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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 18 May 12 Edition

This past week saw the demise of the Ron Paul epic journey towards the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) White House nomination leaving “it’s my turn” conservative Bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney all alone on the stage, prepped and ready to begin debating himself over each and every idea he’s ever had; of course even as the only guy running, Willard still has yet to capture the magic 1,144 delegates to officially make him the nominee.

Willard picked up two more primary victories this week in Nebraska and Oregon with a whopping 19 delegates, 44 still undecided, 3 for Paul and one for Santorum; the regular season primary wins to date: Romney 31; anyone but Romney 12.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 989; other than Romney 509.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 6,684,300 (46%)

Other than Romney 7,787,490 (54%)

Although Willard’s still the so-called “presumptive nominee”, fact is, week after week, there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney from within his own party.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

Although my usual statement is “the most recent ‘viable’ polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen)” the most current FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 13-15 May 12 is just too funny to pass up; according to FOX News, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 39

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on May 18, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 11 May 12 Edition

A week after Newton Leroy Gingrich finally bowed out of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential contest, leaving perennial hopeful Bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney and the other guy in contention; of course Willard still has yet to capture the magic 1,144 delegates to officially make him the nominee.

Willard picked up three more primary victories this week in North Carolina, Indiana and West Virginia with 59 delegates and 37 still undecided; the regular season primary wins to date: Romney 29; Ron “Somebody or Other” 1 and anyone but Romney 12.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 949; other than Romney 426 and Paul 99.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 6,354,712

Other than Romney 6,101,937

Paul 1,554,822

Although Willard’s still the presumptive nominee, it’ still (week after week) a big fat hairy fact, there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 7,656,759 (55%)

Romney 6,354,712 (45%)

Willard’s still only managing 45% of his own party’s vote to date; and no doubt the President is truly terrified by the amount of support Romney’s garnering.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen); the most current Associated Press/GfK poll of likely voters conducted 03-07 May 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 42

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would still be the GOTP nominee, and he’d still lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on May 11, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 04 May 12 Edition – or, and now there are 1 ½ candidates …

Newton Leroy Gingrich has finally bowed out of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential contest leaving perennial hopeful Willard Mitt Romney and the other guy; but Willard still has yet to capture the magic 1,144 delegates to officially make him the nominee.

The regular season primary wins to date: Romney 26; Ron “Somebody or Other” 0 and anyone but Romney 12.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 865; other than Romney 414 and Paul 93.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 5,228,676

Other than Romney 5,780,644

Paul 1,335,822

Although Willard’s still the presumptive nominee, it’ still (week after week) a big fat hairy fact, there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 7,116,466 (58%)

Romney 5,228,676 (42%)

That’s right sports fans; Willard’s only managing 42% of his own party’s vote to date; the President must be truly terrified by the amount of support Romney’s garnering.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen); but interestingly enough, the most current Rasmussen Tracking poll of likely voters conducted 01-03 May 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

However, if you eliminate the traditional five point slant towards the conservative side of Rasmussen’s polling the real numbers are probably somewhere around:

President Obama 52/Romney 45

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on May 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 27 April 12 Edition

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Willard Mitt Romney prevailed in all five primaries held on Tuesday – no duh. Who were his opponents, a disgraced former House Speaker and a crazy Congressman from Texas? And even though he’s running against two virtually non-existing candidates Willard still hasn’t managed to capture the magic 1,144 delegates needed to be the winner; so, he remains the “presumptive” winner.

The biggest news to come from Tuesday’s primaries is that Newton Leroy Gingrich will announce he’s dropping out of the race early next week – of course he hasn’t been in the race since his “colony on the moon” moment.

The regular season primary wins to date: Romney 26; Gingrich 2; Ron “What’s His Name” 0 and anyone but Romney 10.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 838; other than Romney 267; Gingrich 141 and Paul 88.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 5,221,445

Other than Romney 3,376,375

Gingrich 2,402,960

Paul 1,335,024

Although Willard’s the presumptive nominee, it’ still a big fat hairy fact – as it has been all through the primaries – there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 7,114,359 (58%)

Romney 5,221,445 (42%)

That’s right sports fans; Willard’s only managing 42% of his own party’s vote to date; the President must be truly terrified by the amount of support Romney’s garnering.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen) the Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 21-26 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 43

According to the National Journal poll of voters conducted 19-22 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 39

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 27, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 24 April 12 Edition

Today there will be primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island, but it doesn’t matter in the least – Romney’s going to win his party’s nomination and the other guys will eventually walk away – unless they’re drawn to the idea of being president like a moth is drawn into a flaming candle; then Romney still wins and they end looking more ridiculous than they do now.

Since we’ve finished the first Santorum free week of the 2012 Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential campaign season, not much has really changed in the land of make believe known as Romney for President; he’s still sticking his silver foot in his mouth, and he’s still flip flopping more than a landed trout on everything from personal income taxes to immigration.

However, even though Santorum’s dropped out, the regular season primary still putters on and our current record remains: Romney 21; Gingrich 2; Ron “What’s His Name” 0 and anyone but Romney 10.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 656; other than Romney 272; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,595,908

Other than Romney 3,209,301

Gingrich 2,284,557

Paul 1,191,026

Although Willard’s the presumptive nominee, it still remains – as it has all through the primaries – there have been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 6,684,884

Romney 4,595,908

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen) the Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18-22 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 44

According to the NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 13-17 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 24, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 13 April 12 Edition

In a surprise this week, Richard John Santorum unexpectedly did the common sense thing and withdrew from the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential race – the other two guys are still in it; what are their names?

So, the GOTP primaries are basically done now …

“Ladies and Gentlemen, I present your presidential nominee, Willard Mitt Romney!” (cue crickets)

The regular season primary comes to its all but inevitable end with the current records for the GOTP “Confederacy of Dunces”: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 566; Santorum 263; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,595,908

Santorum 3,209,301

Gingrich 2,284,557

Paul 1,191,026

So, how does Willard stand up against the President?

The last viable poll (which is neither FOX News nor Rasmussen) the ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 5 – 8 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 44

So, the GOTP clown car has all but come to a wild spinning stop, and if the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 13, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 09 April 12 Edition

So, not only have conservative Wisconsinites trudged to their polling places and cast votes for their “favorite” candidate in their state’s “Winner Take All” Republican Tea Party (GOTP) Primary (42 delegates), but also DC residents (19 delegates) and Marylanders (37 delegates) also cast votes on 3 Apr 12. For Richard John Santorum it may have been his last real stand as Willard Mitt Romney’s now crossed the half way mark on his path to possibly, maybe, supposedly eventual victory.

In the last round of primary battles: Romney walked away victorious in all three virtually “winner take all” primaries, amassing 83 delegates to Santorum’s 6; Gingrich and Uncle Ron earned zero delegates.

The remaining primaries tend to favor Romney, but if Santorum can simply keep Willard from winning more than 33% of the delegates in each and thus prevent him from winning the nomination outright, perhaps he can send everything into a brokered convention and somehow come out on top; of course his “other” strategy may simply be to weaken Romney enough that he loses to President Obama in the general election making it easier for Santorum to run again in 2016 as Willard’s political career will be effectually over. For Santorum he could then point to how another moderate was beaten by the Democratic Party, and better place himself in contention.

The regular season primary records for the GOTP “Confederacy of Dunces” currently stands: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 566; Santorum 263; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,128,980

Santorum 2,850,633

Gingrich 2,212,048

Paul 1,079,897

Yes, while it remains true Willard’s leading with 4,128,998 the really harsh reality is more votes have still been cast for anyone but him; total of all other votes cast = 6,142,578; yeah he may be winning, but at the end of the day, when he realizes more fellow conservatives would rather have anyone but him, it still sucks to be Mitt.

Nationally, the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 3 – 7 Apr 12: Romney 42; Santorum 25; Paul 11 and Gingrich 9 with 12% unconvinced any of these guys can do the job.

So, how do the Political Marx Brothers stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 6 – 8 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 44

President Obama 47/Santorum 41

No one cares how Harpo and Groucho would fare because they’re not even close …

So, as in the many weeks since this wild ride began, if the GOTP clown car had finally came to a wild spinning stop, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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