Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 07 Aug 12 Edition

07 Aug

Thirteen weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s still trying to dodge the need to release his tax records and the heat’s now been turned on by Senate Leader Harry Reid who announced on floor of the United States Senate that he’d received a phone call from a former Bain investor who claimed Willard hadn’t paid any taxes in ten years; Romney’s campaign turned around and told Senator Reid to prove it, and to “put up or shut up”. Oddly enough that’s how Willard could solve this problem, he could put up and then everyone else would shut up.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted from 16 – 26 Jul 12, showed the President with a 50% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 37%. No candidate has ever even come close to winning the presidency with such pathetic favorability ratings.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 31 Jul – 06 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

The most recent Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 26 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 41

And finally, the most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 07 Aug 12

Obama 324/214
Obama 302/236
Obama 325/213
Obama 286/252
Obama 319/219

Obama 288/250
Obama 312/226
Romney 273/265
Obama 347/191
Romney 271/267

Obama 347/191
Obama 320/218
Obama 304/234
Obama 342/196
Obama 311/227

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

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Posted by on August 7, 2012 in 2012 Election


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