Four states have voted, leaving 46 more to go, and territories, and suddenly Bernie Sanders is no longer the undisputed leader in the race for the Democratic Party’s nomination. Former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar, and billionaire Tom Steyer have bowed out, narrowing the field as we move into Super Tuesday! The DOW has had its worst week since George W. Bush wrecked the economy. The world faces a pandemic. Nancy Pelosi is still the Speaker, and Trump remains forever impeached.
So, where are things as we move to Super Tuesday?
In the delegate count, the winning candidate needing 1,991 to win the nomination, following South Carolina, the results are as follows:
Bernie Sanders 58
Joe Biden 50
Pete Buttigieg 26
Elizabeth Warren 8
Amy Klobuchar 7
Michael Bloomberg 0
Tulsi Gabbard 0
In the popular vote totals:
Joe Biden 323,244
Bernie Sanders 268,065
Pete Buttigieg 176,695
Elizabeth Warren 111,296
Amy Klobuchar 103,844
Tulsi Gabbard 16,542
Michael Bloomberg 4,793
In national polling, all conducted prior to Super Tuesday, Bernie Sanders continues to hold the lead for the Democratic Party nomination.
The IBD/TIPP poll, conducted 20-29 February 2020, of 908 adults contacted via mobile phones and landlines places the current rankings as such:
The latest Yahoo News/YouGov poll, conducted 26-27 February 2020, of 1,662 registered voters places the current rankings as such:
In the Morning Consult Poll, conducted from 26-27 February 2020 of 5,000 registered voters:
According to the latest Yahoo News/YouGov polling data, in the 10 states that will likely decide 2020 — Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine, North Carolina, and Arizona — Sanders’s lead over Trump is well within the 3-point margin of error (48 percent to 45 percent) making things very uncertain regarding Sander’s ability to beat Trump. In contrast, however, former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump by 9 points nationally (50 percent to 41 percent) and by 7 points (50 percent to 43 percent) in the battleground states.
The key element of being able to defeat Trump is the moderate Republican swing voters where Sanders is running far behind Biden. These voters switched to Democratic House or Senate candidates in the 2018 midterms after casting their ballots for Trump in 2016 helping Democrats flip 41 seats and regain control of the House in 2018. Among these voters, Biden beats Trump by 12 points (51 percent to 39 percent) while Sanders only narrowly outperforms Trump by 4 points (48 percent to 44 percent).
As far as the national race for the White House is concerned, according to recent polling data available, if the election was today, odds are Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders would be the 46th President of the United States. Trump, who forever remains the third impeached president in U.S. history, will still go down as one of the most morose and decadent persons to ever sit in the Oval Office.