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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 17 September 2016 Edition

17 Sep

In the last week, Hillary Clinton suffered a near fainting spell while attending 9-11 commemoration events in New York City, the result of a bout of pneumonia. The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) candidate, Donald Trump, continues to makes outlandish claims, most recently that the “birther” movement was not started by him, but by Hillary Clinton, and his son, Donald Jr., has been making holocaust references when referring to how the media is treating his father. Yes, the circus surrounding Trump continues.

decision 2016

Nationally, the polling numbers show the race may be tightening.

CBS News/NY Times – 09-15 September – Clinton 46/Trump 44
Economist/YouGov 09-13 September – Clinton 46/Trump 44
Quinnipiac 08-13 September – Clinton 48/Trump 43
Reuters/Ispos 08-12 September – Clinton 40/Trump 39
NBC News/SM 05-11 September – Clinton 51/Trump 43

2016-electoral-map-clinton-trump-16sep2016

As a continuing reminder,

President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964

Running election simulations, Clinton beats Trump ten out of ten times.

Clinton 313/Trump 225
Clinton 288/Trump 250
Clinton 300/Trump 238
Clinton 316/Trump 222
Clinton 319/Trump 219

Clinton 279/Trump 259
Clinton 328/Trump 210
Clinton 298/Trump 240
Clinton 305/Trump 233
Clinton 334/Trump 204

Although the race appears to have tightened, according to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States, and Trump will still fade away as a footnote in the history books.

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Posted by on September 17, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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