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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Arizona GOTP Debate) 22 Feb 12 Edition

22 Feb

Tonight the four horsemen meet again in the last debate before Super Tuesday; how will they behave? Will they all gang up on the President in one big Republican Tea Party (GOTP) group hug, or will they go after each other finally realizing they have to win the nomination first and then go after the President?

Maine’s primary still has yet to be decided (completely) with the GOTP infighting over what votes should or shouldn’t be counted – like leaving out whole counties which might not have voted for Mittens.

Tonight’s debate is designed to prime the pump of GOTP voters heading into the Arizona and Michigan primaries next week, and indicators are those races are completely up for grabs.

In Arizona’s Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; the new CNN/Time poll of likely voters conducted 17 – 20 Feb 12: Romney 36; Santorum 32; Gingrich 18 and Paul 6 with 8% undecided. Those undecided voters could push Santorum to a win, or add to a Romney blow out, tonight’s debate performances will tell.

Michigan’s Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; a new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 20 Feb 12: Santorum 38; Romney 34; Paul 10 and Gingrich 9 with 9% undecided. This shouldn’t even be close for Romney, but it’s a clear indicator of how much he’s disliked amongst his own party.

Washington’s Non-Binding Caucus with 43 delegates – 3 Mar 12; a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 16 – 19 Feb 12: Santorum 38; Romney 27; Paul 15 and Gingrich 12 with 8% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Alaska’s Proportional Caucus with 27 delegates; no polling info …

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted 20 Feb 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 24; Santorum 23 and Paul 12 with 15% undecided. This clearly demonstrates Newt’s time has come and gone.

Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus with 32 delegates; no polling info …

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; Suffolk/7News poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 15 Feb 12: Romney 64; Santorum 16; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 and with 7% undecided.

North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus with 28 delegates; no polling info …

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 15 Feb 12: Santorum 42; Romney 24; Gingrich 13 and Paul 10 with 11% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 8 – 16 Feb 12: Santorum 39; Romney 23; Gingrich 18 and Paul 8 with 12% undecided.

Tennessee’s Proportional Primary with 58 delegates; no polling info …

Nothing new with Vermont’s Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

Virginia Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; a new CNU/Times-Dispatch poll of likely voters conducted 4 – 13 Feb 12: Romney 53 and Paul 23 with 24% undecided.

Wyoming’s Non-Binding Caucus of 29 delegates; no polling info …

The regular season records for the gallant candidates: Santorum 4; Romney 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 90; Santorum 44; Gingrich 32 and Paul 13.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,121,685

Gingrich 838,825

Santorum 431,926

Paul 307,975

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 17 – 21 Feb 12: Santorum 35; Romney 27; Gingrich 15 and Paul 10 with 13% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 19 – 21 Feb 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 46/Santorum 43

Latest Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 14 – 20 Feb 12;

President Obama 50/Gingrich 39

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Rick Santorum would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

But wait a minute, what’s the electoral map look like if the election were held today?

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Posted by on February 22, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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