Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 31 Jul 12 Edition

31 Jul

We’ve only got 14 weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s in the midst of his 2012 World Tour! Unfortunately for Willard it hasn’t been the rousing success he had no doubt hoped for; after insulting Great Britain – repeatedly – one British paper’s front page declared “Mitt the Twit!” Next he went to Israel declaring Jerusalem was the capital and denigrating the Arab Spring as well as insulting the Palestinians; and finally while in Warsaw, Poland his Press Secretary told the Press, “kiss my ____” and to “shove it”.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

No new favorability polls yet, but the last CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 Jul 12 – 16 Jul 12, showed the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 23 – 30 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 18 – 22 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Jul 12

Obama 329/209
Obama 286/252
Obama 294/244
Obama 327/211
Romney 286/252

Romney 301/237
Obama 308/230
Obama 299/239
Obama 323/215
Obama 341/197

Romney 275/263
Obama 328/210
Obama 325/213
Obama 307/231
Obama 326/212

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

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Posted by on July 31, 2012 in 2012 Election


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