Since our last polling update, the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) candidate, Donald Trump, has travelled to Mexico City, further insulted the Mexican people and returned to Phoenix to give a speech insulting American Hispanics, and giving speeches to African Americans claiming they “have nothing to lose” by voting for him; proving once again he is clueless. The candidates move towards debates – unless Trump decides he is not willing to debate Hillary Clinton, which has been floated as a possibility.
Nationally, the polling numbers show Trump in the decline.
Fox News 26 August – 01 September – Clinton 48/Trump 42
Economist/YouGov 27-29 August – Clinton 47/Trump 42
PPP (D) 26-28 August – Clinton 48/Trump 43
USA Today/Suffolk 24-29 August – Clinton 48/Trump 41
NBC News/SM 22-28 August – Clinton 48/Trump 42
The Electoral Map is based on all current state polling data
As a continuing reminder,
President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964
Running election simulations, Clinton beats Trump eight out of ten times.
Clinton 291/Trump 247
Clinton 341/Trump 197
Clinton 339/Trump 199
Clinton 328/Trump 210
Clinton 348/Trump 190
Clinton 230/Trump 308
Clinton 353/Trump 185
Clinton 253/Trump 285
Clinton 336/Trump 202
Clinton 294/Trump 244
According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States, and Trump will still fade away as a footnote in the history books.