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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 21 Aug 12 Edition

21 Aug

Just eleven (11) short weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s trying to manage his usual amount of flip-flops and lies while “embracing” his new running mate, and yet distancing himself from him at the same time on almost every political subject under the sun from health care to taxes and budgets to woman’s issue; the honeymoon seems to have ended before it ever started, and Paul Ryan will likely go down as one of the most devastating VP selections by a major candidate ever, even to excel the abysmal choice of Sarah Palin in 2008.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted from 15 – 19 Aug 12, showed the President with a 45% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 40%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted from 15 – 19 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 45

The most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 8 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 52/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 5 – 7 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 40

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:


Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 21 Aug 12

Obama 286/252
Obama 279/259
Obama 282/256
Obama 292/246
Romney 277/261
Obama 325/213
Obama 341/197
Obama 322/216
Obama 300/238
Obama 285/253

Of 10 simulations Romney manages only one very close victory, while the President beats Romney 90% of the time and most of those by comfortable margins.

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11 Comments

Posted by on August 21, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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11 responses to “Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 21 Aug 12 Edition

  1. Corey

    August 21, 2012 at 16:46

    52/30 Obama to Romney — Who cares more about the people? 22 pt lead for Obama. Hmmm interesting…. My man C.Todd called it a gut check poll on nbc news tonight. http://www.cnbc.com/id/48740767

     
  2. craig

    August 21, 2012 at 19:02

    since obama became president my business has gone bad, worse horrible. I have a small masonry business and the phone never rings anymore. I have had to borrow on all my cards to survive as I get no unemployment or government help. I will probably go bankrupt and have been in business since 84. I should never have tried to make my own way and create jobs, I should have taken an easy ass job working for the government and then I would have been retired by now.Who knew? How could anyone possibly re elect this complete failure of a leader? Please, not 4 more years of being broke and struggling! PLEASE NO!!!

     
    • Rita Wittwer

      August 21, 2012 at 22:59

      I feel so very bad for you. Unfortunately, Obama doesn’t deserve the blame you would give him. First of all, you will remember that when bush came into office we had a surplus. When he left we already had major debt, for which Ryan voted unanimously. As you clearly are aware, we went into an economic dumper. Wouldn’t you think that the republicans would have wanted to help the economy recover? Apparently not, because they agreed to vote against every bill this administration put forth, even before the potus was inaugurated. In fact, there’s been a jobs bill languishing in congress for months. And then we have those corporations that are making amazing profits that are holding on to these profits instead of creating jobs. Let’s see, have jobs, hire people, people spend money, economy gets better. Considering what Obama has had to deal with, I think we’re damn lucky that things aren’t worse than they are. BUT, I still feel very sorry for you and I hope you will reconsider your voting position. I will think nothing but good thoughts that your life will get better very soon.

       
      • craig

        August 22, 2012 at 15:57

        Dont feel bad for me, When Bush was president I was busier than I have ever been. The surplus that he inherited came from the republican majority that Bill Clinton wisely agreed to and therefore paid down the debt . When Clinton took office he was just another tax and spend democrat but when he lost the congressional majority he knew that to get re elected he would go along, all to his benefit. Obama is not this smart and by the way for the first 2 years he had both houses of congress and could do anything he wanted with ZERO republican opposition so what was the problem then? Corporations create jobs and prosperity for millions. Who the heck would work for Mcdonalds’s if there was no Mcdonalds. The liberal rant against corporations is a big joke. Wall street has given more money to Obama than any other president. Also, and you probably forgot, we were attacked when Bush was president and we rightfully went to war and have not been attacked since Fighting an enemy that wanted to kill you and m ewas not free.. If Obama was president when 9 11 happened you can bet we would have gone into a depression. The democrats are the ones responsible for the real estate collapse by their “fair housing” started under Bill Clinton, and don’t forge tBarney Frank and Chris Dodd. The liberal way has never and will never succeed because there is no prosperous end to there scheme. You will never win a debate with me as I have seen for many years what it takes to get along on your own and by the way that is how this country was founded and became the greatest power on earth. Not from tax and spend government regulate everyone’s life liberals.So don’t feel sorry for me,feel sorry for the United Staes if the liberal European Obama agenda continues because there is no way there will be anyone left to pay for it! I have seen nine presidents in my lifetime and this guy is worse than Jimmy Carter but you probably were not around then and don’t remember that miserable time either. Oh and this jobs bill is just more of my tax money given away to Obamas union buddies and I guarantee will have no effect on the economy just like the wasteful stimulas that also only stimulated unions, green projects and government payrolls. Cut the rich loose that is what works but you will NEVER understand because you are jealous of the rich.

         
      • Susan Erin

        August 25, 2012 at 18:19

        Quit blaming Bush for everything this administrations has failed on. How does he have time to do anything for this country other than spend the hard working taxpayers money. Spread the wealth Now the taxpayer doesn’t have any money because he had paid it out bailing banks and wall street and increasing dependency on welfare. Obama has chosen to listen to no one except what he wants. He has not listen to the majority of the American people. He has taken 719 billion dollars out of medicare to pay for Obama care. He says that he didn’t take it away from the seniors. But he did take it away from what would be paid to providers.When the providers don’t get paid they pull of out the medicare program so they don’t have to go through the red tape and get very little from it.. The jobs program you are talking about is infrastructure. Do you honestly think that the government putting more people on the payroll and their pension program and their healthcare is going to fix this country.You better reevaluate what is happening and what Obama is telling you.

         
    • Rob Smith

      August 25, 2012 at 08:52

      Craig if you are like most small business owners, you do sit around while other people do the work for you. And, if you had bothered to develop that brain of yours you would know this is an economy that was on the verge of a Depression from the Republicans when Obama inherited it and that takes many years to recover from. Thank God you are still alive. Why don’t you get a job working for someone else, or is that beneath you because you would actually need to bust your hump for eight hours a day instead of sitting on your ass all day pretending you work so hard?

       
      • craig

        August 25, 2012 at 20:31

        What would you know about having a business? I have one helper and guarantee that I am the hardest working person you have ever given a smart snooty comment to. I could do everything that you do all day in an hour. You most likely have some jaded government job with full benefits and most likely you guys spend $800,000.00 off our tax money on some conference with booze,clowns and hookers. When liberals run this country into the ground, I know that I will have the drive to make for myself because I know how. You liberals will just sit around and say ‘WHAT HAPPENED/” AND “HEY, what happened to my free stuff?” I just told you that you bleeding heart liberals bankrupted us by giving real estate loans to thousands of people who couldn’t pay them back all to make yourselves feel better. Also, I bet you have not had to compete with illegal aliens yet, but believe me they can become firefighters, teachers and police and ANYBODY can do a cubicle hamster government job which is probably what you do so I’m quite sure your brain isn’t developed! The Jimmy Carter recession was just as bad or worse and Ronald Reagan got us out of it and thriving in one year but I wouldn’t expect you to know that because you obviously don’t know what worked and didn’t work throughout the history of this country.

         
  3. Rob Smith

    August 25, 2012 at 09:07

    Craig you are very intelligent. We were attacked because we have been attacking Muslim countries since the early 1960’s with murderous puppet regimes so we could steal their oil. We attacked Saddam because he would no longer do our bidding which included attacking Iran who kicked our sorry imperialistic butts out of their country because of the dictator we but in place. When he invaded Kuwait, they actually had a legitimate ancient territorial claim, but we like Kuwait’s oil and were afraid Saddam would upset the oil industry over there so we attacked the guy we put in place. The Soviets invaded Afghanistan because of what we were doing in the Middle East and we created Osama Bin Laden and the Taliban to fight the Soviets and we trained and funded them. We started everything over there. Study your History instead of watching Fox news for your information. It has been proven that people that don’t watch any news at all are more informed than people that watch Fox, and you are a classic example of ignorance that is appalling. Go out of business and get a real job. You are simple minded man that doesn’t have enough sense to be in business anyway. Get an education before you do next time and maybe you will be able to weather the rough periods. It is called survival of the fittest in the business world. You don’t have what it takes to stay in business so you need to go…period.

     
    • craig

      August 25, 2012 at 21:31

      Wow,maybe I was wrong, you actually do know some history,but you have twisted things to your liking.First of all what you are watching is not news, They are left wing propaganda channels. Turns out that Fox news has the largest audience and is number one so I guess that these viewers are all simple minded (a liberals favorite comment you guys pull out as often as you do the race card) .and all liberals like you are oh so intellectual.If we were stealing oil we would just go in there and use military power and take it. Did you know that the Soviet union was our arch enemy and we used him to fight them off of Afghanistan.It’s too bad that Iraq and Iran didn’t end up completely destroying each other, ya that didn’t work out either.Now we have Iran ready to unleash something even bigger, much bigger. These countries are very rich with oil reserves and their coffers are or should be full because we showed them how to take the oil out of the ground and payed them for it.Maybe China should invade Russia or India should invade Persia and rape the women and pillage the people because they claim they have a legitimate territorial claim to it. How about all the muslim countries invade Israel,I bet you would like that one.I wonder when Japan or Germany or Italy are going to hit us and kill our men women and children to get us back for what we did to them? Anyway,You probably think that the government sent agents in the towers , took of the drywall off and put explosives in.the walls for a couple of years till it was ready.North America has enough oil and when we get Obama out, we’re going to tap it whether you solyntra greenies like it or not . Maybe you don’t use oil but right now my car runs on gas.As for your comments about the business world and a real job, may I please refer you to my previous rebuttal to your last “I’m really smart and your’e really dumb” liberal rant.You better check the time though, I think you’re missing those geniuses Chris Matthews and Ed Schultz.

       
    • Marla

      August 25, 2012 at 22:03

      He must have been doing something right Ron, sounds like Craig has been in business for himself for yearsyou communist, why don’t you just go, perhaps to Iran or Russia! I too come from a long line of small business owners and it takes guts, blood, sweat and determination to build a business and stay in business unlike yourself that seems complacent to let others tell you when, what and how to do it! And yes, most of us did get an education!

       
      • Marla

        August 25, 2012 at 22:26

        Another thought Ron, how do you think this country was built? By over educated zealots? I think not Ron! Blood, sweat, tears and sheer determination by people like Craig and my ancestors is what made America great and good and not by cubicle hamsters and government sheeple! God Bless the USA and all the good we have done around the world! If the libs, the GPA and lobbyists would stand aside maybe we could use our own natural resources and we wouldn’t have to rely on other countries surplus!

         

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