Tomorrow – Super Tuesday – Republican Tea Party (GOTP) types will run to the polls in droves to decide which for which of the four horsemen of the GOPocalypse they hope will win their party’s presidential nomination.
Willard Mittens Romney won Saturday’s Washington’s Non-Binding Caucus with 43 delegates; Romney 37.6 (16 delegates); Santorum 32 (5 delegates); Paul 16 (5 delegates) and Gingrich 13 (0 delegates).
So how do things stack up going into Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)?
Alaska’s Proportional Caucus with 27 delegates; no polling info …
Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; InsiderAdvantage poll of likely voters conducted 4 Mar 12: Gingrich 47; Romney 21; Santorum 18 and Paul 6 with 8% undecided. Newt is showing a second wind, at least in his home state – but the more important question is who will take second place?
Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus with 32 delegates; no polling info …
Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; Suffolk/7News poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 15 Feb 12: Romney 64; Santorum 16; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 and with 7% undecided.
North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus with 28 delegates; no polling info …
Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 4 Mar 12: Santorum 32; Romney 31; Gingrich and Paul 13 with 11% undecided.
Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Rasmussen Reports of likely voters conducted 21 Feb 12: Santorum 43; Gingrich 22; Romney 18 and Paul 7 with 10% undecided.
Tennessee’s Proportional Primary with 58 delegates; PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 3 – 4 Mar 12: Santorum 34; Romney 29; Gingrich 27 and Paul 8 with 2% undecided.
In Vermont’s Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; Castleton State College poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 11 Feb 12: Romney 34; Santorum 27; Paul 14 and Gingrich 10 with 15% undecided
Virginia ludicrous Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; a new NBC News/Marist poll of likely voters conducted 29 Feb – 2 Mar 12: Romney 69 and Paul 26 with 5% undecided. Of course winning a state where you’re the only real candidate on the ballot doesn’t mean much, except in delegates awarded.
So the Super Tuesday rundown looks like this:
Romney: Idaho, Massachusetts, Vermont and Virginia
Santorum: Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee,
Gingrich: Georgia
Paul:
Unknown: Alaska and North Dakota
The regular season records for the gallant candidates: Romney 7; Santorum 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.
The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 173; Santorum 74; Paul 37 and Gingrich 33.
The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:
Romney 1,786,594
Gingrich 989,187
Santorum 956,245
Paul 479,835
Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 29 Feb – 3 Mar 12: Romney 38; Santorum 32; Gingrich and Paul 13 with 4% undecided.
So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 29 Feb – 3 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:
President Obama 50/Romney 44
President Obama 53/Santorum 39
If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.