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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 30 Jan 12 (pre-Florida Primary) Edition

30 Jan

After spinning wildly down the track following the South Carolina Primary, the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus, specifically the GOTP clown car, appears to be spinning back into Mitten’s favor; but can Romney pull out the nomination in the long run? Newton’s claiming he’s in it all the way to the convention – time will tell.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 1 and Paul 0; never have three separate candidates won the first three GOTP caucuses/primaries – NEVER; clearly the party doesn’t want Mitt, but can’t decide who it wants instead of him. Do they go with the crazy uncle in the attic, the over-the-top gay bashing brother, or the adulterer?

Concerning Florida’s Primary, a new Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted 29 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are: Romney 36; Gingrich 31; Paul 13 and Santorum 11 with 9% undecided.

There’s nothing new no new polls for the upcoming Nevada Caucus (4 Feb 12) where Romney led in the last Las Vegas Review-Journal poll of registered voters conducted 12 – 20 Dec 11: Romney 33; Gingrich 29; Paul 13 and Santorum 3 with 22% undecided.

The Maine Caucus’ (4 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Colorado Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 4 Dec 11: Gingrich 37; Romney 18; Paul 6 and Santorum 4 with 38% undecided.

Minnesota Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Jan 12: Gingrich 36; Romney 18; Santorum 17 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

Michigan Primary (28 Feb 12) last EPIC-MRA poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jan 12: Romney 31; Gingrich 26; Paul 14 and Santorum 10 with 19% undecided.

Arizona Primary (28 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 17 – 20 Nov 11: Gingrich 28; Romney 23; Paul 8 and Santorum 3 with 38% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Primary Mason-Dixon poll of likely voters conducted 12 – 14 Dec 11: Gingrich 43; Romney 21; Paul 4 and Santorum 1 with 31% undecided.

Ohio Primary Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 9 – 16 Jan 12: Romney 27; Santorum 18; Gingrich 17 and Paul 10 with 28% undecided.

Virginia Primary (where only Romney is on the ballot – can you spell FIX?) Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Primary Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Gingrich 23; Romney 13; Santorum 6 and Paul 3.

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 25 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 28; Romney 27; Santorum 16 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 52/Gingrich 35

A new USA Today/Gallup poll conducted 27 – 28 Jan 12:

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

President Obama 49/Paul 46

As crazy as it looks, clearly, on the electability scale Paul is the candidate who comes closest to actually being able to beat the President.That being said, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Newton Leroy Gingrich would barely be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Speaking of the general election; the latest Electoral College figures are below, based on current available state polling, and once again, if the general election was held today these would be the results:

 
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Posted by on January 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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