Hot out of the polling oven it’s the most current 2012 presidential election pastries.
Out first – from Gallup polling conducted from 20 – 24 July 2011 – let’s look at who would be the Republican/Tea Party (GOTP) nominee if it all ended today:
Romney 17, Perry 15, Palin 12, Bachmann and Giuliani 11, Paul 8, Cain and Gingrich 3, Santorum and Pawlenty 2, and Huntsman’s no longer being mentioned in national polls…
So, Romney (aka Flopsy Mopsy) is very narrowly holding on to his lead, with Perry (Pres of the 2nd Republic of Texas) making a very serious challenge (even though he hasn’t announced he’s running) as Palin (aka the Ice Queen – who also hasn’t announced she’s running) moves up while Bachmann (aka Krazy) is beginning to slip behind running neck-and-neck with Giuliani (of all people), followed by Paul, as Cain (aka the Pizza Man, who has never met a Muslim he hasn’t disliked) tied with Newter Gingrich follow, as Pawlenty and Santorum are still running a very distant last place while Jon Huntsman has effectively dropped off the national political radar screen (was he ever on the radar screen?).
But what about the Iowa Caucus? Well, if it was held today (according to Magellan Strategies polling: Krazy 29; Flopsy 16; and the rest of the pack are still running so far back they are inconsequential…
How about New Hampshire? According to PPP (D): Flopsy 25, Bachmann 18, Palin 11, Paul 9, Perry and Cain 7, Pawlenty and Huntsman 6 and Gingrich 4…
So, how does the GOTP pack stack up against President Obama?
If the election was held today, according to NBC/WSJ (which only asked about Bachmann and Romney) and previous polls for the others:
President Obama 48/Romney 41
President Obama 49/Bachmann 38
President Obama 47/Perry 37
President Obama 47/Pawlenty 37
President Obama 52/Gingrich 39
President Obama 53/Palin 37
President Obama 48/Cain 35
President Obama 52/Paul 42
President Obama 52/Huntsman 34
If the GOTP nomination circus – and the general election – had both ended this week Flopsy would be the GOTP candidate, and he would still have lost to the President.