Since our last polling update, the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) candidate, Donald Trump, has had to fire his campaign manager, Paul Manafort, after it was discovered he has been on the payroll of a Vladimir Putin lackey, not surprising when we consider how pro-Putin Trump has been. Just more evidence of the GOP candidate’s overt ties to a potential enemy. Earlier Trump openly committed an act of sedition, when he asked Russian hackers to attack Hillary Clinton’s servers and find her missing emails. Trump has called for a Special Prosecutor to investigate the Clinton Foundation; shouldn’t we be asking for a Special Prosecutor to be appointed to investigate Trump’s ties to foreign governments?
Nationally, the polling numbers show Trump in the decline.
Reuters/Ipsos 20-26 August – Clinton 42/Trump 35
Quinnipiac 18-24 August – Clinton 51/Trump 41
NBC News/SurveyMonkey 15-21 August – Clinton 50/Trump 42
Gravis Poll 15 August – Clinton 54/Trump 46
The Electoral Map is based on all current state polling data
As a reminder,
President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964
Running election simulations, Clinton beats Trump nine out of ten times.
Clinton 307/Trump 231
Clinton 350/Trump 188
Clinton 349/Trump 189
Clinton 304/Trump 234
Clinton 322/Trump 216
Clinton 362/Trump 176
Clinton 288/Trump 250
Clinton 308/Trump 230
Clinton 267/Trump 271
Clinton 319/Trump 219
According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States, and Trump will still fade away as a footnote in the history books.