Monthly Archives: October 2012
Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 31 Oct 12 Edition
Happy Halloween – Trick-or-Treat – six days left until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s busy collecting food for his disaster photo op capitalizing on the devastation from “Frankenstorm” as only he can for political gain, while a real leader in the GOTP, GOV Chris Christie of New Jersey’s giving credit where credit’s due for the President’s and FEMA’s response to the storm.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 46% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 44% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 26 – 29 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 25 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 24 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
NPR poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 25 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 48
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.5/47.2
On this day four years ago, SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately McCain lost to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.0/43.5.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 317/221
Obama 334/204
Obama 343/195
Obama 276/262
Obama 300/238
Obama 287/251
Obama 314/224
Obama 280/258
Romney 286/252
Romney 293/245
According to the simulations, President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based on national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.
Reasons Why I Can’t Vote for Romney – 30 October Edition
The ever expanding list of reasons as to why I can’t vote for Willard Mitt Romney because he:
29 Oct 12 – Lied about Jeep moving jobs to China.
12 Sep 12 – Lied about the President’s response to attacks on U.S. diplomats and embassies in Libya and Egypt.
31 Aug 12 – Continues to lie about President Obama’s record, spokes person said the campaign wouldn’t be influenced by fact checking – meaning they’ll lie about whatever and whenever they choose.
Lied during his acceptance speech about President Obama saying he went on an apology tour after being inaugurated, cut $716 billion dollars from Medicare, raised taxes on the middle class and had thrown Israel under the bus.
Allowed VP pick Paul Ryan to give a speech full of lies.
Allowed Clint Eastwood to stand up on stage at age 82 and make a fool out of himself turning a Hollywood icon into the Court Jester.
20 Aug 12 – Lied about President Obama ending welfare to work.
12 Jul 12 – Lied to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) about his role at Bain Capital; possibly committed a felony.
12 Jul 12 – Lied about when he left Bain Capital
16 Jun 12 – Said he’d do opposite of everything President Obama’s done for Israel
14 Jun 12 – Said it was OK to fire public sector employees
12 Jun 12 – Claimed he wanted to serve in Vietnam although granted multiple deferments
09 Jun12 – Thinks we have too many teachers, fire fighters and police officers
05 Jun 12 –Confirmed earlier confirmation there’s a village missing him
30 May 12 –Has morons on his team –misspells America on campaign iPhone app
29 May 12 – Chose to chum around with Trump
18 May 12 –Confirmed there’s a village missing him
11 May 12 –Joked about bullying a fellow student in high school
09 May 12 – Lied about saving the auto industry
19 Apr 12 – Refused to release Tax Returns and lied about John Kerry
17 Apr 12 – Failed to denounce Ted Nugent
14 Apr 12 – Thought “struggling” in college wass divesting some of your stock portfolio
11 Apr 12 – Willard didn’t know what the Lilly Ledbetter Act was
29 Mar 12 – Told a “humorous” story about firing people
29 Mar 12 – Accepted campaign money from Pink Slime producer
28 Mar 12 – Supported Scott Walker
27 Mar 12 – Thought the Soviet Union’s still our number one threat
19 Mar 12 – Said he’d push back against “evil” teachers unions
23 Feb 12 – Lied about requiring Massachusetts’ non-profit hospitals to provide emergency contraception
10 Feb 12 –Claimed only Americans place hand over heart to show how much we love our country
01 Feb 12 – Said he “Doesn’t Worry About the Poor“
27 Jan 12 – Failed to Report Interest Earned in His Off Shore Accounts
27 Jan 12 – Lied about his Fannie and Freddie investments being in a blind trust
18 Jan 12 – Stashed Millions in Offshore Accounts
17 Jan 12 – Said $362,000 in Speaking Fees is ‘Not Very Much’?
11 Jan 12 – Believes class warfare is about envy
09 Jan 12 – Vetoed contraception bill for rape victims as governor
09 Jan 12 – Claimed he “likes to fire people”
05 Jan 12 – He released tax plan, steal from the poor and give to the rich
04 Jan 12 – Said Big Bird would get the boot
13 Dec 11 – Bet Perry $10k during a debate
28 Nov 11 – Constantly flip-flops
23 Nov 11 – Said false ad’s ok
14 Nov 11 – Said he’d prepare for war with Iran
08 Oct 11 – Lied to cadets at the Citadel
22 Sep 11 – Claimed to be middle class
06 Sep 11 – He released economic plan favors the rich over everyone else
11 Aug 11 – Said “corporations are people”
05 Aug 11 – Pledged himself to evangelical group
01 Aug 11 – Opposed deal on debt ceiling
06 Jul 11 – Lied about the economy
Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 30 Oct 12 Edition
Just seven short days to go until the November election and while the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast is busy dealing with Hurricane Sandy – aka “Frankenstorm”, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s doubling down on his lies and misinformation, attempting to persuade voters in Ohio with new ads claiming it was he who saved the auto industry, and that President Obama’s shipping Jeep jobs to China. If you’ve ever wondered how far someone would go to win the presidency you now have a very real text book example in Romney; he’s willing to say anything, do anything in order to get elected.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The NPR poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 25 Oct 12 has the President and Romney tied with a 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 28 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
Meanwhile in the Gallup – anomaly – Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
Romney 51/President Obama 46
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 25 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls – counting the anomalous Gallup Poll – it appears Willard Mitt Romney edges out the President Obama in the general election 47.8/47.2; however – excluding the anomalous Gallup Poll – the opposite is found with the President edging out Romney 47.5/47.
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 303/235
Obama 290/248
Obama 272/266
Obama 286/252
Obama 288/250
Obama 303/235
Obama 290/248
Obama 307/231
Romney 288/250
Romney 276/262
According to the simulations President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 234/201.
The Liberty Tree 
Fact vs Fiction …
Posted by PEB on October 31, 2012 in Humor
Tags: 47%, fact vs fiction, mitt romney 47% comment, romney on 47%, Romney's 47% Comment