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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 08 October 2016 Edition

08 Oct

Donald Trump’s precarious campaign is reeling from a video tape where the GOP nominee makes lewd comments about sexually assaulting women. Republicans are scampering away like rats on the sinking ship, while some are actually defending his comments. At this point, there is little doubt Donald Trump is possibly the most deplorable candidate ever for the office of the Presidency.

decision 2016

Nationally, Clinton’s lead continues to hold.

FOX News – 03-06 October – Clinton 48/Trump 44
Quinnipiac – 05-06 October 2016 – Clinton 50/Trump 44
Economist/YouGov – 01-07 October – Clinton 48/Trump 43
Reuters/Ipsos – 29 September-03 October – Clinton 44/Trump 37
CBS News – 28 September-02 October – Clinton 49/Trump 43

State polling indicates a much clearer view of how the race is going on the eve of the second Presidential debate.

08-oct-16

In 2012 the electoral map looked very similar with President Obama preparing to defeat Mitt Romney.

electoral-college-obama-romney-09oct12

As a continuing reminder,

President Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 332/206 in 2012
Senator Barack Obama defeated Senator John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Governor Bill Clinton defeated President George HW Bush 370/168 in 1992
Governor Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter 489/49 in 1980
President Lyndon Johnson (LBJ) defeated Senator Barry Goldwater 486/52 in 1964

Running election simulations, Clinton continues to beat Trump nine out of ten times.

Clinton 259/Trump 279
Clinton 297/Trump 241
Clinton 283/Trump 255
Clinton 304/Trump 234
Clinton 320/Trump 218

Clinton 309/Trump 229
Clinton 319/Trump 219
Clinton 313/Trump 225
Clinton 329/Trump 209
Clinton 301/Trump 237

According to all current state polling data available, if all things remain constant, Hillary Clinton will be the 45th President of the United States.

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Posted by on October 8, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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