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Latest 2020 Presidential Polls – 10 February 2020 – New Hampshire Primary Edition

The Iowa Caucuses have come and gone, proving finally that Iowa has no business being the predictor of presidential politics. The caucuses were a shambles and it took more than a week before anyone knew what the actual results were. The GOP controlled Senate has acquitted Donald Trump, as everyone paying attention knew he would be. Of course, as OJ and Zimmerman proved, being acquitted does not mean you are innocent. Nancy Pelosi is still the Speaker, and Trump is forever impeached.

So, where are things as we stumble away from impeachment and into New Hampshire?

In the delegate count race following Iowa, the results are as follows:

Pete Buttigieg 13
Bernie Sanders 12
Elizabeth Warren 8
Joe Biden 6
Amy Klobuchar 1
Andrew yang 0
Tom Steyer 0
Michael Bloomberg 0
Tulsi Gabbard 0
Michael Bennet 0
Duval Patrick 0

In the popular vote totals:

Bernie Sanders 45,826
Pete Buttigieg 43,195
Elizabeth Warren 34,771
Joe Biden 23,691
Amy Klobuchar 21,181
Andrew Yang 1,780
Tom Steyer 413
Michael Bloomberg 20
Tulsi Gabbard 17
Michael Bennet 4
Duval Patrick 0

In national polling, however, former Vice-President Joe Biden continues to lead the pack for the Democratic Party nomination.

The Economist/YouGov poll, conducted 2-4 February 2020, of 1,500 US Adult citizens places the current rankings as such:

Biden 24%
Sanders 19%
Warren 18%
Buttigieg and Bloomberg 9%
Klobuchar 6%
Yang and Gabbard 3%
Steyer 2%
Bennet 1%
Patrick 0%

The latest Morning Consult poll, conducted 3-5 February 2020, of 2,500 Democratic primary voters places the current rankings as such:

Biden 28%
Sanders 24%
Warren and Bloomberg 14%
Buttigieg 6%
Yang 4%
Klobuchar and Steyer 3%
Gabbard 2%
Bennet and Patrick 1%

In the Harvard-Harris Poll, conducted from 27-29 January 2020 of 2,527 registered voters:

Biden 31%
Sanders 20%
Bloomberg 13%
Warren 12%
Buttigieg 6%
Yang and Klobuchar 3%
Steyer 2%
Gabbard 1%
Bennet and Patrick 0%

Moving into New Hampshire Primary, the current primary polling stands as:

As far as the national race for the White House is concerned, according to recent polling data available, if the election was today, odds are any of the top three Democrat contenders would be the 46th President of the United States. Trump, who forever remains the third impeached president in U.S. history, will still go down as one of the glummest and profligate persons to ever sit in the Oval Office.

 
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Posted by on February 10, 2020 in 2020 Election

 

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Santorum wins Iowa?

The Associated Press is reporting that Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wannabe Ricky Santorum actually won the Iowa Caucus two weeks ago, and not Willard Mittens Romney.

“There have been two contests,” Santorum said after hearing he actually was victorious. “We won one.”

Ricky reportedly bested Romney by 34 votes in the final tally of Iowa’s caucuses.

“This is a solid win. It’s a much stronger win than the win Gov. Romney claimed to have,” Santorum declared.

Romney of course, who won New Hampshire’s primary, is attempting to call the Iowa results a “virtual tie” while Santorum’s calling it a sign that any calls for him to leave were premature.

“We feel very, very good about what this win will mean,” Santorum said of Iowa’s fresh results. “It says that we can win elections. We can organize. We can put together an effort to pull the resources together to be able to be successful in being the person who can defeat Mitt Romney. Guess what? We defeated Mitt Romney in Iowa.”

Well, it could mean that, or it might just prove that conservative Iowans are still as weird as they were in 2008 when they gave the state to Mike Huckabee.

After “winning” in Iowa, Santorum’s busy trying to build a grass-roots organization of socially conservative Republicans, including pastors, similar to the one that apparently helped him finally finish on top in Iowa; but does the news of a win in Iowa come too late to make any difference in South Carolina? Probably, but the GOTP primary clown car has been spinning wildly back and forth for months now so with the current Tea Party bunch garnering so much power who can tell?

 
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Posted by on January 19, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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And then there were six

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) never had a snow ball’s chance presidential hopeful Michele “Krazy” Bachman has ended her Quixotic bid for the White House; during a press conference Krazy said her last-place Iowa caucus was essentially the nail in her political coffin. Of course anyone with half a grain of common sense understood from the beginning that Bachmann never stood any chance whatsoever of winning the nomination much less the White House, she’s certifiable, and that finally caught up with her; the longer the race dragged on the more opportunities she had to let her Krazy shine through.

Of course with Bachmann gone, that leaves her supporters with only one logical choice in the continuing GOTP contest, and that choice is Ricky Santorum; the very same Ricky who’s trying to establish himself as the one clear conservative heavyweight in the GOTP race, as Mittens is not now, nor ever has been a conservative.

Santorum essentially tied with caucus winner Mitt Romney (the margin was eight votes) thus suddenly becoming the non-Romney contender for the presidential nomination. But will his rise be for real or merely the latest in a long list including Perry, Cain and Gingrich? Look for Santorum to begin to receive increased funding from the evangelical right, and to begin to draw attention to the stark political differences between Mittens and himself. Of course, odds are he’ll quickly implode now that he’ll be receiving the full media attention of a “front runner”.

As for Bachmann’s departure; at least we’ll all be spared her continually petulant whinny voice; but never-the-less we’ll miss her – to use Mitt’s word – zany antics. Good-bye Krazy, adieu, auf wiedersehen, farewell …

 
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Posted by on January 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 2 Jan 12 (Iowa Caucus Eve) Edition

Concerning the ongoing GOTP nominating circus (Iowa Caucus Edition), a new Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted New Year’s Day has been released:

Romney holds on to a very narrow lead in Iowa as Santorum remains strong as surprising third; Romney 23; Paul 22; Santorum 18; Gingrich 16; Perry 10; Bachmann 6 and Huntsman 2

The interesting thought is, the last poll in Iowa pitting Romney against the President found Mittens the loser by 7 points; NBC News/Marist poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Nov 11: President Obama 46/Romney 39. So, there’s lots of talk in Iowa from Romney and the other six political dwarves about how any of them can beat the President in 2012, but the polling state by state doesn’t come close to bearing out that prediction; in fact current polling on state levels show the President with 338 electoral votes (270 needed to win) and Romney with 200.

Granted a lot can happen in the next 11 months, but if Romney wins the GOTP nomination he’s going to have to run to the center (flip) to win the general election, and the Tea Party portion of the GOTP isn’t going to support that; if he suddenly becomes a moderate again (flop) we may see a third party candidacy from Bachmann, Perry or any number of conservatives.

When Mitt starts trying to be a moderate candidate (flip) look for countless ads demonstrating that he’s a political chameleon – changing colors as needed to win – with no real core values whatsoever; Romney is not electable; he’s not likeable and he flip-flops more than a freshly landed trout; if he’s the candidate – barring a great depression style economic collapse – he loses, and he loses big.

 
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Posted by on January 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Run Sarah Run?

Huffington Post is reporting that a new political ad is urging former part-time Alaska governor Sarah Palin to reconsider her decision not to run in the 2012 election. The ad allegedly from the group Conservatives4Palin pleads with Palin to “Run Sarah Run!”

Called “The Challenge,” the ad features Palin’s famous remarks against “crony capitalism” and images of tea party protesters mashed up with faded footage of Barack Obama. According to Mediaite, the ad will begin airing in Iowa tomorrow, roughly five weeks ahead of the Iowa caucuses.

“If this ad is able to build some momentum for the Governor, the best way to keep that momentum going may be to commission a national GOTP primary poll that includes the Governor as one of the options,” the group said in an announcement, according to The Hill. “We’ll see if it’s possible given our resources.”

If Palin would decide to launch a presidential campaign, she would only have time to register for the South Carolina primary — the deadlines for Florida and New Hampshire have passed. Palin has already stated that she will not be seeking the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nomination, making an official announcement in early October.

Yes, by-all-means, please run Sarah; with the probable bailing out of Herman “Pizza Man” Cain, the campaign needs additional comic relief and fo’ paws as only somewhat as excruciatingly politically, historically and economically ignorant as yourself can bring. We miss you Sarah, please run, and help Tina Fey find additional work in the New Year!

 
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Posted by on November 29, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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President should be impeached?


The Huffington Post is reporting that Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanabee has been Michele “Krazy” Bachmann was working hard – on the campaign trail in Iowa Tuesday – when she agreed with a supporter who suggested that President Barack Obama be impeached in order to “get him out of the way.”

“Well, I’ll tell you, I’ll tell you, I agree, I agree. Some people are really upset,” Krazy replied to the man before moving on to meet another supporter.

Problem is the Congresswoman clearly doesn’t understand what the requirements are for the House of Representatives to Impeach the President; you don’t get to do so just because your uber-conservative white bread supporters say so.

The United States Constitution – a document Bachmann claims to have read and revere clearly states in Article II, Section 4, “The President, Vice President and all civil Officers of the United States, shall be removed from Office on Impeachment for, and Conviction of, Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors.”

So, outside of the bizarre world uber-conservatives live in with their addled brains, having been turned to glop by a steady stream of FOX PAC and right-wing talk radio, exactly what act of “Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors” has the President been accused of, and most importantly convicted of? Bueller? Anyone else? Anyone at all? Outside of the collective Brain Captains convention of the uber-conservatives there is no one who thinks this. The GOTP House, controlled by Newt Gingrich impeached President Clinton and then the Senate Judiciary Committee – lead by Orrin Hatch refused to put him on trial. It isn’t an easy thing to do, so wake up citizens of obtuse land.

Krazy is now wandering around Iowa, hearing voices, and interpreting them as a command she run for the presidency while searching for a magic corn field where she can play baseball with Shoeless Joe Jackson – oh wait, scratch that, I don’t think the Kinsellas and Bachmann would get along very well; so, she’s just wandering aimlessly around Iowa agreeing with anything her supporters say, hoping she’ll win the state’s caucus and be miraculously catapulted into the GOTP nomination.

Meanwhile, back in the real world her poll numbers continue to plummet, and her staff continues to defect.

 
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Posted by on October 5, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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As Bachmann’s star begins to plummet?

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) wannabe Michele “Krazy” Bachmann’s presidential star is plummeting faster than it rose, so, what to do; what to do?

I know! Go back to Iowa! They love her there!

“We know that when Michele is in Iowa, she wins,” said Bachmann’s Iowa campaign chairman, Kent Sorenson. “If she’s here, she’ll win Iowa.”

Of course, but what about all the other primaries after that, all the ones you have to win to take the nomination? It’s time to realize that as presidential candidates, and as presidential campaigns go, you guys suck. It’s time to pack up your circus tent and go back to your shabby little congressional office.

Face it boys and girls, Krazy’s been eclipsed by someone even more crazy, and more right-wing and more appealing to the uber-conservative evangelical voters of the Tea Party; she’s been eclipsed by the Reverend Ricky Perry’s travelling prayer fest and secession tour.  She no longer holds the interest of her base. Uber-conservative evangelicals don’t want a woman for president if they can have a man any more than they want a black man in the White House. They want their women submissive and in the kitchen, not in the Oval Office. Krazy was an anomaly, and then Reverend Ricky came along; a person with the same crazy message but who was a man.

As Dandy Don used to sing at end of Monday Night Football games, “Turn out the lights, the party’s over …”

 
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Posted by on September 9, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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