Never has the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus, specifically the GOTP clown car, spun so wildly down Nomination Drive as it did on Saturday, 21 Jan 12 in South Carolina when Newton Leroy Gingrich pummeled Willard Mittens Romney in a decisive primary victory 40 to 27 placing Mitten’s assured coronation as the GOTP nominee in serious danger. No GOTP primary candidate has ever won the party’s nomination without winning South Carolina – NONE repeat NONE have ever pulled that off.
The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 1 and Paul 0; never have three separate candidates won the first three GOTP caucuses/primaries – NEVER; clearly the party doesn’t want Mitt, but can’t decide who it wants instead of him. Do they go with the crazy uncle in the attic, the over-the-top gay bashing brother, or the adulterer?
So, in the aftermath of Newton’s victory where have things settled poll wise? A new Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18 – 22 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are: Willard Mittens Romney 29; Newton Leroy Gingrich 28; Ronny Paul 13 and Ricky Santorum 11
Things have turned drastically against Romney in current Florida polling where the new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted on 22 Jan 12 now has Gingrich 41; Romney 32; Santorum 11; and Paul 8
There are no new polls for the upcoming Nevada Caucus where Romney led in the last Las Vegas Review-Journal poll: Romney 35; Gingrich 26; Paul 5; Perry 4; Huntsman and Santorum 1, but depending on Florida things may turn here as well.
For the Maine Caucus there haven’t been any new polls conducted since October; Maine’s caucus is the same day as Nevada, 4 Feb 12.
Concerning how the GOTP candidates currently stack up against the President, the latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 20 – 22 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:
President Obama 45/Romney 43
President Obama 48/Gingrich 39
President Obama 48/Santorum 38
Clearly Rasmussen doesn’t see Paul as a serious contender – finally something I can agree on with Rasmussen.
Romney’s primary record went from 1-1 to 1-2 as a seemingly clear victory became at best a long and drawn out primary process for Mittens, but at worse a losing proposition; Florida will tell if he’s realistically still in it.
So, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would barely be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.