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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Washington Caucus eve) 2 Mar 12 Edition

Tomorrow Republican Tea Party (GOTP) types will vote for which of the four horsemen of the GOPocalypse they hope will win their party’s presidential nomination.

Willard Mittens Romney won Tuesday’s Arizona’s Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates, and barely squeaked by in his home state of Michigan’s Hybrid Primary winning 16 of 30 delegates, while Ricky Santorum won the remaining 14.

In Washington’s Non-Binding Caucus with 43 delegates – 3 Mar 12; a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 29 Feb – 1 Mar 12: Romney 37; Santorum 32; Paul 16 and Gingrich 13 with 2% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Alaska’s Proportional Caucus with 27 delegates; no polling info …

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 23 – 26 Feb 12: Gingrich 39; Romney 24; Santorum 23 and Paul 9 with 5% undecided. Newt is showing a second wind, at least in his home state – for the moment.

Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus with 32 delegates; no polling info …

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; Suffolk/7News poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 15 Feb 12: Romney 64; Santorum 16; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 and with 7% undecided.

North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus with 28 delegates; no polling info …

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 1 Mar 12: Santorum 33; Romney 31; Gingrich 15 and Paul 11 with 10% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Rasmussen Reports of likely voters conducted 21 Feb 12: Santorum 43; Gingrich 22; Romney 18 and Paul 7 with 10% undecided.

Tennessee’s Proportional Primary with 58 delegates; no polling info …

In Vermont’s Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; Castleton State College poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 11 Feb 12: Romney 34; Santorum 27; Paul 14 and Gingrich 10 with 15% undecided

Virginia Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; a new CNU/Times-Dispatch poll of likely voters conducted 4 – 13 Feb 12: Romney 53 and Paul 23 with 24% undecided.

The regular season records for the gallant candidates: Romney 6; Santorum 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 154; Santorum 69; Gingrich 33 and Paul 26.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,749,677

Gingrich 978,229

Santorum 932,508

Paul 463,176

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll of registered voters conducted 29 Feb 12: Romney 40; Santorum 24; Gingrich 16 and Paul 12 with 8% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Tracking poll of likely voters conducted 28 Feb – 1 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 42

President Obama 46/Santorum 43

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Electoral maps are shaping up as follows:

 
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Posted by on March 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (Arizona and Michigan primaries) 28 Feb 12 Edition

Today the four horsemen are doing battle in Arizona and Michigan for the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential nomination while Maine’s primary still has yet to be finalized.

In Arizona’s Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates the new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 26 Feb 12: Romney 42; Santorum 26; Gingrich 18 and Paul 11 with 3% undecided. Clearly Mittens is going to take Arizona, the only question remaining is, how much?

In Michigan’s Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 26 -27 Feb 12: Santorum 38; Romney 37; Paul 14 and Gingrich 9 with 2% undecided. This shouldn’t even be close for Romney, but it’s a clear indicator of how much he’s disliked amongst his own party, even in his home state.

Washington’s Non-Binding Caucus with 43 delegates – 3 Mar 12; a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 16 – 19 Feb 12: Santorum 38; Romney 27; Paul 15 and Gingrich 12 with 8% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Alaska’s Proportional Caucus with 27 delegates; no polling info …

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 23 – 26 Feb 12: Gingrich 39; Romney 24; Santorum 23 and Paul 9 with 5% undecided. Newt is showing a second wind, at least in his home state – for the moment.

Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus with 32 delegates; no polling info …

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; Suffolk/7News poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 15 Feb 12: Romney 64; Santorum 16; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 and with 7% undecided.

North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus with 28 delegates; no polling info …

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of likely voters conducted 23 – 26 Feb 12: Santorum 36; Romney 29; Gingrich 17 and Paul 11 with 7% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Rasmussen Reports of likely voters conducted 21 Feb 12: Santorum 43; Gingrich 22; Romney 18 and Paul 7 with 10% undecided.

Tennessee’s Proportional Primary with 58 delegates; no polling info …

Nothing new with Vermont’s Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

Virginia Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; a new CNU/Times-Dispatch poll of likely voters conducted 4 – 13 Feb 12: Romney 53 and Paul 23 with 24% undecided.

Wyoming’s Non-Binding Caucus of 29 delegates; no polling info …

The regular season records for the gallant candidates: Santorum 4; Romney 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 90; Santorum 44; Gingrich 32 and Paul 13.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,121,685

Gingrich 838,825

Santorum 431,926

Paul 307,975

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 22 – 26 Feb 12: Romney 32; Santorum 28; Gingrich 14 and Paul 12 with 14% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted 19 – 22 Feb 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 53/Romney 43

President Obama 53/Santorum 42

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on February 28, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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And then there were six

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) never had a snow ball’s chance presidential hopeful Michele “Krazy” Bachman has ended her Quixotic bid for the White House; during a press conference Krazy said her last-place Iowa caucus was essentially the nail in her political coffin. Of course anyone with half a grain of common sense understood from the beginning that Bachmann never stood any chance whatsoever of winning the nomination much less the White House, she’s certifiable, and that finally caught up with her; the longer the race dragged on the more opportunities she had to let her Krazy shine through.

Of course with Bachmann gone, that leaves her supporters with only one logical choice in the continuing GOTP contest, and that choice is Ricky Santorum; the very same Ricky who’s trying to establish himself as the one clear conservative heavyweight in the GOTP race, as Mittens is not now, nor ever has been a conservative.

Santorum essentially tied with caucus winner Mitt Romney (the margin was eight votes) thus suddenly becoming the non-Romney contender for the presidential nomination. But will his rise be for real or merely the latest in a long list including Perry, Cain and Gingrich? Look for Santorum to begin to receive increased funding from the evangelical right, and to begin to draw attention to the stark political differences between Mittens and himself. Of course, odds are he’ll quickly implode now that he’ll be receiving the full media attention of a “front runner”.

As for Bachmann’s departure; at least we’ll all be spared her continually petulant whinny voice; but never-the-less we’ll miss her – to use Mitt’s word – zany antics. Good-bye Krazy, adieu, auf wiedersehen, farewell …

 
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Posted by on January 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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