that Mittens isn’t going to garner enough delegates and they’re going to be facing a brokered convention, where Mr. Luke Warm doesn’t win.

RUN HARDER RICK! RUN HARDER NEWT!

 
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Posted by on March 8, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Arizona GOTP Debate …

Short version: Gilbert from Gilbert was the highlight – which is saying something; Santorum got in some good licks against Romney; Romney exaggerated his record (again); Paul is still Paul; and who told Newt to wear a purple tie?

There was a great deal of gloom, doom and fear mongering – even for a Republican Tea Party (GOTP) debate – with lots of lying and exaggerating from most sides.

Romney indeed not only continued to exaggerate his record – especially on “saving” the 2002 Salt Lake City Winter Olympics, it’s a sporting event Mitt, not the world’s economy – and outright lied about the contraception issue from 2005, when he did indeed force all hospitals to provide emergency contraception (Romney says no hospitals are exempt from pill law – The Boston Globe), and when he continued to claim the same lies he first spouted at the Citadel about how the President’s gutted the Navy and all the military (Romney lied to Cadets at The Citadel?); that’s just two examples.

Romney also now claims that his new and revised tax plan will give everyone a 20% tax cut, flip-flopping once again in mid-campaign, and appearing to be in conflict with himself since he said just a day ago,If you just cut — if all you’re thinking about is just cutting spending — why as you cut spending you’ll slow down the economy, so you have to at the same time create pro-growth tax policies.” Clearly Mittens wants to have his cake and eat it too.

Ron Paul continued to play his part of Court Jester/Crazy Uncle well, claiming he was still in the hunt, when in truth he’s never been even remotely close to winning the nomination – although he’s closer this year than ever before, but that’s like saying you’re warmer now because you moved from Pluto to Uranus.

Gingrich was doing his best Benny Hill impersonation, and is done. A purple tie, really? It made him look ridiculous, and as he thumped across the stage with a foolish smile he looked as though he was playing charades and doing the Stay Puff Marshmallow Man; his star rose in South Carolina and plummeted in Florida. He’s way past done, and it’s almost sad to watch him continue on thinking he has a chance.

Santorum continuously went on the attack against Romney but came across as just being petulant and not presidential; he failed to deliver any real substantial blows against Mittens and thus failed to capitalize on his momentum. He was mostly Mr. Gloom talking as though 9-11 had just happened and how if things don’t change there’ll be “human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together… mass hysteria!” The whole fear and frenzy thing is wearing very thin, and I think most Americans want to hear someone talk about brighter days and the future and stop harping on the evils of the world and how the Visigoths are at the gates.

The hall was visibly packed with Romney fans, either by design or coincidentally, and they cheered loudly for him, and booed at times when others challenged him – of course Mesa has a very large LDS population and that no doubt helped, the fans were on his side and that has to help give his sagging campaign a boost.

One of the most telling moment came when the candidates were asked to describe themselves in one word and one word only; Paul said consistent”, Santorum said “courage”, Romney said “resolute” and Newt said “cheerful”. What’s telling is that not one of the GOTP candidates said “conservative”; it was a big fat opening for Santorum’s to land a massive body blow and he chose “courage”? He lost a golden moment opportunity.

What I take away from this hopefully last GOTP debate is that all they could focus on was hate, gloom and despair; there was too much talking laced with fear and too little talking coupled with hope and optimism. The fear factor worked well in 2004, it’s overplayed now, it’s deceitful and it’s going to come back and slap them in their collective political faces.

If this is truly the last of these GOTP debates, all I can say is, “Free at last, free at last, thank God Almighty we’re free at last!”

 
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Posted by on February 23, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Newt says he’ll lower gas prices to $2 per gallon and turn lead to gold

According to the Associated Press (AP) Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential candidate Newton Leroy Gingrich is pulling a page from former candidate Michele Bachmann’s playbook claiming he’ll make gas prices drop to as low as $2 a gallon if he’s elected.

The promises were flowing deep as Gingrich campaigned in Oklahoma hoping to capitalize on the latest GOTP fear and gloom tactic that gas prices will rise sharply this summer and Newton is pushing if he’s elected he’ll enact relaxed regulation on domestic oil production which will cause the gas to flow like water.

What the Newtser isn’t saying is that Presidents have extremely limited, if indeed any, power to affect prices of a global commodity like oil. Why does the most powerful man in the world have such limited influence? Because such costs depend largely on supply and demand, hence as the country’s economy improves, demand could rise, putting extra pressure on prices.

Gingrich’s been playing the oil exploration card hard as he tries to resurrect a dead campaign slamming the President for delaying a Canada-to-Texas oil pipeline even though the building of the pipeline wouldn’t affect one single penny of the short-term gas prices; Gingrich however is not one to play on reality, and claiming the President is hurting the oil and gas industry plays well in states like Oklahoma which depend heavily on those industries.

“With Gingrich policies, what we know is we will dramatically expand our independence in the world market, dramatically expand our capacity to produce energy without regard to our foreign potential enemies and in the process prices will clearly be a lot lower,” Gingrich said. “Now, I picked $2.50 as a stabilizing price for capital investment reasons. It could easily go down to $2.”

Newt waxed nostalgic, boasting that gas cost was as little as $1.13 per gallon when he led the House and that the national average was below $2 when President Obama was inaugurated.

Newt’s memory is a little off, the average cost of gas when he was speaker ranged from $1.41in 1995 to $1.34 in 1999, but if President Obama’s responsible for rising gas prices now, then wasn’t President Clinton responsible for lower prices then, and not the Speaker of the House? How exactly would the Speaker affect gas prices anyhow? What Newt failed to mention during his litany of Obama bashing was how the price of gas capped out at $4.21 near the end of the Bush/Cheney era in 2008.

This is good old fashioned conservative fear mongering plain and simple; if we re-elect the President gas prices will sky rocket, Iran will destroy Israel, the Constitution will be torn to shreds, dogs and cats will live together … blah, blah, blah. Truth is the price of gas has increased because the U.S. economy is doing better, raising demand for gas along with everything else, and that’s good – not bad; the only way someone like a (God forbid) President Gingrich delivers $2 per gallon gas is if the economy tanks again. Of course the average Tea Party voter doesn’t care about facts, they care about hating the President, and that’s what Newt’s counting on.

 
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Posted by on February 21, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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No Right Turns

 
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Posted by on February 13, 2012 in Humor

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 10 Feb 12 (pre-Maine Caucus Conclusion) Edition

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Santorum 4, Romney 3, Gingrich 1 and Paul 0; CAN YOU BELIEVE IT!? Santorum pulled the trifecta – the hat-trick! He swept all three on Tuesday!

Ricky pulled the surprise upset in the Colorado Non-binding Caucus with 40.2% of the vote and 13 delegates; Romney got 34.9% of the vote picking up 6; Gingrich got 12.8% and picked up 2 delegates, while Paul polled 11.8% and won a whopping 1 delegate.

Ricky also dominated in the Minnesota Non-binding Caucus where he buried Mittens with 45% and 13 delegates. Romney actually placed third behind Ron Paul; Paul garnered 27.1% of the vote and 4 delegates; Mittens won 2 whole delegates with an astounding 16.9% of the vote; placing a dismal last was Newton Leroy who took 10.8% of the vote for 1delegate.

In Missouri’s Primary – which awarded no delegates; those will be decided later with caucuses – Rick surged to victory (sending the opposition packing) with 55.2% of the vote; Romney25.3% and Paul came in third with 12.2%. Gingrich – the dimwitted former Speaker – managed not to be on the Missouri ballot.

Maine’s – week long – Non-binding Caucus with 24 Delegates concludes tomorrow and the last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted way back in October is likely to be a lot closer – especially where Santorum’s concerned, charging hard from behind Romney.

Michigan’s Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 23; Santorum 17 and Paul 14 with 8% undecided.

Arizona Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 02 Feb 12: Gingrich 45; Romney 32; Santorum 9 and Paul 8 with 6% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 25; Santorum 22 and Paul 11 with 16% undecided.

Virginia Hybrid Primary (Where the FIX is in and only Romney’s on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 90; Santorum 44; Gingrich 32 and Paul 13. An interesting thought is if Gingrich and Paul were to step out and throw their delegates to Santorum, there’d be a real contest; but the same could be said if Santorum did the same for Newt; Paul is inconsequential as he’s not a serious contender – meaning he has a better chance of contracting small pox than of winning the GOTP nomination, and frankly Newt’s heading that way now too.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,119,283

Gingrich 838,344

Santorum 430,753

Paul 305,797

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll of registered voters conducted 06 Feb 12: Romney 34; Gingrich 27; Santorum 18 and Paul 11 with 10% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 07 – 09 Feb 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 40

FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 06 – 09 Feb 12:

President Obama 51/Gingrich 38

President Obama 50/Santorum 38

President Obama 48/Paul 38

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on February 10, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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