With 10 days to go until Election Day, it is clear either poling is being deliberately skewed to make the race appear tight, or American voters have lost their bloody minds. Vice President Kamala Harris continues (barely) leading against the twice impeached, convicted felon, adjudicated rapist, and fascist Donald Trump in most current polling. Trump continues to struggle in his speeches, clearly suffering from a mental decline, while his running mate continues to spew incoherent racial rants as well. Trump (78) continues rambling incoherent sentences whenever he speaks.
So, with just ten days until the November 5th election, where do we stand?
In national polling, the latest Tufts University Public Opinion Lab Poll, conducted between 21-23 October 2024 of 633 “likely voters,” has the election lining up like this:
Harris 49%
Trump 48%
According to the Big Village Poll, conducted between 18-23 October 2024 of 1,592 “likely voters:”
Harris 52%
Trump 45%
The NY Times/Siena Poll, conducted from 20-23 October 2024 among 2,516 “likely voters,” has the race in a dead heat.
Harris 48%
Trump 48%
The Emerson College Poll, conducted from 23-24 October 2024 of 1,000 “likely voters,” has the race deadlocked.
Harris 49%
Trump 49%
Running election simulations (Courtesy of 270 to Win), Harris beats Trump 14 out of 25 times, or 56% of the time.
Harris 223/Trump 315
Harris 282/Trump 256
Harris 437/Trump 101
Harris 417/Trump 121
Harris 319/Trump 219
Harris 241/Trump 297
Harris 319/Trump 219
Harris 292/Trump 246
Harris 231/Trump 307
Harris 209/Trump 219
Harris 374/Trump 164
Harris 201/Trump 337
Harris 192/Trump 346
Harris 308/Trump 230
Harris 338/Trump 279
Harris 423/Trump 115
Harris 205/Trump 333
Harris 301/Trump 237
Harris 215/Trump 323
Harris 319/Trump 219
Harris 308/Trump 230
Harris 197/Trump 341
Harris 211/Trump 327
Harris 224/Trump 314
As far as the national race for the White House is concerned, according to recent state polling data available, if the election was today, odds are that Vice President Harris would be the 47th President of the United States, while Trump, who forever remains the only twice-impeached convicted felon, adjudicated rapist and fascist former president in U.S. history, will go down as having lost two elections in a row.
The Liberty Tree 