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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 7 November 2016 Edition

07 Nov

Happy Election’s Eve! We the People are down to one day left in the 2016 Presidential Election – the actual Election Day!

decision 2016

Nationally, Clinton’s lead continues to hold.

Bloomberg 4-6 Nov 2016 – Clinton 44/Trump 41
Economist/YouGov – 4-7 Nov 2016 – Clinton 45/Trump 41
IBD/TIPP Tracking – 3-6 Nov 2016 – Clinton 41/Trump 43
ABC/Wash Post Tracking – 3-6 Nov 2016 – Clinton 47/Trump 43
Fox News – 3-6 Nov – Clinton 48/Trump 44
Monmouth 3-6 Nov 2016 – Clinton 50/Trump 44
Gravis 3-6 Nov 2016 – Clinton 47/Trump 43
CBS News 2-6 Nov 2016 – Clinton 45/Trump 41
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl – 3-5 Nov 2016 – Clinton 48/Trump 43
Reuters/Ipsos – 30 Oct – 4 Nov 2016 – Clinton 44/Trump 40
McClatchy/Marist – 1-3 Nov – Clinton 46/Trump 44
CBS News/NY Times – 28 Oct – 1 Nov 2016 – Clinton 47/Trump 44

Four years ago, this is how polling was running in the race between President Obama and Mitt Romney

Politico/GWU/Battleground – 4-5 Nov 2012 – Obama 49/Romney 49
CNN/Opinion Research – 2-4 Nov 2012 – Obama 49/Romney 49
IBD/TIPP 3-5 Nov 2012 – Obama 50/Romney 49
Gallup – 1-4 Nov 2012 – Obama 48/Romney 49
Pew Research – 31 October – 3 Nov 2012 – Obama 50/Romney 47
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl. – 1-3 Nov 2012 – Obama 48/Romney 47
Public Policy Polling – 1-3 Nov 2012 – Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Washington Post – 29 Oct – 2 Nov 2012 – Obama 49/Romney 48

State polling indicates a much clearer view of how the race is going as we head into two days remaining.

6-nov-2012-electoral-map

In 2012, the electoral map was looking much closer as the race closed on the finish line with President Obama preparing to defeat Mitt Romney

07-nov-16-electoral-map

The Electoral Map is based on all current state polling data

As a continuing reminder,

President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964

Running election simulations, Clinton continues to beat Trump eight out of ten times.

Trump 273/Clinton 265
Clinton 310/Trump 228
Clinton 338/Trump 200
Trump 280/Clinton 258
Clinton 299/Trump 239

Clinton 293/Trump 245
Clinton 304/Trump 234
Clinton 286/Trump 252
Clinton 308/Trump 230
Clinton 310/Trump 228

According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States.

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Posted by on November 7, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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