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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls (11 Oct 11 Edition)

11 Oct

WP/Bloomberg/PSRAI poll conducted from 06 – 09 Oct 11 shows that Mittens Romney is now firmly in the lead of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus.

The current WP/Bloomberg/PSRAI poll shows:

Mittens Romney 24; Herman “Pizza Man” Cain 16; Reverend Rick Perry 13; Ronny Paul 6; Michele “Krazy” Bachmann 4; Newter Gingrich 3; Ricky “The Ric” Santorum 1 and Jon “I can’t believe it’s not butter” Huntsman 0 …

So, Mittens is – it appears – firmly ensconced in the lead; “Herb” Cain still appears to be the “flavor of the week” while Perry is now plummeting of the scope; Paul, Krazy and Newter are floating in no-man’s land; Santorum is stuck in neutral and Huntsman’s campaign has stalled once again.

In Iowa, a new PPP (D) poll conducted from 07 – 10 Oct 11: Cain 30; Romney 22; Paul 10; Perry 9; Bachmann and Gingrich both 8; Santorum 5 and Huntsman 1…

There’s some movement in the middle of the pack, as a fresh New Hampshire poll from Harvard/Saint Anselm conducted from 2 – 6 Oct 11 indicates: Mittens 38; Cain 20; Paul 13; Gingrich 5; Perry and Huntsman 4; Bachman 3 while Santorum and Gary Johnson both have 1.

This week I’m adding polling concerning the South Carolina Primary – a poll conducted by Winthrop from 11 – 18 Sep 11 shows a very tight race up front: Perry 31; Romney 27; Cain 8; Gingrich 5; Bachmann and Paul 4; Huntsman and Santorum both 2.

According to a PPP (D) poll – conducted from 07 – 10 Oct 11, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 45

President Obama 49/Perry 40

President Obama 48/Cain 42

President Obama 50/Gingrich 39

President Obama 47/Paul 39

President Obama 50/Bachmann 38

For some strange reason Rasmussen Reports conducted a poll 2 – 3 Oct 11 to see how Santorum was doing:

President Obama 45/Santorum 34

Unfortunately for Huntsman, pollsters have decided it’s time to stick him with the proverbial  fork – because he’s done; of course, truth be told, so are Santorum, Bachmann, Perry, Paul and Gingrich.

President Obama/Huntsman

If the GOTP nomination circus – and the general election – had both ended today, Mittens would now be the GOTP candidate, and he would have tied with President Obama.

However, there’s still (even more now than before) the reality that evangelicals are generally not going to vote for a Mormon; so, if Mittens wins the nomination it is probable that a large section of the GOTP base will likely vote for someone else (a third party candidate – like a Bachmann) or just stay home. Romney has a huge credibility issue due to some major flip-flops on issues, and his inability to know fact from fiction on national defense questions, or the so-called job creation while he was governor of Massachusetts – amongst other things …

 
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Posted by on October 11, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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