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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 29 October 2016 Edition

29 Oct

We the People are down to ten days left in the 2016 Presidential Election, and Donald Trump continues to fall into a strange land of make believe claiming this past week that Hillary should be kicked out of the race and he should just be declared the winner. Fortunately, for the rest of us, that is not the way we do things in America.

decision 2016

Nationally, Clinton’s lead continues to hold.

IBD/TIPP Tracking – 23-28 October – Clinton 46/Trump 41
ABC News Tracking – 24-27 October 2016 – Clinton 49/Trump 46
Economist/YouGov – 22-26 October – Clinton 49/Trump 46
Fox News – 22-25 October – Clinton 49/Trump 44
Pew Research – 20-25 October – Clinton 50/Trump 43
CNBC – 21-24 October – Clinton 47/Trump 37
Reuters/Ipsos – 20-24 October Clinton 43/Trump 37

State polling indicates a much clearer view of how the race is going as we head into single digit days remaining.

29-oct-16-electoral-map

The Electoral Map is based on all current state polling data

2012-electoral-map-30-october-2012

In 2012, the electoral map was looking much closer as the race closed on the finish line with President Obama preparing to defeat Mitt Romney

As a continuing reminder,

President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964

Running election simulations, Clinton continues to beat Trump 14 out of 15 times.

Clinton 316/Trump 222
Clinton 287/Trump 251
Clinton 303/Trump 235
Clinton 317/Trump 221
Clinton 323/Trump 215

Clinton 337/Trump 201
Clinton 354/Trump 184
Clinton 303/Trump 235
Clinton 278/Trump 260
Trump 279/Clinton 259

Clinton 288/Trump 250
Clinton 326/Trump 212
Clinton 279/Trump 259
Clinton 312/Trump 226
Clinton 351/Trump 187

According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States.

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Posted by on October 29, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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