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Latest 2020 Presidential Polls – 9 March 2020 – MINI TUESDAY Primary Edition

Eighteen states have voted, leaving 32 more to go, and territories, and suddenly Joe Biden is now the undisputed leader in the race for the Democratic Party’s nomination. Senator Elizabeth Warren and billionaire Michael Bloomberg have dropped out of the race, leaving Biden, Sanders, and Tulsi Gabbard. However, no one is paying any attention to Gabbard, nor should they. The DOW has plummeted 3,513 points over the last month. The world continues facing a pandemic. Nancy Pelosi is still the Speaker, and Trump remains forever impeached.

So, where are things going into Mini-Tuesday?

In the delegate count, the winning candidate needing 1,991 to win the nomination, following Super Tuesday, where Biden killed Sanders winning Alabama, Arkansas, Maine, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia, the results are as follows:

Joe Biden 681
Bernie Sanders 608
Michael Bloomberg 74
Elizabeth Warren 69
Pete Buttigieg 27
Amy Klobuchar 7
Tulsi Gabbard 2

Bloomberg, Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Cory Booker have all endorsed Joe Biden. Warren is holding her cards close to her vest and not yet revealing where she will throw her support, but following Super Tuesday she received a plethora of ugly messages from Bernie Bros, so, it would be very interesting if she gave her endorsement to Sanders.

In the popular vote totals:

Joe Biden 4,921,782
Bernie Sanders 4,016,248
Elizabeth Warren 1,798,835
Michael Bloomberg 1,726,650
Pete Buttigieg 606,864
Amy Klobuchar 384,438
Tulsi “Why are you still running?” Gabbard 102,383

In national polling, only two conducted post-Super Tuesday, Joe Biden has soared back into the lead over Bernie for the Democratic Party nomination.

In the CNN Poll, conducted from 4-7 March 2020 of 1,211 respondents:

Biden 52%
Sanders 36%
Gabbard 0%

According to the Morning Consult poll, conducted 5 March 2020, of 1,390 Democratic primary voters contacted after Elizabeth Warren had dropped out of the race:

Biden 54%
Sanders 38%
Gabbard 2%

The latest Quinnipiac poll, conducted 5-8 March 2020, places the current rankings as such:

Biden 54%
Sanders 35%
Gabbard 2%

As far as the national race for the White House is concerned, according to recent polling data available, if the election was today, odds are Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders would be the 46th President of the United States. Trump, who forever remains the third impeached president in U.S. history, will still go down as one of the gloomiest and debauched persons to ever sit in the Oval Office.

 
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Posted by on March 9, 2020 in 2020 Election

 

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Latest 2020 Presidential Polls – 2 March 2020 – SUPER TUESDAY Primary Edition

Four states have voted, leaving 46 more to go, and territories, and suddenly Bernie Sanders is no longer the undisputed leader in the race for the Democratic Party’s nomination. Former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar, and billionaire Tom Steyer have bowed out, narrowing the field as we move into Super Tuesday! The DOW has had its worst week since George W. Bush wrecked the economy. The world faces a pandemic. Nancy Pelosi is still the Speaker, and Trump remains forever impeached.

So, where are things as we move to Super Tuesday?

In the delegate count, the winning candidate needing 1,991 to win the nomination, following South Carolina, the results are as follows:

Bernie Sanders 58
Joe Biden 50
Pete Buttigieg 26
Elizabeth Warren 8
Amy Klobuchar 7
Michael Bloomberg 0
Tulsi Gabbard 0

In the popular vote totals:

Joe Biden 323,244
Bernie Sanders 268,065
Pete Buttigieg 176,695
Elizabeth Warren 111,296
Amy Klobuchar 103,844
Tulsi Gabbard 16,542
Michael Bloomberg 4,793

In national polling, all conducted prior to Super Tuesday, Bernie Sanders continues to hold the lead for the Democratic Party nomination.

The IBD/TIPP poll, conducted 20-29 February 2020, of 908 adults contacted via mobile phones and landlines places the current rankings as such:

Sanders 23%
Biden 20%
Warren 17%
Bloomberg 13%

The latest Yahoo News/YouGov poll, conducted 26-27 February 2020, of 1,662 registered voters places the current rankings as such:

Sanders 27%
Biden 21%
Warren 18%
Bloomberg 14%

In the Morning Consult Poll, conducted from 26-27 February 2020 of 5,000 registered voters:

Sanders 33%
Biden 21%
Warren 18%
Bloomberg 14%

According to the latest Yahoo News/YouGov polling data, in the 10 states that will likely decide 2020 — Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine, North Carolina, and Arizona — Sanders’s lead over Trump is well within the 3-point margin of error (48 percent to 45 percent) making things very uncertain regarding Sander’s ability to beat Trump. In contrast, however, former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump by 9 points nationally (50 percent to 41 percent) and by 7 points (50 percent to 43 percent) in the battleground states.

The key element of being able to defeat Trump is the moderate Republican swing voters where Sanders is running far behind Biden. These voters switched to Democratic House or Senate candidates in the 2018 midterms after casting their ballots for Trump in 2016 helping Democrats flip 41 seats and regain control of the House in 2018. Among these voters, Biden beats Trump by 12 points (51 percent to 39 percent) while Sanders only narrowly outperforms Trump by 4 points (48 percent to 44 percent).

As far as the national race for the White House is concerned, according to recent polling data available, if the election was today, odds are Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders would be the 46th President of the United States. Trump, who forever remains the third impeached president in U.S. history, will still go down as one of the most morose and decadent persons to ever sit in the Oval Office.

 
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Posted by on March 2, 2020 in 2020 Election

 

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Latest 2020 Presidential Polls – 25 February 2020 – South Carolina Primary Edition

Three states have voted, leaving 47 more to go, plus territories, but to continue hearing Bernie Sanders and his supporters it is all over and Joe Biden, and everyone else should drop out. Moving towards March, the DOW has had one of its largest single day drops in history, Nancy Pelosi is still the Speaker, and Trump remains forever impeached.

So, where are things as we move to the southeast and South Carolina?

In the delegate count, needing 1,991 to win the candidacy, following Nevada, the results are as follows:

Bernie Sanders 45
Pete Buttigieg 25
Joe Biden 15
Elizabeth Warren 8
Amy Klobuchar 7
Tom Steyer 0
Michael Bloomberg 0
Tulsi Gabbard 0

In the popular vote totals:

Bernie Sanders 163,261
Pete Buttigieg 133,316
Amy Klobuchar 87,270
Elizabeth Warren 74,063
Joe Biden 67,721
Tom Steyer 15,227
Tulsi Gabbard 9,793
Michael Bloomberg 4,797

In national polling, Bernie Sanders continues to hold the lead for the Democratic Party nomination.

The CBS News/YouGov poll, conducted 20-22 February 2020, of 10,000 registered voters places the current rankings as such:

Sanders 28%
Warren 19%
Biden 17%
Bloomberg 13%
Buttigieg 10%
Klobuchar 5%

The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, conducted 14-17 February 2020, of 1,066 adults places the current rankings as such:

Sanders 32%
Biden 16%
Bloomberg 14%
Warren 12%
Buttigieg 8%
Klobuchar 7%

In the Emerson Poll, conducted from 16-18 February 2020 of 1,250 registered voters:

Sanders 29%
Biden 22%
Bloomberg 14%
Warren 12%
Buttigieg 8%
Klobuchar 6%

Moving into the South Carolina Primary, the current polling stands as:

As far as the national race for the White House is concerned, according to recent polling data available, if the election was today, odds are Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders would be the 46th President of the United States. Trump, who forever remains the third impeached president in U.S. history, will still go down as one of the most morose and decadent persons to ever sit in the Oval Office.

 
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Posted by on February 25, 2020 in 2020 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 03 Feb 12 (pre-Nevada Caucus) Edition

The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus continues, moving west young man, moving west! Willard Mittens Romney appears to be firmly ensconced behind the rubber wheel of the GOTP clown car.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 2 and Paul 0; clearly there are still issues as to whether the party wants Mitt, and if it will fall in line behind him should he eventually be the winner. Problem is, who would it run instead and how would it displace him?

Nevada Proportional Caucus with 28 Delegates – 4 Feb 12; a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 1 – 2 Feb 12: Romney 50; Gingrich 25; Paul 15 and Santorum 8 with 2% undecided.

Colorado Non-binding Caucus with 36 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 4 Dec 11: Gingrich 37; Romney 18; Paul 6 and Santorum 4 with 38% undecided.

Minnesota Non-binding Caucus with 40 Delegates – 7 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Jan 12: Gingrich 36; Romney 18; Santorum 17 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

The Maine Non-binding Caucus with 24 Delegates – 11 Feb 12; last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Michigan Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 23; Santorum 17 and Paul 14 with 8% undecided.

Arizona Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 02 Feb 12: Gingrich 45; Romney 32; Santorum 9 and Paul 8 with 6% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 25; Santorum 22 and Paul 11 with 16% undecided.

Virginia Hybrid Primary (Where the FIX is in and only Romney’s on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 65; Gingrich 23; Santorum 6 and Paul 3.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,071,274

Gingrich 817,420

Santorum 378,567

Paul 278,567

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 29 Jan – 02 Feb 12: Romney 33; Gingrich 25; Santorum 16 and Paul 11 with 15% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 52/Gingrich 35

A new USA Today/Gallup poll conducted 27 – 28 Jan 12:

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

President Obama 49/Paul 46

As crazy as it still looks, clearly, on the electability scale Paul is the candidate who comes closest to actually being able to beat the President; that being said, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Speaking of the general election; the latest Electoral College figures are below, based on current available state polling, and once again, if the general election was held today these would be the results:

 
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Posted by on February 3, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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