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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 07 Aug 12 Edition

Thirteen weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s still trying to dodge the need to release his tax records and the heat’s now been turned on by Senate Leader Harry Reid who announced on floor of the United States Senate that he’d received a phone call from a former Bain investor who claimed Willard hadn’t paid any taxes in ten years; Romney’s campaign turned around and told Senator Reid to prove it, and to “put up or shut up”. Oddly enough that’s how Willard could solve this problem, he could put up and then everyone else would shut up.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted from 16 – 26 Jul 12, showed the President with a 50% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 37%. No candidate has ever even come close to winning the presidency with such pathetic favorability ratings.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 31 Jul – 06 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

The most recent Pew Research poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 26 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 51/Romney 41

And finally, the most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 07 Aug 12

Obama 324/214
Obama 302/236
Obama 325/213
Obama 286/252
Obama 319/219

Obama 288/250
Obama 312/226
Romney 273/265
Obama 347/191
Romney 271/267

Obama 347/191
Obama 320/218
Obama 304/234
Obama 342/196
Obama 311/227

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on August 7, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 31 Jul 12 Edition

We’ve only got 14 weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s in the midst of his 2012 World Tour! Unfortunately for Willard it hasn’t been the rousing success he had no doubt hoped for; after insulting Great Britain – repeatedly – one British paper’s front page declared “Mitt the Twit!” Next he went to Israel declaring Jerusalem was the capital and denigrating the Arab Spring as well as insulting the Palestinians; and finally while in Warsaw, Poland his Press Secretary told the Press, “kiss my ____” and to “shove it”.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

No new favorability polls yet, but the last CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 Jul 12 – 16 Jul 12, showed the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 23 – 30 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 18 – 22 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Jul 12

Obama 329/209
Obama 286/252
Obama 294/244
Obama 327/211
Romney 286/252

Romney 301/237
Obama 308/230
Obama 299/239
Obama 323/215
Obama 341/197

Romney 275/263
Obama 328/210
Obama 325/213
Obama 307/231
Obama 326/212

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only three victories, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on July 31, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 25 Jul 12 Edition

It’s only 15 weeks until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s decided that he agrees with President Obama that business success didn’t happen by itself while disagreeing that success didn’t happen by itself. He continues to be under fire for having said he left Bain Capital in 1999 while records from the company filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) show he was still involved into 2002. He’s telling the President it’s time to stop stonewalling on alleged leaks from the White House while he’s been stonewalling for months in refusing to release his tax returns – not smart speech writing.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

According to the last CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 Jul 12 – 16 Jul 12, shows the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18 Jul – 24 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 46

The most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 18 Jul – 22 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

And finally, the most recent FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 15 Jul 12 – 17 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 41

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 25 Jul 12

Obama 337/201
Obama 312/226
Obama 316/222
Obama 294/244
Obama 311/227

Obama 275/263
Obama 317/221
Obama 299/239
Obama 305/233
Obama 295/243

Romney 273/265
Obama 352/186
Obama 313/225
Obama 314/224
Romney 275/263

Of 15 simulations ran, Romney ekes out only two victories by the slimmest of margins, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 13/15 times.

 
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Posted by on July 25, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 19 Jul 12 Edition

Sixteen weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s under fire for having said he left Bain Capital in 1999 while records from the company filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) show he was still not just involved but intimately involved being listed as the CEO, sole stock holder and chief cook and bottle washer; additionally he’s being pressured to release his tax records (to date he’s released a partial 2010) and thus far Willard’s refusing to give anything up.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

According to the latest CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted from 11 – 16 Jul 12, shows the President with a 36% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 32%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News, Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 12 – 18 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 46

The most recent CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted 11 – 16 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

And finally, the most recent NPR poll of likely voters conducted 09 – 12 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, it’s too close to call between Willard Mitt Romney and President Obama in the general election.

However, according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on July 19, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 10 Jul 12 Edition

Seventeen weeks until the November election and while President Obama’s gone on the offensive calling on Congress to extend the Bush tax cuts for everyone earning less than $250,000 per year, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s calling for the tax cuts to be extended for everyone, saying increasing taxes on the top 2% would hurt the “job creators” in America; only problem with Willard’s theory is we’ve had these tax cuts for more than ten years now, and seen very little return from the so-called “job creators”.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

No new polls on current favorability of the candidates; however, according to the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 Jun – 01 Jul 12, shows the President with a 54% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 49%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News, Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 05 Jul – 09 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

The most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 01 Jul – 08 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

The most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 05 Jul – 08 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

And finally, the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted 28 Jun 12 – 01 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 46

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on July 10, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 05 Jul 12 Edition

Eighteen weeks and counting to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s campaign has been rocked by the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold the Affordable Care Act (aka Obamcare) which was patterned after Romneycare in Massachusetts; right down to the individual mandate penalty which SCOTUS declared was a tax forcing Romney to either admit he instituted a tax increase while Governor of Massachusetts, or to attempt a flip-flop and claim it’s a penalty in Massachusetts but a tax on the national level, predictably, he chose the latter.

Willard’s also dealing with increasing pressure from fellow Republicans to shake up his campaign staff, and his wife Ann’s now claiming he’s seriously considering a female running mate as VP.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The current favorability of the candidates, according to the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 Jun – 01 Jul 12, shows the President with a 54% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 49%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News or Rasmussen (which are always skewed to the right) – the most current Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 27 Jun – 3 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 44

The most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted 28 Jun – 1 Jul 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 46

And finally, the most recent Newsweek/Daily Beast poll of likely voters conducted 28 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 44

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on July 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 27 Jun 12 Edition

Down to 19 weeks to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) “it’s my turn” bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney’s staff has been conducting “meetings” in dance clubs with bars serving champagne in uni-sex bathrooms, while Willard’s been forced to flip, flop and soften his staff on immigration following the Supreme Court decision to toss out the controversial sections of Arizona’s heinous anti-immigration law coupled with President’s announcement allowing children brought into this country illegally by their parents to be able to stay.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

Still no new polls showing favorability of the candidates, but the last Bloomberg poll of voters conducted from 15-18 Jun 12, shows the President with a 55% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 39%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News or Rasmussen (which are always skewed to the right) – the most current NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 20-24 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 44

The most recent Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 20-26 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 44

And finally, the most recent Bloomberg poll of likely voters conducted 15-18 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 53/Romney 40

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on June 27, 2012 in Uncategorized

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 19 Jun 12 Edition

Down to 20 weeks to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) “it’s my turn” bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney’s having trouble identifying doughnuts and has boldly declared he’ll do the opposite of everything President Obama has done for or to Israel – while clearly not understanding anything the President’s done for our Mideast ally – (https://thelibertytree.wordpress.com/2012/06/16/romney-says-hed-do-the-opposite-of-everything-president-obamas-done-for-israel/), and he’s stated his wife Ann’s “the real Olympian” even though it’s her horse which will be competing in London this summer, with someone else riding it.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

There’s been no new polls showing favorability of the candidates, but the last Bloomberg poll of voters conducted from 15-18 Jun 12, shows the President with a 55% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 39%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News or Rasmussen (which are appearing very skewed) – the most current Bloomberg poll of voters conducted 15-18 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 53/Romney 40

The most recent Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 13-19 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 47

And finally, the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 7-11 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on June 20, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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The Master of Sleight of Hand Rhetoric, Willard Romney Says ‘Words are Cheap’

According to numerous news sources the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Willard Mitt Romney is attempting to pin his own moniker of flip-flopper onto the President claiming while the President will speak “eloquently,” as he delivers an economic speech in Ohio, “words are cheap.”

Willard says the President will “change course” after his comment last week that the “private sector is doing fine.”

Well, let’s see, record braking profits for corporations, record breaking bonuses to CEOs, the Stock Market well 4,000 points higher than it was when the President was inaugurated; hmmmm, looks like the President’s right, the private sector’s doing just fine.

“He said, as you know, just a few days ago that the private sector is doing fine, but the incredulity that came screaming back from the American people, I think, has caused him to rethink that, and I think you’re gonna see him change course when he speaks tomorrow, where he will acknowledge that it isn’t going so well, and he’ll be asking for four more years,” Willard mewed.

Haven’t heard any screaming; well, OK, there’s that noise from FOX News, and right wing radio, but if the President stood up tomorrow and said the sky was sunny and blue, they’d scream it was grey and looking like rain.

“So instead of three years and he’s out, he wants four more years,” he said. “My own view is that he will speak eloquently, but that words are cheap, and that the record of an individual is the basis upon which you determine whether they should continue to hold on to their job. The record is that we have 23 million Americans that are out of work or stopped looking for work or underemployed. That is a compelling and a sad statistic. These are real people.”

So, Willard thinks “words are cheap”, no surprise considering how often he changes his own words. It was just last week he was snidely saying of the President, “He says we need more firemen, more policemen, more teachers. Did he not get the message of Wisconsin? The American people did. It’s time for us to cut back on government and help the American people.”

But wait, that’s not all, when he found himself in the midst of real incredulity screaming back from the American people on his desire to cut the number of teachers, police officers and fire fighters, suddenly he’s back peddling saying, “it’s “absurd” to think he wants to reduce the number of teachers, fire fighters and police officers, and that those charges are “strange”.

Willard’s attempting to negatively describe President Obama’s as being “the most anti-investment, anti-business, anti-jobs series of policies in modern American history.”

“The reason that it has taken so long for this recovery to gain traction and to put people back to work is in large measure because of the policy choices the president made. He is not responsible for whatever improvement we might be seeing,” said Romney. “Instead, he’s responsible for the fact that it’s taken so long to see this recovery and the recovery’s been so tepid.”

Actually Willard, the reason it’s taken so long for this recovery to gain traction is because of the GOTP dominated House and the filibustering conservatives in the Senate; for almost two years the GOTP members in the House have introduced more than 100 bills aimed at ended a woman’s right to choose, while introducing none with helping the economy to get moving again. They’ve passed the Ryan austerity plan not once but twice, and stalled any additional recovery legislation friendly to the nation’s economy or to the President.

It’s comical Romney would attempt to portray the President as the one changing his mind when it’s Willard who can’t find a coherent policy lasting more than a single news cycle and often not even that long; and frequently he has trouble finding a coherent sentence, “I believe in an America where millions of Americans believe in an America that’s the America millions of Americans believe in. That’s the America I love.”

 
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Posted by on June 13, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 12 Jun 12 Edition

Just a mere 21 weeks to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) “it’s my turn” bully-boy Willard Mitt Romney is continuing to try to paint himself as the next Ronald Reagan, even though he’s only barely managed to garner the majority of votes in the GOTP nomination circus with the final three primaries – something that’s never happened in the history of primaries, and something which clearly demonstrates his “popularity”.

Clearly, while it’s true Willard’s finally managed to capture the majority of votes in the nominating process he’s certainly the least popular candidate of choice by a major political party in quite some time; even when he’s the only guy still running, Republican/Tea Party voters still cast nearly 400,000 ballots for anyone but him, speaking loud and clear that while he’s won his party’s nomination a lot of the party’s members still think he sucks.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

According to the latest polls showing favorability of the candidates, Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters shows the President with a 45% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 38%. Like’s been said a number of times by lots of people, “the more people get to see of Romney the less they like him”, and sooner or later he’s going to have to start giving interviews to some other network besides FOX.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ poll(s) – which are any group other than FOX News or Rasmussen and the Purple Strategies which is also beginning to look suspect in some of its polling numbers (which are appearing very skewed) – the most current Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 7-11 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 44

The most recent Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 5-11 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent IBD/CSM/TIPP poll of registered voters conducted 1-8 Jun 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 42

If the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney still loses to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on June 12, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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