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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 22 July 2016 Edition

22 Jul

The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) candidate, Donald Trump, has declared only he can save America, and has emerged from the disaster which was the Republican National Convention. Between Ben Carson claiming Hillary Clinton is in league with Satan, wife Melania willfully committing plagiarism, and the crowd shouting for blood, calling for Hillary’s arrest and booing Ted Cruz from the stage, many Republican insiders are happy that he’s off to the slaughter and good riddance.

decision 2016

Trump has also anointed his running mate, Governor of Indiana Mike Pence, right-wing evangelical crazy, and politician in freefall who was about to lose his reelection bid after a series of horrendous decisions, including last year’s “religious freedom” exercise wherein he signed into law a bill allowing “Christian” businesses to discriminate against anyone they felt violated God’s law, but primarily same-sex couples.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is set to pick her running mate as she prepares for next week’s Democratic Convention in Philadelphia. Clinton and fellow Democrats spent the past week gleefully watching the Trump Coronation stumble from one miscue to the next.

Reuters/Ipsos 16-20 July – Clinton 40/Trump 36
Economist/YouGov 15-17 July – Clinton 45/Trump 41
NBC News/SurveyMonkey 11-17 July – Clinton 46/Trump 45
CNN/ORC Poll 13-16 July – Clinton 49/Trump 42
ABC News/Wash Post 11-14 July – Clinton 47/Trump 43

2016-electoral-map-clinton-trump-22 July 2016

As a reminder,
President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964

Running election simulations, Clinton beats Trump nine out of ten times.

Clinton 328/Trump 210
Clinton 342/Trump 196
Clinton 271/Trump 267
Clinton 304/Trump 234
Clinton 290/Trump 248

Trump 298/Clinton 240
Clinton 282/Trump 256
Clinton 295/Trump 243
Clinton 273/Trump 265
Clinton 320/Trump 218

According to recent polling data available, if all things remain constant, odds are Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States, and Trump will be a footnote in the history books.

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Posted by on July 22, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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