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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 29 July 2016 Edition

29 Jul

The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) candidate, Donald Trump openly committed an act of sedition during the week, asking Russian hackers to attack Hillary Clinton’s servers and find her missing emails leaving leaders of both parties to question whether Trump should receive any intelligence briefings from the CIA, as he may not be entirely trustworthy.

Hillary Clinton has made history being named the Democratic Party’s nominee – the first woman nominated by a major political party in United States history. Sorry, Jill Stein does not count since the Green Party is definitely not a major party. Clinton has selected Virginia Senator Tim Kaine as her running mate, and the two parties have their champions.

decision 2016

Nationally, the polling numbers giving Trump a small post-convention bump are beginning to go soft.

Reuters/Ipsos 25-29 July – Clinton 40/Trump 35
LA Times/USC 22-28 July – Clinton 41/Trump 47
Economist/YouGov 23-24 July – Clinton 47/Trump 42
NBC News/SurveyMonkey 18-24 July – Clinton 46/Trump 45
CNN/ORC Poll 22-24 July – Clinton 48/Trump 45
Gravis Poll 21-22 July – Clinton 49/Trump 51

2016-electoral-map-clinton-trump-29July 2016

The Electoral Map is based on all current state polling data

As a reminder,
President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964

Running election simulations, Clinton beats Trump nine out of ten times.

Clinton 294/Trump 244
Trump 279/Clinton 259
Clinton 278/Trump 260
Clinton 298/Trump 240
Clinton 300/Trump 238

Clinton 342/Trump 196
Clinton 330/Trump 208
Clinton 302/Trump 236
Clinton 308/Trump 230
Clinton 293/Trump 245

According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States, and Trump will be a fade away as a footnote in the history books.

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Posted by on July 29, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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