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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 18 May 12 Edition

This past week saw the demise of the Ron Paul epic journey towards the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) White House nomination leaving “it’s my turn” conservative Bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney all alone on the stage, prepped and ready to begin debating himself over each and every idea he’s ever had; of course even as the only guy running, Willard still has yet to capture the magic 1,144 delegates to officially make him the nominee.

Willard picked up two more primary victories this week in Nebraska and Oregon with a whopping 19 delegates, 44 still undecided, 3 for Paul and one for Santorum; the regular season primary wins to date: Romney 31; anyone but Romney 12.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 989; other than Romney 509.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 6,684,300 (46%)

Other than Romney 7,787,490 (54%)

Although Willard’s still the so-called “presumptive nominee”, fact is, week after week, there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney from within his own party.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

Although my usual statement is “the most recent ‘viable’ polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen)” the most current FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 13-15 May 12 is just too funny to pass up; according to FOX News, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 39

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on May 18, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 11 May 12 Edition

A week after Newton Leroy Gingrich finally bowed out of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential contest, leaving perennial hopeful Bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney and the other guy in contention; of course Willard still has yet to capture the magic 1,144 delegates to officially make him the nominee.

Willard picked up three more primary victories this week in North Carolina, Indiana and West Virginia with 59 delegates and 37 still undecided; the regular season primary wins to date: Romney 29; Ron “Somebody or Other” 1 and anyone but Romney 12.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 949; other than Romney 426 and Paul 99.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 6,354,712

Other than Romney 6,101,937

Paul 1,554,822

Although Willard’s still the presumptive nominee, it’ still (week after week) a big fat hairy fact, there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 7,656,759 (55%)

Romney 6,354,712 (45%)

Willard’s still only managing 45% of his own party’s vote to date; and no doubt the President is truly terrified by the amount of support Romney’s garnering.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen); the most current Associated Press/GfK poll of likely voters conducted 03-07 May 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 42

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would still be the GOTP nominee, and he’d still lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on May 11, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 04 May 12 Edition – or, and now there are 1 ½ candidates …

Newton Leroy Gingrich has finally bowed out of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential contest leaving perennial hopeful Willard Mitt Romney and the other guy; but Willard still has yet to capture the magic 1,144 delegates to officially make him the nominee.

The regular season primary wins to date: Romney 26; Ron “Somebody or Other” 0 and anyone but Romney 12.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 865; other than Romney 414 and Paul 93.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 5,228,676

Other than Romney 5,780,644

Paul 1,335,822

Although Willard’s still the presumptive nominee, it’ still (week after week) a big fat hairy fact, there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 7,116,466 (58%)

Romney 5,228,676 (42%)

That’s right sports fans; Willard’s only managing 42% of his own party’s vote to date; the President must be truly terrified by the amount of support Romney’s garnering.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen); but interestingly enough, the most current Rasmussen Tracking poll of likely voters conducted 01-03 May 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

However, if you eliminate the traditional five point slant towards the conservative side of Rasmussen’s polling the real numbers are probably somewhere around:

President Obama 52/Romney 45

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on May 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 27 April 12 Edition

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Willard Mitt Romney prevailed in all five primaries held on Tuesday – no duh. Who were his opponents, a disgraced former House Speaker and a crazy Congressman from Texas? And even though he’s running against two virtually non-existing candidates Willard still hasn’t managed to capture the magic 1,144 delegates needed to be the winner; so, he remains the “presumptive” winner.

The biggest news to come from Tuesday’s primaries is that Newton Leroy Gingrich will announce he’s dropping out of the race early next week – of course he hasn’t been in the race since his “colony on the moon” moment.

The regular season primary wins to date: Romney 26; Gingrich 2; Ron “What’s His Name” 0 and anyone but Romney 10.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 838; other than Romney 267; Gingrich 141 and Paul 88.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 5,221,445

Other than Romney 3,376,375

Gingrich 2,402,960

Paul 1,335,024

Although Willard’s the presumptive nominee, it’ still a big fat hairy fact – as it has been all through the primaries – there’ve been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 7,114,359 (58%)

Romney 5,221,445 (42%)

That’s right sports fans; Willard’s only managing 42% of his own party’s vote to date; the President must be truly terrified by the amount of support Romney’s garnering.

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen) the Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 21-26 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 43

According to the National Journal poll of voters conducted 19-22 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 39

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 27, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 24 April 12 Edition

Today there will be primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island, but it doesn’t matter in the least – Romney’s going to win his party’s nomination and the other guys will eventually walk away – unless they’re drawn to the idea of being president like a moth is drawn into a flaming candle; then Romney still wins and they end looking more ridiculous than they do now.

Since we’ve finished the first Santorum free week of the 2012 Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential campaign season, not much has really changed in the land of make believe known as Romney for President; he’s still sticking his silver foot in his mouth, and he’s still flip flopping more than a landed trout on everything from personal income taxes to immigration.

However, even though Santorum’s dropped out, the regular season primary still putters on and our current record remains: Romney 21; Gingrich 2; Ron “What’s His Name” 0 and anyone but Romney 10.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 656; other than Romney 272; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,595,908

Other than Romney 3,209,301

Gingrich 2,284,557

Paul 1,191,026

Although Willard’s the presumptive nominee, it still remains – as it has all through the primaries – there have been more votes cast for anyone but Romney than for Romney:

Anyone but Romney 6,684,884

Romney 4,595,908

So, how does the “presumptive” GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The most recent “viable” polls (which are neither FOX News nor Rasmussen) the Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18-22 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 44

According to the NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 13-17 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 24, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 13 April 12 Edition

In a surprise this week, Richard John Santorum unexpectedly did the common sense thing and withdrew from the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential race – the other two guys are still in it; what are their names?

So, the GOTP primaries are basically done now …

“Ladies and Gentlemen, I present your presidential nominee, Willard Mitt Romney!” (cue crickets)

The regular season primary comes to its all but inevitable end with the current records for the GOTP “Confederacy of Dunces”: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 566; Santorum 263; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,595,908

Santorum 3,209,301

Gingrich 2,284,557

Paul 1,191,026

So, how does Willard stand up against the President?

The last viable poll (which is neither FOX News nor Rasmussen) the ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 5 – 8 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 44

So, the GOTP clown car has all but come to a wild spinning stop, and if the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 13, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 09 April 12 Edition

So, not only have conservative Wisconsinites trudged to their polling places and cast votes for their “favorite” candidate in their state’s “Winner Take All” Republican Tea Party (GOTP) Primary (42 delegates), but also DC residents (19 delegates) and Marylanders (37 delegates) also cast votes on 3 Apr 12. For Richard John Santorum it may have been his last real stand as Willard Mitt Romney’s now crossed the half way mark on his path to possibly, maybe, supposedly eventual victory.

In the last round of primary battles: Romney walked away victorious in all three virtually “winner take all” primaries, amassing 83 delegates to Santorum’s 6; Gingrich and Uncle Ron earned zero delegates.

The remaining primaries tend to favor Romney, but if Santorum can simply keep Willard from winning more than 33% of the delegates in each and thus prevent him from winning the nomination outright, perhaps he can send everything into a brokered convention and somehow come out on top; of course his “other” strategy may simply be to weaken Romney enough that he loses to President Obama in the general election making it easier for Santorum to run again in 2016 as Willard’s political career will be effectually over. For Santorum he could then point to how another moderate was beaten by the Democratic Party, and better place himself in contention.

The regular season primary records for the GOTP “Confederacy of Dunces” currently stands: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 566; Santorum 263; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,128,980

Santorum 2,850,633

Gingrich 2,212,048

Paul 1,079,897

Yes, while it remains true Willard’s leading with 4,128,998 the really harsh reality is more votes have still been cast for anyone but him; total of all other votes cast = 6,142,578; yeah he may be winning, but at the end of the day, when he realizes more fellow conservatives would rather have anyone but him, it still sucks to be Mitt.

Nationally, the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 3 – 7 Apr 12: Romney 42; Santorum 25; Paul 11 and Gingrich 9 with 12% unconvinced any of these guys can do the job.

So, how do the Political Marx Brothers stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 6 – 8 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 44

President Obama 47/Santorum 41

No one cares how Harpo and Groucho would fare because they’re not even close …

So, as in the many weeks since this wild ride began, if the GOTP clown car had finally came to a wild spinning stop, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Wisconsin Primary) 2 April 12 Edition

So, the topsy turvy world known as the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential primary may finally be coming to a close (or not). Tomorrow conservative Wisconsinites will trudge to their polling places and cast votes for their “favorite” candidate in their state’s Winner Take All Primary with its 42 delegates. For Richard John Santorum this is one of his final – if not the final – opportunities to stick it to Willard Mitt Romney.

Not an easy thing to do since the latest PPP (D) poll results of likely voters conducted 31 Mar – 1 Apr 12 is anything but rosy for him: Romney 43; Santorum 36; Paul 11 and Gingrich 8.

After Wisconsin the remaining primaries tend to favor Romney, but if Santorum can simply keep Willard from winning more than an averaged 33% of the delegates and thus prevent him from winning the nomination outright, perhaps he can send everything into a brokered convention and somehow come out on top; of course his “other” strategy may simply be to weaken Romney enough that he loses to President Obama making it easier for Santorum to run again in 2016 as Willard’s political career will be effectually over.

The regular season primary records for the Confederacy of Dunces stands: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 566; Santorum 263; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,128,980

Santorum 2,850,633

Gingrich 2,212,048

Paul 1,079,897

Yes, while it remains true Willard’s leading with 4,128,9980 the harsh reality is more votes have still been cast for anyone but him; total of all other votes cast = 6,142,578; yeah he may be winning but when you realize more fellow conservatives would rather have anyone but you, it still sucks to be Mitt.

Nationally, the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 28 Mar – 1 Apr 12: Romney 43; Santorum 25; Gingrich 11 and Paul 10 with 11% unconvinced any of these guys can do the job.

So, how do the four Political Marx Brothers stack up against the President? The latest USA Today/Gallup poll of registered voters conducted 25 – 26 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

One more time, if the GOTP clown car had finally came to a wild spinning stop, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 

 
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Posted by on April 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 29 Mar 12 Edition

So, the up and down, twisting and turning roller coaster ride also known as the 2012 Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential primary tour continues rather than abating with Richard John “Rick” Santorum winning the Louisiana Proportional Primary (46 delegates) with 49% (10 delegates); Willard Mitt Romney 27.7% (5 delegates) and the other two guys were there somewhere.

Next up is Wisconsin’s Winner Take All Primary – 3 Apr 12 (42 delegates) where in order to maintain some kind of believability Santorum must win, becoming – according to polls – an uphill battle: new Marquette University poll of likely voters conducted 22 – 25 Mar 12; Romney 39 and Santorum 31.

The regular season primary records for the Confederacy of Dunces stands: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 565; Santorum 256; Gingrich 141 and Paul 66.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,127,917

Santorum 2,850,546

Gingrich 2,212,001

Paul 1,079,753

Yes, while Willard is leading with 4,127,917 the harsh reality is more votes have been cast for anyone but him; total of all other votes cast = 6,142,300; yeah he may be winning but it still sucks to be Mitt.

Nationally, the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 24 – 28 Mar 12: Romney 39; Santorum 28; Paul 11 and Gingrich 10 with 12% undecided.

So, how do the four Political Marx Brothers stack up against the President? The latest CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted 24 – 25 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 54/Romney 43

President Obama 55/Santorum 42

If the GOTP clown car had finally came to a wild spinning stop, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose big to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on March 29, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Missouri Caucus) 16 Mar 12 Edition

Willard Mitt Romney got his lunch handed to him this week in the deep south where clearly Republican Tea Party (GOTP) voters didn’t buy his “How y’all doin?” nonsense. Romney came in third in both Alabama and Mississippi, falling in behind Santorum and Gingrich, but he won Hawaii and American Samoa.

In Alabama’s Proportional Primary Rick Santorum took first (19 delegates); Leroy Newt Gingrich took second (12 delegates) Romney limped into third (11 delegates) and Ron Paul came in his traditional last place (0 delegates).

In American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus Romney took first in the strong Mormon island winning all 9 delegates.

In Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus Romney again took first (9 delegates) Santorum took second (5 delegates) Paul took third (3 delegates) and came in dead last (0 delegates).

In Mississippi’s Proportional Primary Santorum took first (13 delegates) Gingrich was second (12 delegates) and Romney came in third with fewer votes (12 delegates) and Paul was again last (0 delegates).

Next up is Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

In Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): Chicago Tribune poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 9 Mar 12; Romney 35; Santorum 31; Gingrich 12 and Paul 7.

In Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): GCR/WWL-TVh poll of likely voters conducted 8 – 10 Mar 12; Santorum 25; Romney 21; Gingrich 20 and Paul 6.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 19; Santorum 9; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 496; Santorum 236; Gingrich 141 and Paul 66.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,477,020

Santorum 2,286,339

Gingrich 2,106,200

Paul 949,914

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 14 Mar 12: Romney 35; Santorum 27; Gingrich 15 and Paul 10 with 13% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 12 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 42

President Obama 51/Santorum 39

President Obama 53/Gingrich 35

President Obama 50/Paul 38

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Current electoral college totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on March 16, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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