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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 07 Aug 12 Edition

Thirteen weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s still trying to dodge the need to release his tax records and the heat’s now been turned on by Senate Leader Harry Reid who announced on floor of the United States Senate that he’d received a phone call from a former Bain investor who claimed Willard hadn’t paid any taxes in ten years; Romney’s campaign turned around and told Senator Reid to prove it, and to “put up or shut up”. Oddly enough that’s how Willard could solve this problem, he could put up and then everyone else would shut up.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted from 16 – 26 Jul 12, showed the President with a 50% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 37%. No candidate has ever even come close to winning the presidency with such pathetic favorability ratings.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 31 Jul – 06 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

The most recent Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 26 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 41

And finally, the most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 07 Aug 12

Obama 324/214
Obama 302/236
Obama 325/213
Obama 286/252
Obama 319/219

Obama 288/250
Obama 312/226
Romney 273/265
Obama 347/191
Romney 271/267

Obama 347/191
Obama 320/218
Obama 304/234
Obama 342/196
Obama 311/227

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on August 7, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 25 Jul 12 Edition

It’s only 15 weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s decided that he agrees with President Obama that business success didn’t happen by itself while disagreeing that success didn’t happen by itself. He continues to be under fire for having said he left Bain Capital in 1999 while records from the company filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) show he was still involved into 2002. He’s telling the President it’s time to stop stonewalling on alleged leaks from the White House while he’s been stonewalling for months in refusing to release his tax returns – not smart speech writing.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

According to the last CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 Jul 12 – 16 Jul 12, shows the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18 Jul – 24 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 46

The most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 18 Jul – 22 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

And finally, the most recent FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 15 Jul 12 – 17 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 41

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 25 Jul 12

Obama 337/201
Obama 312/226
Obama 316/222
Obama 294/244
Obama 311/227

Obama 275/263
Obama 317/221
Obama 299/239
Obama 305/233
Obama 295/243

Romney 273/265
Obama 352/186
Obama 313/225
Obama 314/224
Romney 275/263

Of 15 simulations ran, Romney ekes out only two victories by the slimmest of margins, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 13/15 times.

 
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Posted by on July 25, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 10 Jul 12 Edition

Seventeen weeks until the November election and while President Obama’s gone on the offensive calling on Congress to extend the Bush tax cuts for everyone earning less than $250,000 per year, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s calling for the tax cuts to be extended for everyone, saying increasing taxes on the top 2% would hurt the “job creators” in America; only problem with Willard’s theory is we’ve had these tax cuts for more than ten years now, and seen very little return from the so-called “job creators”.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

No new polls on current favorability of the candidates; however, according to the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 Jun – 01 Jul 12, shows the President with a 54% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 49%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News, Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 05 Jul – 09 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

The most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 01 Jul – 08 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

The most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 05 Jul – 08 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

And finally, the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted 28 Jun 12 – 01 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on July 10, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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GOTP House Buckles Under Pressure?

Well, wonder of wonders, the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) dominated House buckled under and approved legislation preserving jobs on transportation projects from coast to coast and avoiding interest rate increases on new loans to millions of college students. The bill, which then sailed through the Democratic controlled Senate (for once with no threats of GOTP filibusters), was then sent for the President’s signature.

With the bill’s passage, just over $100 billion can now be spent on highway, mass transit and other transportation programs over the next two years, projects that would’ve expired Saturday without congressional action; it also ends the stalemate over student loans.

Under the bill, interest rates of 3.4 percent for subsidized Stafford loans for undergraduates will continue for another year, had the uber-right Tea Party members had their way, interest rates would have mushroomed to 6.8 percent for 7.4 million students expected to get the loans over the coming year, adding an extra $1,000 to the average cost of each loan.

The Democratic-led Senate passed the measure by a 74-19 vote, after the GOTP-run House approved it 373-52; with all the no votes – of course – being cast by the uber-right conservative members of the Congress.

The final version of the transportation measure dropped a provision – which had drawn a Presidential veto threat – that would have forced government approval of the controversial Keystone XL oil pipeline from Canada to the Texas coast.

According to the Associated Press (AP), White House spokesman Jay Carney said the administration was glad Congress acted “before middle class families pay the price for inaction.” He said President Obama will keep pressing for approval of more of his job-creating proposals from last year, to hire teachers, police officers and firefighters and for tax credits to companies that hire new workers.

Financing for most of the measure came from extending federal taxes on gasoline and diesel fuel for an additional two years which levies, unchanged for nearly two decades, are 18.4 cents a gallon for gasoline and 24.4 cents for diesel and which fall woefully short of fully financing the highway programs they were designed to do.

About $20 billion would be raised over the next decade by reducing tax deductions for companies’ pension contributions and increasing the fees they pay to federally insure their pension plans. In return, a formula was changed to, in effect; let companies apportion less money for their pensions and to provide less year-to-year variation in those amounts.

Additional revenues will be raised by charging interest on subsidized Stafford loans no more than six years after undergraduates begin their studies.

A loophole was also tightened making it harder for businesses with roll-your-own cigarette machines to classify the tobacco they sell as pipe tobacco – which is taxed at a lower rate than cigarette tobacco. The change is expected to raise nearly $100 million.

The measure also extends Federal flood insurance programs that protect 5.6 million households and businesses, allowing higher premiums and limiting subsidies for vacation homes to help address a shortfall in the program caused by claims from 2005′s Hurricane Katrina.

It also steers 80 percent of the billions in Clean Water Act penalties paid by BP and others for the 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil rig explosion to the five Gulf States whose beaches and waters were soiled by the disaster. The money would have otherwise gone to federal coffers.

Federal timber subsidies worth $346 million would be distributed for another year to rural counties, while other funds would be steered to rural school districts.

No matter how this is sliced it’s a victory for the President and a loss for the GOTP, particularly for the uber-right Tea Party; it’s one more victory in a week of victories which saw the Supreme Court’s overturning of the most controversial parts of Arizona’s papers please bill and the upholding of the Affordable Care Act. Try though they might, spinning this beyond their own will be extremely difficult.

 
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Posted by on June 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Eventually taxes will be increased

We have a huge debt and deficit primarily due to ten years of war while cutting taxes; economics of war 101 is you can’t fight a war without paying for it; you either raise taxes amongst your own people or plunder the enemy – since we don’t plunder the enemy we needed to raise taxes, but we did neither. $2 billion dollars spent per week each in Iraq and Afghanistan x 572 weeks = $2,288,000,000,000 of pure debt with no offset whatsoever; coupled to that an infrastructure badly in need of repair, plus an economy devastated by eight years of mismanagement by the previous administration and you have our economic woes of today.

Conservatives need to give up the failed idea of voodoo economics – trickle down has never worked, it’s a nice rosy economic theory that doesn’t produce what it claims will happen; we’ve had tax breaks for the top 1% (the so-called job creators) for more than a decade, where’s the jobs and where’s the revenue?

There’s going to need to be tax increases – sorry, but that’s going to happen; if it’s going to happen it needs to start with those who can afford them most, and it may then be necessary to raise everyone’s taxes.

After that we’re going to have to cut spending, and the first place to do that is the military; we now spend more on defense then the rest of the world combined, we don’t need a huge active military force, we need sufficient to defend the country. After we’ve trimmed back the military industrial complex we can start on other programs including social programs.

Problem with today’s conservatives is they want to do it all backwards; let’s cut taxes for the wealthiest 1% even more while increasing taxes on the lower classes; next lets increase defense spending while cutting social programs.

 
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Posted by on June 2, 2012 in Economics

 

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Arpaio claims President’s Birth Certificate is a phony?

Arch conservative, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio’s planning to hold a news conference where he’ll no doubt prove beyond a shadow of a doubt just how delusional he really is; he’s claiming he’ll be releasing new findings from his ongoing investigation of President Obama’s birth certificate, which he believes is a forgery.

Reportedly, in an interview with birther-friendly website World Net Daily, the so-called, self-proclaimed, “toughest sheriff” in America says he’ll be revealing new evidence he believes will prove that Obama’s birth certificate and Selective Service documentation are bigger fabrications than he is.

Arpaio held a press conference last month where he unveiled his probe’s “initial findings” claiming there was probable cause to believe the President’s identification documents were forged.

Arpaio’s no class act, this is the same guy who’s currently under federal investigation from the Department of Justice surrounding alleged racial profiling by his department; of course with the substantial resources of the Maricopa Sherriff’s Department we might expect that his next announcement will be that he knows who killed the Lindbergh baby, and where Amelia Earhart’s been the past 75 years. It’s probably nice to know the Sherriff’s most pressing issue is to continue down the rabbit hole of birtherism and that there’s nothing more important to be worried about in Maricopa. Regarding the President’s birth certificate being a phony; who else but Arpaio would be more capable of spotting a forgery, after all he’s been impersonating a law enforcement officer for quite some time now.

 
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Posted by on April 24, 2012 in Lunatics

 

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Harvard grad Romney says the President spent too much time there?

According to news reports Republican Tea Party (GOTP) “presumptive” presidential candidate Willard Mitt Romney is accusing President Obama of having spent “too much time at Harvard“.

It’s pretty funny considering Willard’s also a fellow Harvard graduate, and actually spent more time there than the President.

But hey class, let’s look at the facts; according to records, Willard enrolled in a four-year program at Harvard in 1971, eventually earning a joint JD and MBA and graduating cum laude – Latin meaning “with honor” – in 1975. President Obama began attending Harvard Law School in 1988, where he spent three years, eventually becoming president of the Harvard Law Review before graduating magna cum laude – Latin meaning “with great honor” – and receiving his JD in 1991. The President graduated with higher honors than Willard, and did it in less time; of course Willard earned an MBA with that additional year, but clearly math wasn’t part of his business degree, since four is greater than three.

It’s funny how Willard’s repeatedly trying to paint the President as an ivory tower elitist, first as though that’s a bad thing, and second when he’s one, and spent more time there than the President.

Was he for an ivy league education before he was against it? It’s OK for some, but not for others?

Just one more oops moment for the Romney campaign; someone on Willard’s staff really should be checking these kind of facts before allowing the candidate to repeatedly look like a moron – just saying.

And while we’re on this topic, there’s a big difference between a young black man from a lower middle class single parent family working his way to Harvard, and the rich white kid who has it handed to him; so, I’m sorry, who’s the “elitist” Willard?

 
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Posted by on April 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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