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Latest 2020 Presidential Polls – 03 November 2020 – Election Day Predictions

03 Nov

It’s here Election Day! Vice President Joe Biden is continuing to lead Donald Trump in all current polling. The former Vice-president continues to lead Trump by double digits on the final day for votes to be cast in the 2020 campaign. The country continues spiking upward with covid-19 cases with more than 9,270,711 Americans confirmed to have contracted the virus, with more than 231,353 deaths. Trump continues proclaiming himself “immune” to covid, and even though the country is in the midst of a huge spike, Trump continues to claim the country has “turned the corner.” Trump continues attacking medical experts and scientists as well as holding his Nuremberg super-spreader rallies without requiring masks or social distancing. Trump continues trying to paint Joe Biden as somehow not being fit for office because he would “listen to the scientists.”

So, with the big day finally here, where do we stand?

In national polling, according to the latest USC Dornsife Poll, conducted 19 October to 01 November 2020, of 5,382 likely voters:

Biden 54%
Trump 42%

The latest Quinnipiac University Poll, conducted 28 October to 01 November 2020 of 1,516 likely voters, has the race lining up like this:

Biden 50%
Trump 39%

In the YouGov Poll, conducted from 31 October to 2 November 2020 of 1,363 likely voters:

Biden 53%
Trump 43%

Running election simulations, Biden beats Trump 23 out of 25 times, or 92% of the time.

Biden 312/Trump 226
Biden 416/Trump 122
Biden 337/Trump 201
Biden 374/Trump 164
Biden268/Trump 270

Biden 295/Trump 243
Biden 388/Trump 150
Biden 363/Trump 175
Biden 347/Trump 191
Biden 378/Trump 160

Biden 321/Trump 217
Biden 356/Trump 182
Biden 425/Trump 113
Biden 375/Trump 163
Biden 350/Trump 188

Biden 340/Trump 198
Biden 254/Trump 284
Biden 278/Trump 260
Biden 331/Trump 207
Biden 331/Trump 207

Biden 290/Trump 248
Biden 304/Trump 234
Biden 395/Trump 143
Biden 334/Trump 204
Biden 372/Trump 166

As far as the national race for the White House is concerned, according to recent state polling data available, if the election was today, odds are that Vice President Joe Biden would be the 46th President of the United States, while Trump, who forever remains the third impeached president in U.S. history, will go down as one of the undeniably cut-rate and unrefined individuals to ever sit in the Oval Office.

Odds are also favoring the Democrats flipping the United States Senate as well as widening the Party’s hold of the House.

 
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Posted by on November 3, 2020 in 2020 Election

 

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