There are exactly two weeks to go in the 2016 Presidential Election, and Donald Trump’s precarious GOP campaign continues to be rocked with ongoing allegations of sexual assaults and predatory behavior from the darling boy of the evangelical right. Can he survive with any amount of a serious electoral challenge? This remains to be seen as Utah is swinging to Republican third wheel candidate, Evan McMullin, and Hillary Clinton is challenging the GOP candidate in Texas and Georgia.
Nationally, Clinton’s lead continues to hold.
CNN/ORC – 20-23 October – Clinton 51/Trump 45
ABC News Tracking – 20-22 October 2016 – Clinton 53/Trump 41
Quinnipiac – 17-18 October – Clinton 50/Trump 44
Economist/YouGov – 15-18 October – Clinton 47/Trump 43
Fox News – 15-17 October – Clinton 49/Trump 42
State polling indicates a much clearer view of how the race is going on the eve of the second Presidential debate.
The Electoral Map is based on all current state polling data
As a continuing reminder,
President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964
Running election simulations, Clinton continues to beat Trump ten out of ten times.
Clinton 291/Trump 240
Clinton 346/Trump 192
Clinton 318/Trump 220
Clinton 343/Trump 195
Clinton 341/Trump 197
Clinton 325/Trump 213
Clinton 310/Trump 228
Clinton 296/Trump 242
Clinton 295/Trump 245
Clinton 342/Trump 196
According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States.