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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 6 Nov 12 Edition

Today’s the day…

With votes being cast how are the candidates faring in the polls as it all comes to a close?

The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 5 Nov 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 49

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 3 – 5 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 49

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 49

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12

President Obama 48/Romney 47

Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.6/47.4

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 6 Nov 12

Obama 292/246
Obama 318/220
Obama 305/233
Obama 322/216
Obama 301/237
Obama 311/227
Obama 276/262
Obama 300/238

Romney 293/245
Romney 273/265

According to today’s simulations President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.

 
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Posted by on November 6, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 5 Nov 12 Edition

IT’S Finally here! Election Day Eve! And now we can all put out our stockings and wait for … oh, wait a minute…

So, with one day to go, how do the candidates stand up against each other?

The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 49

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 49

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12

President Obama 48/Romney 47

Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.5/47.3

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12

Obama 338/200
Obama 284/254
Obama 326/212
Obama 273/265
Obama 278/260
Obama 313/225
Obama 288/250
Obama 305/233
Obama 323/215

Romney 284/254

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 90% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 10%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.

 
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Posted by on November 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 4 Nov 12 Edition

Just two days until the November election.

So, how do the candidates stand up against each other?

The ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 30 Oct – 2 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 54% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 53% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12

President Obama 48/Romney 47

Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 48

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.4/46.6

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12

Obama 296/242
Obama 313/225
Obama 321/217
Obama 347/191
Obama 300/238
Obama 280/258
Obama 281/257
Obama 306/232

Romney 281/257
Romney 272/266

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.

 
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Posted by on November 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 3 Nov 12 Edition

Three days until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s continues in desperation to flame out with his pack of lies running 24/7 in the swing states.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 1 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 49

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 48

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 51

IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.5/46.8

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.7/44.3 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 3 Nov 12

Obama 270/268
Obama 293/245
Obama 306/232

Obama 309/229
Obama 278/268
Obama 281/257
Obama 271/267

Romney 271/267
Romney 293/245
Romney 271/267

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 70% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 30%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.

 
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Posted by on November 3, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 2 Nov 12 Edition

Four more days and counting until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s going down with his pants streaming flame behind him, his latest Florida ads have him comparing the President to Castro.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 48

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 51

IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.4/46.5

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.7/44.3 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12

Obama 332/206
Obama 319/219
Obama 299/239
Obama 297/241
Obama 274/264
Obama 289/249
Obama 272/266
Obama 310/228
Obama 313/225
Obama 290/248

According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 100% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 0%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.

 
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Posted by on November 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 1 Nov 12 Edition

Five more days until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s decided it’s better to go out as a liar than to just go out, continuing to run his ads in Ohio claiming the President allowed the auto industry to go bankrupt.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 46

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 30 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 49

RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 47

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 51

IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.4/46.6

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12

Obama 284/254
Obama 299/239
Obama 291/247
Obama 330/208
Obama 304/234
Obama 300/238
Obama 279/259
Obama 327/211
Obama 287/251

Romney 279/259

According to the simulations President Obama has a 90% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 10%.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be  picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 229/206.

 
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Posted by on November 1, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Reasons Why I Can’t Vote for Romney – 30 October Edition

The ever expanding list of reasons as to why I can’t vote for Willard Mitt Romney because he:

29 Oct 12 – Lied about Jeep moving jobs to China.

12 Sep 12 – Lied about the President’s response to attacks on U.S. diplomats and embassies in Libya and Egypt.

31 Aug 12 – Continues to lie about President Obama’s record, spokes person said the campaign wouldn’t be influenced by fact checking – meaning they’ll lie about whatever and whenever they choose.

Lied during his acceptance speech about President Obama saying he went on an apology tour after being inaugurated, cut $716 billion dollars from Medicare, raised taxes on the middle class and had thrown Israel under the bus.

Allowed VP pick Paul Ryan to give a speech full of lies.

Allowed Clint Eastwood to stand up on stage at age 82 and make a fool out of himself turning a Hollywood icon into the Court Jester.

20 Aug 12 – Lied about President Obama ending welfare to work.

12 Jul 12 – Lied to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) about his role at Bain Capital; possibly committed a felony.

12 Jul 12 – Lied about when he left Bain Capital

16 Jun 12 – Said he’d do opposite of everything President Obama’s done for Israel

14 Jun 12 – Said it was OK to fire public sector employees

12 Jun 12 – Claimed he wanted to serve in Vietnam although granted multiple deferments

09 Jun12 – Thinks we have too many teachers, fire fighters and police officers

05 Jun 12 –Confirmed earlier confirmation there’s a village missing him

30 May 12 –Has morons on his team –misspells America on campaign iPhone app

29 May 12 – Chose to chum around with Trump

18 May 12 –Confirmed there’s a village missing him

11 May 12 –Joked about bullying a fellow student in high school 

09 May 12 – Lied about saving the auto industry

19 Apr 12 – Refused to release Tax Returns and lied about John Kerry

17 Apr 12 – Failed to denounce Ted Nugent

14 Apr 12 – Thought “struggling” in college wass divesting some of your stock portfolio

11 Apr 12 – Willard didn’t know what the Lilly Ledbetter Act was

29 Mar 12 – Told a “humorous” story about firing people

29 Mar 12 – Accepted campaign money from Pink Slime producer

28 Mar 12 – Supported Scott Walker

27 Mar 12 – Thought the Soviet Union’s still our number one threat

19 Mar 12 – Said he’d push back against “evil” teachers unions

23 Feb 12 – Lied about requiring Massachusetts’ non-profit hospitals to provide emergency contraception

10 Feb 12 –Claimed only Americans place hand over heart to show how much we love our country

01 Feb 12 – Said he “Doesn’t Worry About the Poor

27 Jan 12 – Failed to Report Interest Earned in His Off Shore Accounts

27 Jan 12 – Lied about his Fannie and Freddie investments being in a blind trust

18 Jan 12 – Stashed Millions in Offshore Accounts

17 Jan 12 – Said $362,000 in Speaking Fees is ‘Not Very Much’?

11 Jan 12 – Believes class warfare is about envy

09 Jan 12 – Vetoed contraception bill for rape victims as governor

09 Jan 12 – Claimed he “likes to fire people”

05 Jan 12 – He released tax plan, steal from the poor and give to the rich

04 Jan 12 – Said Big Bird would get the boot

13 Dec 11 – Bet Perry $10k during a debate

28 Nov 11 – Constantly flip-flops

23 Nov 11 – Said false ad’s ok

14 Nov 11 – Said he’d prepare for war with Iran

08 Oct 11 – Lied to cadets at the Citadel

22 Sep 11 – Claimed to be middle class

06 Sep 11 – He released economic plan favors the rich over everyone else

11 Aug 11 – Said “corporations are people”

05 Aug 11 – Pledged himself to evangelical group

01 Aug 11 – Opposed deal on debt ceiling

06 Jul 11 – Lied about the economy

 
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Posted by on October 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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