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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 24 February 2016 Edition

Two months have passed since I last commented on the current 2016 Presidential Election, and in those two months, oh how the mighty have fallen.

decision 2016

The political season continues to surge forward towards the abyss. The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown bus has lost most of its passengers but is still being controlled by its fascist driver, Donald Trump, careening from side to side along the road, crashing into guard rails, passengers screaming, threatening to send the GOTP off of the proverbial cliff ad taking the rest of us with it.

Continuing his standard operating procedure, making one crazy statement after another Trump continues to lead in the polls, winning one primary after another – New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada – appealing to the worse parts of human nature – you know, the Nazi parts, the white supremacist parts – and firmly now entrenched as the Party’s leader. His leading is still not an endorsement of conservatism in America; it is an indictment.

So, where are things as we move towards Super Tuesday?

Nationally, the man who relishes living in political chaos continues holding on to the top spot in the polls in spite of everything he does.

A Rasmussen Reports Poll, conducted February 11-22, 2016 of “Likely Republican Voters” has the Republican race lining up thus:

Donald Trump 36%
Marco Rubio 21%
Ted Cruz (the Canadian who would be President) 17%
John Kasich 12%
Ben Carson 8%

So, 58% of the Republican Party is supporting anyone but Trump, while the crazy one-third of the Party is destroying it, one primary at a time. Of course, six percent of the GOTP does not appear to like any of these candidates.

In an FOX News Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from 15-17 February 2016:

Trump 36%
Cruz 19%
Rubio 15%
Carson 9%
Bush 9% (sadly Jeb has taken his toys home after the SC Primary)
Kasich 8%

Again, 60% of the Party opposes Trump, and yet he is dominating the Primaries because the other stiffs will not admit defeat and move out of the way.

On the Democratic side, the FOX News Poll has:

Bernie Sanders 47%
Hillary Clinton 44%

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll from 14-16 February 2016 has:

Clinton 53%
Sanders at 42%

According to the FOX News, if the General Election was today:

Rubio 48/Clinton 44
Cruz 46/Clinton 45
Clinton 47/Trump 42

Sanders 53/Trump 38

According to a USA Today/Suffolk Poll, taken 11-15 February 2016:

Trump 45/Clinton 43
Cruz 45/Clinton 44
Rubio 48/Clinton 42

Rubio 46/Sanders 42
Trump 44/Sanders 43
Sanders 44/Cruz 42

According to recent polling data available, if the election were today, odds are anyone running might be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

If you are a Republican, fear for your Party; the lunatics – aka the Tea Party – are now clearly in charge of the asylum.

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Posted by on February 24, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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No Right Turns…

Rubio supreme court nomniee 1

 
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Posted by on February 14, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 12 December 2015 Edition

It has been nearly four months since I last commented on the current 2016 Presidential Election, and in those four months next to nothing has changed. The political season continues to stagger forward. The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown bus is still filled to overflowing while its fascist driver, Donald Trump, careens from side to side along the road, threatening to send the GOTP off of the proverbial cliff. Making one crazy declaration after another Trump continues to lead in the polls, appealing to the worse parts of human nature, and firmly now ensconced as the Party’s new leader. His leading is not an endorsement of conservatism in America; it is an indictment.

decision 2016

So, where are things as we move towards Christmas and New Years?

Nationally, “the Donald,” aka “Der Fuhrer,” the man who seems to relish living in political chaos, continues holding on to the top spot in the polls in spite of all his outlandish comments.

The CBS/NY Times Poll, “conducted by telephone December 4-8, 2015 among a random sample of 1,275 adults nationwide, including 1,053 registered voters” has the Republican race lining up thus:

Donald Trump 35%
Ted Cruz (the Canadian who would be President) 16%
Ben Carson 13%
Marco Rubio 9%
Rand Paul 4%
Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich, and Mike Huckabee 3%
None of them 2%
Carly Fiorina 1%
Rick Santorum, George Pataki, and Lindsey Graham 0%

It must hurt to know that “none of them” garners more of a percentage of the party faithful than you do.

In a USA Today/Suffolk Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from December 2-6, 2015:

Trump 27%
Cruz 17%
Rubio 16%
Carson 10%
Bush 4%
Paul, Christie, and Kasich 2%
Fiorina, Huckabee, and Santorum 1%
Pataki and Graham 0%

Something very troubling for the Republican Party is the fact that 68% of Trump followers have said they would support him if he bolted from the GOTP and made an independent run for the White House. Reality being 68% of Trump supporters could mean anywhere from 15% to 20% or more of the Republican base in a general election, ensuring a Democratic victory in 2016.

On the Democratic side, the CBS/NY Times Poll has:

Hillary Clinton 52%
Bernie Sanders 32%
Martin O’Malley 2%

The USA Today/Suffolk Poll has:

Clinton 56%
Sanders at 29%
O’Malley 4%

According to the USA Today/Suffolk Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 48/Trump 44
Rubio 48/Clinton 45
Clinton 47/Cruz 45
Clinton 46/Carson 45

According to a CNN/ORC Poll, conducted from 27 November to 1 December, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 50/Cruz 47
Carson 50/Clinton 47
Clinton 49/Trump 46
Rubio 49/Clinton 48

Clearly, there are some serious problems with the polling data when a CNN/ORC Poll finds Ben – the Egyptians built the pyramids to store grain – Carson beating Hillary Clinton at anything. The CNN/ORC poll is highly suspect.

Finally, in an MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll, conducted from 15 November to 2 December:

Clinton 52/Trump 41
Clinton 51/Cruz 44
Clinton 48/Rubio 45
Clinton 48/Carson 47

According to recent polling data available, if the election were today, odds are Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

If you are a Republican, your only hope appears to be with a very junior Senator from Florida. Good luck with that.

 
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Posted by on December 12, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 28 August 2015 Edition

The 2016 Presidential Election staggers forward – the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown bus complete with its 17 occupants and pseudo-fascist driver is trying to find some degree of sanity but is failing because Donald Trump continues to lead in the polls, appealing to the worse parts of human nature, and finding room in the GOTP.

decision 2016

Where are things as we slink slowly into September of 2015?

Nationally, the “Joker” of the GOTP clowns – “The Donald” – continues holding on to the top spot in the polls in spite of all his outlandish comments.

A Quinnipiac Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 20 to 25, 2015 has the GOTP Clown Bus lining up thus:

Donald Trump still ahead at 28%
Ben Carson 12%
Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz 7%
Scott Walker 6%
Carly Fiorina and John Kasich 5%
Chris Christie 4%
Mike Huckabee 3%
Rand Paul 2%
Rick Perry and Rick Santorum 1%
Bobby Jindal and Lindsey Graham 0%

In a CNN/ORC Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 13 to 16, 2015:

Trump 24%
Bush 13%
Carson 9%
Rubio and Walker 8%
Paul 6%
Fiorina, Cruz and Kasich 5%
Huckabee 4%
Christie 3%
Perry 2%
Santorum 1%
Jindal and Graham strong at 0%

In a Fox News Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 11 to 13, 2015:

Trump leads at 25%
Carson 12%
Cruz 10%
Bush 9%
Walker and Huckabee sit at 6%
Fiorina 5%
Rubio and Kasich 4%
Christie and Paul 3%
Perry, Santorum and Jindal 1%
Graham 0%

Lastly, in a Rasmussen Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 9 to August 10, 2015 the Clown Parade is as follows:

Trump leads at 17%
Bush and Rubio 10%
Walker and Fiorina 9%
Carson 8%
Cruz 7%
Paul, Kasich and Christie 4%
Huckabee 3%
Perry, Santorum, Jindal and Graham 1%

On the Democratic side, the Quinnipiac Poll has:

Hillary Clinton 45%
Bernie Sanders 22%
Vice-President Joe Biden 18%
Martin O’Malley 1%
Jim Webb 1%
Lincoln Chafee 0%

The CNN/ORC Poll has:

Clinton still way out in front with 47%
Sanders at 29%
Biden 14%
O’Malley 2%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

Fox News has the Democratic race:

Clinton 49%
Sanders 30%
Biden 10%
Webb and O’Malley 1%
Chafee 0%

According to the Quinnipiac Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 45/Trump 41
Clinton 44/Rubio 43
Clinton 42/Bush 40

The poll ignored all other challengers

According to the CNN/ORC Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 53/Fiorina 43
Clinton 52/Bush 43
Clinton 52/Walker 46
Clinton 51/Trump 45

The poll did not ask voters about a match-up between Clinton and Rubio, Paul, Cruz, Carson, Christie, Huckabee, Kasich, Perry, Santorum, Jindal or Graham.

According to recent polling data available, if the election was today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

Of note, according to the Quinnipiac poll, “Note to Biden: They like you, they really like you, or they like you more than the others.

“If he is sitting on the fence, his scores in the matchups and his favorability ratings may compel him to say, ‘Let’s do this.’”

“Matchups among all American voters show: Biden tops Trump 48 – 40 percent. He beats Bush 45 – 39 percent and gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 41 percent.

“Clinton edges Trump 45 – 41 percent. She gets 42 percent to Bush’s 40 percent and gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 43 percent.

“Sanders edges Trump 44 – 41 percent and edges Bush 43 – 39 percent. Rubio gets 41 percent to Sanders’ 40 percent.”

Note to Republicans, according to Quinnipiac, “If Trump runs as a third party candidate, Clinton gets 40 percent, with 24 percent each for Bush and Trump.”

 
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Posted by on August 28, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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No Right Turns

UNITED STATES - APRIL 30: Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., speaks during the news conference on Ukraine on Wednesday, April 30, 2014. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

(Original Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

 
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Posted by on May 15, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 20 April 2015 Edition

The 2016 Presidential Election season rolls on, and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown car spins and swerves from one fantastic tale to another while former Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton is driving her “Scooby Mobile” into New Hampshire this week.

decision 2016

Where are things in these early moments of the 2016 campaign?

Nationally, a CNN/ORC poll of voters describing themselves as “republicans” or “independents who lean republican” conducted 16-19 April 2015, has former Florida Governor Jeb Bush leading the group of GOTP candidates and likely candidates. Jeb Bush 17%, Scott Walker 12%, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Ted Cruz 7%, Ben Carson and Chris Christie 4%, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum 3%, while Bobby Jindal and John Kasich 2%.

On the Democratic side, a CNN/ORC poll of voters describing themselves as “Democrat” or “independents who lean Democrat” conducted 16-19 April 2015, has Clinton in a commanding lead of undeclared candidates with 69%, followed by Joe Biden 11%, Bernie Sanders 5%, Jim Webb 3% Martin O’Malley at 1%.

How do things stack up if the General Election was today? The same CNN/ORC poll has Hillary Clinton beating all GOTP comers by double digits.

Clinton 55/Rubio 41

Clinton 56/Bush 39

Clinton 58/Paul 39

Clinton 58/Christie 39

Clinton 59/Walker 37

Clinton 58/Huckabee 37

Clinton 60/Cruz 36

Clinton 60/Carson 36

According to recent polling data available, if the election was today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would be footnotes in history books.

 
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Posted by on April 20, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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An Open Letter

Forty-seven Republican Tea Party (GOTP) members of the United States Senate have written an open letter to the leadership of Iran.

Why?

To undermine the legitimacy of the President of the United States and his Constitutional authority to conduct foreign policy for, and in behalf of, the United States.

Tom Cotton

The 47 GOTP Senators – aka the Gang of 47 – are led by a very freshman senator from Arkansas, Senator Tom Cotton, who is so new to the Senate he probably has to still ask directions to the men’s room. Like other brash junior GOTP senators – think Cruz, Rubio and Paul – Cotton is walking around shooting from the political hip and shooting himself in the foot, and a whole lot of his associates in the majority party. He has not taken the time to learn what the Senate does, nor what its role and responsivities are under Article I of the Constitution. It appears doubtful the freshman senator has ever read the Constitution, and if he has he certainly does not understand it. The Senate, for example, does not have purview over foreign relations except when the Executive sends it a treaty – after it has been negotiated – to ratify. Utilizing its Constitutional power of “advice and consent” it may debate and wrangle with the President concerning the treaty, but it may not negotiate with foreign countries. In fact, it is against federal law for the Senate to contact foreign countries and discuss foreign policy in any way, shape of form.

In 1798, a state legislator – George Logan – from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania took it upon himself to privately negotiate with France during a period of United States history known as the “Quasi War.” The Federalist members of Congress were so angered by Logan’s self-appointed mission, they passed the Logan Act in January of 1799.

The Act simply states, “Any citizen of the United States, wherever he may be, who, without authority of the United States, directly or indirectly commences or carries on any correspondence or intercourse with any foreign government or any officer or agent thereof, with intent to influence the measures or conduct of any foreign government or of any officer or agent thereof, in relation to any disputes or controversies with the United States, or to defeat the measures of the United States, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than three years, or both.”

Not only have the Gang of 47 committed a huge act of overreach of its authority, it is also clearly in violation of the Logan Act. The little group has committed one of the greatest political acts of stupidity possibly in the annals of the United States Senate.

Although it should be abundantly clear to anyone the Senators in question had no authority to send any kind of correspondence to the leaders of another country, just in case anyone still thinks the Congress has the right to interfere, let us remove all lingering doubt.

The Supreme Court in 1936 ruled in United States v. Curtiss-Wright Export Corp. (1936), “[T]he President alone has the power to speak or listen as a representative of the nation. He makes treaties with the advice and consent of the Senate; but he alone negotiates. Into the field of negotiation the Senate cannot intrude, and Congress itself is powerless to invade it.” The Senate “cannot intrude” and the Congress “is powerless.”

Technically, the President could ask the Justice Department to investigate whether the Gang of 47 committed any crime with its letter and could seek prosecution. Probably not something the President will do. The real problem for these GOTP members of the Senate is they look like rank amateurs and fools and have made their country look foolish as well.

Additionally, there is a very real political problem will be for those members of the Gang of 47 who have Presidential aspirations. Senators Ted Cruz (who can never be president), Marco Rubio and Rand Paul have all just proven – beyond a shadow of a doubt – their foreign affairs experience is somewhere between pre-K and Second Grade. One day these very junior senators will have to debate some adults, and when they do this letter will come back and bite them very deservedly in their political buttocks.

One last bit of reality for the Gang of 47 – and its groupies. The ongoing negotiations with Iran are not bilateral – meaning between the United States and Iran – but are multilateral. The United States is one of half a dozen nations negotiating Iran’s nuclear future. Currently involved in the discussions – besides the United States – are Great Britain, China, Russia, France and Germany, under the auspices of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons or NPT, and as such any agreement could only be changed, or nullified, if all the signatories agreed to do so, not simply if the United States Congress, or some future GOTP President decided to so. The NPT became part of international law in 1970, being extended indefinitely in 1995. Any agreement reached through the negotiations would be a United Nations’ Security Council Resolution, and not something any future U.S. President or any member of the Congress has the authority to undo.

Maybe next time Senator Cotton thinks he needs to write a letter – along with his buddies – to another country’s leaders he’ll ask a responsible adult if it’s OK first.

 
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Posted by on March 11, 2015 in Uncategorized

 

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