Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 4 Sep 12 Edition

04 Sep

We’re now below the double digits with just nine (9) weeks left until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s searching desperately for his “bump” from the “reinvention convention” as we move into the Democratic National Convention. It says a lot about you as a candidate when you receive absolutely no bump from your convention.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 26 Aug 12, showed the President with a 41% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 31%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most recent Gallup – Monday (7-day tracking, meaning it began as the GOTP convention was opening), if the election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

The last Gallup Tracking poll prior to the convention of registered voters conducted 20 – 26 Aug 12 demonstrated how Romney not only didn’t get a bounce but lost some traction:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 27 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

The most recent CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 26 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 45

The most current ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 25 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

And finally, the most current CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 23 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 332/206:

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Sep 12

Obama 287/251
Obama 319/219
Obama 313/225
Obama 284/254
Obama 282/256

Romney 282/256
Obama 287/251
Obama 313/225
Obama 313/225
Obama 309/229

Of 10 simulations Romney wins only one as the President beats him nine times usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.


Posted by on September 4, 2012 in 2012 Election


Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

13 responses to “Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 4 Sep 12 Edition

  1. Eric

    September 4, 2012 at 10:16

    What worries me is that voter suppression efforts will skew the election in Romney’s favor, despite the current poll numbers. :-/

  2. Wachel

    September 4, 2012 at 16:10

    Eric, Don’t let that worry you…we need Romney.

    • lisa

      September 5, 2012 at 11:48

      now why in the world would any sane american vote for lyin ryan and flip romney.

      • Eric

        September 5, 2012 at 12:53

        Lisa, you’re right. No sane American would vote for Romney/Ryan. The thing we have to worry about is, how many _insane_ Americans will be going to the polls in November, and how do we get more sane voters than insane ones?

  3. Karen Kidd

    September 4, 2012 at 18:30

    we have got to vote romney to save this country or we are headed into communism

  4. Michael Apostolakis

    September 6, 2012 at 11:28

    Please Karen, may I ask where you are getting that rhetoric from?

    • Eric

      September 6, 2012 at 13:15

      Fox Noise. That’s the _only_ place you get rhetoric like that from.

  5. Mark

    September 6, 2012 at 15:04

    It’s clear to me that Romney wants to secure the hold on this country by the super rich, and have the middle and lower class pay for it all. If Romney wins, we could be placed in a permanent oligarcy, where corporations will rule forever, and the rich will keep getting richer, and there will no longer be a middle class. They want to float like cream on top, and not have to pay their fair share of taxes. Vote Obama, or your children will pay dearly for the Romney era.

  6. richard

    September 6, 2012 at 15:51

    i hope rommney wins

  7. richard

    September 6, 2012 at 15:54

    obama has empty ideas no jobs and no help for older people and the health care is a rip off

  8. Rex Buttrey

    September 8, 2012 at 20:15

    i watched the movie obama 2016 i wished everyone in america then they could see that we will be under communist rule if our president gets re elected down deep he hates and was taught to hate america

  9. Barb

    September 9, 2012 at 01:10

    Mitt Romney paid 13 % of his income in taxes. He is worth $250 million dollars,and made about $21 million in 2011.
    A family who earns $75,000 per year has a tax rate of about 12.8 %.
    This is what will happen if he is elected….the rich will get richer…and the middle class…??

  10. Gloria

    September 9, 2012 at 07:19

    Go Romney and Ryan. Anyone who has ever run a successful household knows you need fiscal responsibility. A home will not stand in the long term without it and neither will our nation. You need trust and Obama has not been that person of character. We were founded under God and we need to keep that foundation. But I do understand that the more people you get to need the government the harder it will be to win. To watch Obama create a nation where people feel they need the government to take care them is very sad to see.


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: