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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 03 Feb 12 (pre-Nevada Caucus) Edition

03 Feb

The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus continues, moving west young man, moving west! Willard Mittens Romney appears to be firmly ensconced behind the rubber wheel of the GOTP clown car.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 2 and Paul 0; clearly there are still issues as to whether the party wants Mitt, and if it will fall in line behind him should he eventually be the winner. Problem is, who would it run instead and how would it displace him?

Nevada Proportional Caucus with 28 Delegates – 4 Feb 12; a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 1 – 2 Feb 12: Romney 50; Gingrich 25; Paul 15 and Santorum 8 with 2% undecided.

Colorado Non-binding Caucus with 36 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 4 Dec 11: Gingrich 37; Romney 18; Paul 6 and Santorum 4 with 38% undecided.

Minnesota Non-binding Caucus with 40 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Jan 12: Gingrich 36; Romney 18; Santorum 17 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

The Maine Non-binding Caucus with 24 Delegates – 11 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Michigan Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 23; Santorum 17 and Paul 14 with 8% undecided.

Arizona Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 02 Feb 12: Gingrich 45; Romney 32; Santorum 9 and Paul 8 with 6% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 25; Santorum 22 and Paul 11 with 16% undecided.

Virginia Hybrid Primary (Where the FIX is in and only Romney’s on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 65; Gingrich 23; Santorum 6 and Paul 3.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,071,274

Gingrich 817,420

Santorum 378,567

Paul 278,567

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 29 Jan – 02 Feb 12: Romney 33; Gingrich 25; Santorum 16 and Paul 11 with 15% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 52/Gingrich 35

A new USA Today/Gallup poll conducted 27 – 28 Jan 12:

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

President Obama 49/Paul 46

As crazy as it still looks, clearly, on the electability scale Paul is the candidate who comes closest to actually being able to beat the President; that being said, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Speaking of the general election; the latest Electoral College figures are below, based on current available state polling, and once again, if the general election was held today these would be the results:

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2 Comments

Posted by on February 3, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

Tags: , , , ,

2 responses to “Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 03 Feb 12 (pre-Nevada Caucus) Edition

  1. Charles Krueger

    February 6, 2012 at 21:13

    I’m really curious as to what Paul’s split of the electoral college numbers would be nationwide. Is that information available?

     
  2. Phil Bundy

    February 7, 2012 at 05:48

    Ron Paul’s electoral map is virtually the same as Rick Santorum’s with the available polling …

     

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