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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 25 October 2016 Edition

25 Oct

There are exactly two weeks to go in the 2016 Presidential Election, and Donald Trump’s precarious GOP campaign continues to be rocked with ongoing allegations of sexual assaults and predatory behavior from the darling boy of the evangelical right. Can he survive with any amount of a serious electoral challenge? This remains to be seen as Utah is swinging to Republican third wheel candidate, Evan McMullin, and Hillary Clinton is challenging the GOP candidate in Texas and Georgia.

decision 2016

Nationally, Clinton’s lead continues to hold.

CNN/ORC – 20-23 October – Clinton 51/Trump 45
ABC News Tracking – 20-22 October 2016 – Clinton 53/Trump 41
Quinnipiac – 17-18 October – Clinton 50/Trump 44
Economist/YouGov – 15-18 October – Clinton 47/Trump 43
Fox News – 15-17 October – Clinton 49/Trump 42

State polling indicates a much clearer view of how the race is going on the eve of the second Presidential debate.

24-oct-16-electoral-map

The Electoral Map is based on all current state polling data

electoral-college-23-oct-2012

As a continuing reminder,

President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964

Running election simulations, Clinton continues to beat Trump ten out of ten times.

Clinton 291/Trump 240
Clinton 346/Trump 192
Clinton 318/Trump 220
Clinton 343/Trump 195
Clinton 341/Trump 197

Clinton 325/Trump 213
Clinton 310/Trump 228
Clinton 296/Trump 242
Clinton 295/Trump 245
Clinton 342/Trump 196

According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States.

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Posted by on October 25, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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