RSS

Tag Archives: Super Tuesday

Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Arizona GOTP Debate) 22 Feb 12 Edition

Tonight the four horsemen meet again in the last debate before Super Tuesday; how will they behave? Will they all gang up on the President in one big Republican Tea Party (GOTP) group hug, or will they go after each other finally realizing they have to win the nomination first and then go after the President?

Maine’s primary still has yet to be decided (completely) with the GOTP infighting over what votes should or shouldn’t be counted – like leaving out whole counties which might not have voted for Mittens.

Tonight’s debate is designed to prime the pump of GOTP voters heading into the Arizona and Michigan primaries next week, and indicators are those races are completely up for grabs.

In Arizona’s Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; the new CNN/Time poll of likely voters conducted 17 – 20 Feb 12: Romney 36; Santorum 32; Gingrich 18 and Paul 6 with 8% undecided. Those undecided voters could push Santorum to a win, or add to a Romney blow out, tonight’s debate performances will tell.

Michigan’s Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; a new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 20 Feb 12: Santorum 38; Romney 34; Paul 10 and Gingrich 9 with 9% undecided. This shouldn’t even be close for Romney, but it’s a clear indicator of how much he’s disliked amongst his own party.

Washington’s Non-Binding Caucus with 43 delegates – 3 Mar 12; a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 16 – 19 Feb 12: Santorum 38; Romney 27; Paul 15 and Gingrich 12 with 8% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Alaska’s Proportional Caucus with 27 delegates; no polling info …

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted 20 Feb 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 24; Santorum 23 and Paul 12 with 15% undecided. This clearly demonstrates Newt’s time has come and gone.

Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus with 32 delegates; no polling info …

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; Suffolk/7News poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 15 Feb 12: Romney 64; Santorum 16; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 and with 7% undecided.

North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus with 28 delegates; no polling info …

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 15 Feb 12: Santorum 42; Romney 24; Gingrich 13 and Paul 10 with 11% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 8 – 16 Feb 12: Santorum 39; Romney 23; Gingrich 18 and Paul 8 with 12% undecided.

Tennessee’s Proportional Primary with 58 delegates; no polling info …

Nothing new with Vermont’s Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

Virginia Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; a new CNU/Times-Dispatch poll of likely voters conducted 4 – 13 Feb 12: Romney 53 and Paul 23 with 24% undecided.

Wyoming’s Non-Binding Caucus of 29 delegates; no polling info …

The regular season records for the gallant candidates: Santorum 4; Romney 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 90; Santorum 44; Gingrich 32 and Paul 13.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,121,685

Gingrich 838,825

Santorum 431,926

Paul 307,975

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 17 – 21 Feb 12: Santorum 35; Romney 27; Gingrich 15 and Paul 10 with 13% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 19 – 21 Feb 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 46/Santorum 43

Latest Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 14 – 20 Feb 12;

President Obama 50/Gingrich 39

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Rick Santorum would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

But wait a minute, what’s the electoral map look like if the election were held today?

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on February 22, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

Tags: , , , , , , ,

Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 03 Feb 12 (pre-Nevada Caucus) Edition

The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus continues, moving west young man, moving west! Willard Mittens Romney appears to be firmly ensconced behind the rubber wheel of the GOTP clown car.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 2 and Paul 0; clearly there are still issues as to whether the party wants Mitt, and if it will fall in line behind him should he eventually be the winner. Problem is, who would it run instead and how would it displace him?

Nevada Proportional Caucus with 28 Delegates – 4 Feb 12; a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 1 – 2 Feb 12: Romney 50; Gingrich 25; Paul 15 and Santorum 8 with 2% undecided.

Colorado Non-binding Caucus with 36 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 4 Dec 11: Gingrich 37; Romney 18; Paul 6 and Santorum 4 with 38% undecided.

Minnesota Non-binding Caucus with 40 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Jan 12: Gingrich 36; Romney 18; Santorum 17 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

The Maine Non-binding Caucus with 24 Delegates – 11 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Michigan Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 23; Santorum 17 and Paul 14 with 8% undecided.

Arizona Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 02 Feb 12: Gingrich 45; Romney 32; Santorum 9 and Paul 8 with 6% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 25; Santorum 22 and Paul 11 with 16% undecided.

Virginia Hybrid Primary (Where the FIX is in and only Romney’s on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 65; Gingrich 23; Santorum 6 and Paul 3.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,071,274

Gingrich 817,420

Santorum 378,567

Paul 278,567

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 29 Jan – 02 Feb 12: Romney 33; Gingrich 25; Santorum 16 and Paul 11 with 15% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 52/Gingrich 35

A new USA Today/Gallup poll conducted 27 – 28 Jan 12:

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

President Obama 49/Paul 46

As crazy as it still looks, clearly, on the electability scale Paul is the candidate who comes closest to actually being able to beat the President; that being said, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Speaking of the general election; the latest Electoral College figures are below, based on current available state polling, and once again, if the general election was held today these would be the results:

 
2 Comments

Posted by on February 3, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

Tags: , , , ,

Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 30 Jan 12 (pre-Florida Primary) Edition

After spinning wildly down the track following the South Carolina Primary, the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus, specifically the GOTP clown car, appears to be spinning back into Mitten’s favor; but can Romney pull out the nomination in the long run? Newton’s claiming he’s in it all the way to the convention – time will tell.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 1 and Paul 0; never have three separate candidates won the first three GOTP caucuses/primaries – NEVER; clearly the party doesn’t want Mitt, but can’t decide who it wants instead of him. Do they go with the crazy uncle in the attic, the over-the-top gay bashing brother, or the adulterer?

Concerning Florida’s Primary, a new Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted 29 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are: Romney 36; Gingrich 31; Paul 13 and Santorum 11 with 9% undecided.

There’s nothing new no new polls for the upcoming Nevada Caucus (4 Feb 12) where Romney led in the last Las Vegas Review-Journal poll of registered voters conducted 12 – 20 Dec 11: Romney 33; Gingrich 29; Paul 13 and Santorum 3 with 22% undecided.

The Maine Caucus’ (4 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Colorado Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 4 Dec 11: Gingrich 37; Romney 18; Paul 6 and Santorum 4 with 38% undecided.

Minnesota Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Jan 12: Gingrich 36; Romney 18; Santorum 17 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

Michigan Primary (28 Feb 12) last EPIC-MRA poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jan 12: Romney 31; Gingrich 26; Paul 14 and Santorum 10 with 19% undecided.

Arizona Primary (28 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 17 – 20 Nov 11: Gingrich 28; Romney 23; Paul 8 and Santorum 3 with 38% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Primary Mason-Dixon poll of likely voters conducted 12 – 14 Dec 11: Gingrich 43; Romney 21; Paul 4 and Santorum 1 with 31% undecided.

Ohio Primary Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 9 – 16 Jan 12: Romney 27; Santorum 18; Gingrich 17 and Paul 10 with 28% undecided.

Virginia Primary (where only Romney is on the ballot – can you spell FIX?) Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Primary Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Gingrich 23; Romney 13; Santorum 6 and Paul 3.

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 25 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 28; Romney 27; Santorum 16 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 52/Gingrich 35

A new USA Today/Gallup poll conducted 27 – 28 Jan 12:

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

President Obama 49/Paul 46

As crazy as it looks, clearly, on the electability scale Paul is the candidate who comes closest to actually being able to beat the President.That being said, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Newton Leroy Gingrich would barely be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Speaking of the general election; the latest Electoral College figures are below, based on current available state polling, and once again, if the general election was held today these would be the results:

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on January 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,