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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 24 February 2016 Edition

Two months have passed since I last commented on the current 2016 Presidential Election, and in those two months, oh how the mighty have fallen.

decision 2016

The political season continues to surge forward towards the abyss. The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown bus has lost most of its passengers but is still being controlled by its fascist driver, Donald Trump, careening from side to side along the road, crashing into guard rails, passengers screaming, threatening to send the GOTP off of the proverbial cliff ad taking the rest of us with it.

Continuing his standard operating procedure, making one crazy statement after another Trump continues to lead in the polls, winning one primary after another – New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada – appealing to the worse parts of human nature – you know, the Nazi parts, the white supremacist parts – and firmly now entrenched as the Party’s leader. His leading is still not an endorsement of conservatism in America; it is an indictment.

So, where are things as we move towards Super Tuesday?

Nationally, the man who relishes living in political chaos continues holding on to the top spot in the polls in spite of everything he does.

A Rasmussen Reports Poll, conducted February 11-22, 2016 of “Likely Republican Voters” has the Republican race lining up thus:

Donald Trump 36%
Marco Rubio 21%
Ted Cruz (the Canadian who would be President) 17%
John Kasich 12%
Ben Carson 8%

So, 58% of the Republican Party is supporting anyone but Trump, while the crazy one-third of the Party is destroying it, one primary at a time. Of course, six percent of the GOTP does not appear to like any of these candidates.

In an FOX News Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from 15-17 February 2016:

Trump 36%
Cruz 19%
Rubio 15%
Carson 9%
Bush 9% (sadly Jeb has taken his toys home after the SC Primary)
Kasich 8%

Again, 60% of the Party opposes Trump, and yet he is dominating the Primaries because the other stiffs will not admit defeat and move out of the way.

On the Democratic side, the FOX News Poll has:

Bernie Sanders 47%
Hillary Clinton 44%

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll from 14-16 February 2016 has:

Clinton 53%
Sanders at 42%

According to the FOX News, if the General Election was today:

Rubio 48/Clinton 44
Cruz 46/Clinton 45
Clinton 47/Trump 42

Sanders 53/Trump 38

According to a USA Today/Suffolk Poll, taken 11-15 February 2016:

Trump 45/Clinton 43
Cruz 45/Clinton 44
Rubio 48/Clinton 42

Rubio 46/Sanders 42
Trump 44/Sanders 43
Sanders 44/Cruz 42

According to recent polling data available, if the election were today, odds are anyone running might be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

If you are a Republican, fear for your Party; the lunatics – aka the Tea Party – are now clearly in charge of the asylum.

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Posted by on February 24, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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Just a thought…

2016 vs 2012 vs 2008

 
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Posted by on January 7, 2016 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 12 December 2015 Edition

It has been nearly four months since I last commented on the current 2016 Presidential Election, and in those four months next to nothing has changed. The political season continues to stagger forward. The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown bus is still filled to overflowing while its fascist driver, Donald Trump, careens from side to side along the road, threatening to send the GOTP off of the proverbial cliff. Making one crazy declaration after another Trump continues to lead in the polls, appealing to the worse parts of human nature, and firmly now ensconced as the Party’s new leader. His leading is not an endorsement of conservatism in America; it is an indictment.

decision 2016

So, where are things as we move towards Christmas and New Years?

Nationally, “the Donald,” aka “Der Fuhrer,” the man who seems to relish living in political chaos, continues holding on to the top spot in the polls in spite of all his outlandish comments.

The CBS/NY Times Poll, “conducted by telephone December 4-8, 2015 among a random sample of 1,275 adults nationwide, including 1,053 registered voters” has the Republican race lining up thus:

Donald Trump 35%
Ted Cruz (the Canadian who would be President) 16%
Ben Carson 13%
Marco Rubio 9%
Rand Paul 4%
Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich, and Mike Huckabee 3%
None of them 2%
Carly Fiorina 1%
Rick Santorum, George Pataki, and Lindsey Graham 0%

It must hurt to know that “none of them” garners more of a percentage of the party faithful than you do.

In a USA Today/Suffolk Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from December 2-6, 2015:

Trump 27%
Cruz 17%
Rubio 16%
Carson 10%
Bush 4%
Paul, Christie, and Kasich 2%
Fiorina, Huckabee, and Santorum 1%
Pataki and Graham 0%

Something very troubling for the Republican Party is the fact that 68% of Trump followers have said they would support him if he bolted from the GOTP and made an independent run for the White House. Reality being 68% of Trump supporters could mean anywhere from 15% to 20% or more of the Republican base in a general election, ensuring a Democratic victory in 2016.

On the Democratic side, the CBS/NY Times Poll has:

Hillary Clinton 52%
Bernie Sanders 32%
Martin O’Malley 2%

The USA Today/Suffolk Poll has:

Clinton 56%
Sanders at 29%
O’Malley 4%

According to the USA Today/Suffolk Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 48/Trump 44
Rubio 48/Clinton 45
Clinton 47/Cruz 45
Clinton 46/Carson 45

According to a CNN/ORC Poll, conducted from 27 November to 1 December, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 50/Cruz 47
Carson 50/Clinton 47
Clinton 49/Trump 46
Rubio 49/Clinton 48

Clearly, there are some serious problems with the polling data when a CNN/ORC Poll finds Ben – the Egyptians built the pyramids to store grain – Carson beating Hillary Clinton at anything. The CNN/ORC poll is highly suspect.

Finally, in an MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll, conducted from 15 November to 2 December:

Clinton 52/Trump 41
Clinton 51/Cruz 44
Clinton 48/Rubio 45
Clinton 48/Carson 47

According to recent polling data available, if the election were today, odds are Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

If you are a Republican, your only hope appears to be with a very junior Senator from Florida. Good luck with that.

 
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Posted by on December 12, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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No Right Turns…

Everyone knows the Chinese are in Syria

 
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Posted by on November 11, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 28 August 2015 Edition

The 2016 Presidential Election staggers forward – the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown bus complete with its 17 occupants and pseudo-fascist driver is trying to find some degree of sanity but is failing because Donald Trump continues to lead in the polls, appealing to the worse parts of human nature, and finding room in the GOTP.

decision 2016

Where are things as we slink slowly into September of 2015?

Nationally, the “Joker” of the GOTP clowns – “The Donald” – continues holding on to the top spot in the polls in spite of all his outlandish comments.

A Quinnipiac Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 20 to 25, 2015 has the GOTP Clown Bus lining up thus:

Donald Trump still ahead at 28%
Ben Carson 12%
Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz 7%
Scott Walker 6%
Carly Fiorina and John Kasich 5%
Chris Christie 4%
Mike Huckabee 3%
Rand Paul 2%
Rick Perry and Rick Santorum 1%
Bobby Jindal and Lindsey Graham 0%

In a CNN/ORC Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 13 to 16, 2015:

Trump 24%
Bush 13%
Carson 9%
Rubio and Walker 8%
Paul 6%
Fiorina, Cruz and Kasich 5%
Huckabee 4%
Christie 3%
Perry 2%
Santorum 1%
Jindal and Graham strong at 0%

In a Fox News Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 11 to 13, 2015:

Trump leads at 25%
Carson 12%
Cruz 10%
Bush 9%
Walker and Huckabee sit at 6%
Fiorina 5%
Rubio and Kasich 4%
Christie and Paul 3%
Perry, Santorum and Jindal 1%
Graham 0%

Lastly, in a Rasmussen Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from August 9 to August 10, 2015 the Clown Parade is as follows:

Trump leads at 17%
Bush and Rubio 10%
Walker and Fiorina 9%
Carson 8%
Cruz 7%
Paul, Kasich and Christie 4%
Huckabee 3%
Perry, Santorum, Jindal and Graham 1%

On the Democratic side, the Quinnipiac Poll has:

Hillary Clinton 45%
Bernie Sanders 22%
Vice-President Joe Biden 18%
Martin O’Malley 1%
Jim Webb 1%
Lincoln Chafee 0%

The CNN/ORC Poll has:

Clinton still way out in front with 47%
Sanders at 29%
Biden 14%
O’Malley 2%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

Fox News has the Democratic race:

Clinton 49%
Sanders 30%
Biden 10%
Webb and O’Malley 1%
Chafee 0%

According to the Quinnipiac Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 45/Trump 41
Clinton 44/Rubio 43
Clinton 42/Bush 40

The poll ignored all other challengers

According to the CNN/ORC Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 53/Fiorina 43
Clinton 52/Bush 43
Clinton 52/Walker 46
Clinton 51/Trump 45

The poll did not ask voters about a match-up between Clinton and Rubio, Paul, Cruz, Carson, Christie, Huckabee, Kasich, Perry, Santorum, Jindal or Graham.

According to recent polling data available, if the election was today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

Of note, according to the Quinnipiac poll, “Note to Biden: They like you, they really like you, or they like you more than the others.

“If he is sitting on the fence, his scores in the matchups and his favorability ratings may compel him to say, ‘Let’s do this.’”

“Matchups among all American voters show: Biden tops Trump 48 – 40 percent. He beats Bush 45 – 39 percent and gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 41 percent.

“Clinton edges Trump 45 – 41 percent. She gets 42 percent to Bush’s 40 percent and gets 44 percent to Rubio’s 43 percent.

“Sanders edges Trump 44 – 41 percent and edges Bush 43 – 39 percent. Rubio gets 41 percent to Sanders’ 40 percent.”

Note to Republicans, according to Quinnipiac, “If Trump runs as a third party candidate, Clinton gets 40 percent, with 24 percent each for Bush and Trump.”

 
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Posted by on August 28, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 3 August 2015 Edition

The 2016 Presidential Election careens forward – the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown car has graduated into the 2016 GOTP Clown Bus (probably a 1960’s era VW Bus) currently 17 occupants at last count, as the Democratic Party tiptoes along, picking up a contender here and a contender there.

decision 2016

Where are things as we slither slowly into the first August of the 2016 campaign season?

Nationally, in the past six polls the “Joker” of GOTP comedy – “The Donald” – has not only taken the lead, but is holding it in spite of outlandish comments.

A NBC/WSJ Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from July 26 to 30, 2015 has the GOTP Clown Bus lining up thus:

Donald Trump leads at 19%
Scott Walker 15%
Jeb Bush 14%
Ben Carson 10%
Ted Cruz, the Junior Senator for Ottawa 9%
Rand Paul and Mike Huckabee 6%
Marco Rubio 5%
Chris Christie, John Kasich, and Rick Perry 3%
Rick Santorum and Bobby Jindal 1%
Carly Fiorina and Lindsey Graham are not showing on the radar at 0%

In a Quinnipiac Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from July 23 to 28, 2015 has the GOTP Clown Bus lining up this way:

Trump leads at 20%
Walker sits at 13%
Bush 10%
Paul, Carson, Huckabee, and Rubio 6%
Kasich and Cruz 5%
Christie 3%
Perry and Jindal 2%
Santorum, Fiorina, and Graham 1%

Lastly, in a Rasmussen Poll, conducted by telephone of “registered voters” from July 26 to 27, 2015 the Clown Parade is as follows:

Trump way out in front at 26%
Walker 14%
Bush 10%
Cruz and Huckabee 7%
Carson, Rubio, and Kasich 5%
Paul 3%
Christie, Perry, Jindal, and Santorum 2%
Fiorina and Graham 1%

According to the rules of the first Republican/Tea Party 2016 Debate sponsored by Fox News and set for 6 August 2015, only candidates who place in the top 10 in an average of the five most recent national polls prior to the event will be on the stage.

The averages for the 17 contenders in the GOTP Debate Happy Meal Box are as follows:

1 – Trump 20.8%
2 -Walker 13.3%
3 – Bush 12.6%
4 – Carson 6.2%
5 – Rubio 6%
6 – Cruz 6%
7 – Huckabee 6%
8 – Paul 5.8%
9 – Kasich 3.5%
10 – Christie 3%

The rest get to watch from a nearby Clown Pre-school crying into their milk and napping on their little mats

Perry 2.5%
Jindal 1.5%
Santorum 1.5%
Fiorina 0.7%
Graham 0.5%

On the Democratic side, the Quinnipiac Poll has:

Hillary Clinton still way out in front with 55%
Bernie Sanders at 17%
Vice-President Joe Biden 13%
Martin O’Malley and Jim Webb 1%
Lincoln Chafee 0%

According to a McClatchy/Marist Poll, conducted July 22 to 28, 2015, of “registered voters,” if the General Election was today:

Clinton 50/Huckabee 41
Clinton 50/Christie 40
Clinton 49/Carson 39
Clinton 49/Kasich 39
Clinton 49/Bush 43
Clinton 49/Cruz 40
Clinton 48/Trump 36
Clinton 48/Paul 43
Clinton 47/Perry 40
Clinton 47/Rubio 42
Clinton 44/Walker 43

The poll did not ask voters about a match-up between Clinton and Fiorina, Santorum or Graham.

According to recent polling data available, if the election was today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

 
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Posted by on August 3, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 27 July 2015 Edition

The 2016 Presidential Election season continues to move into crazy mode – the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown bus continues to swerve all over the political road – while the Democratic Party plods steadily forward.

decision 2016

Where are things as we slide towards August of the 2016 campaign season?

Nationally, Donald Trump continues to lead the GOTP pack – five polls in a row from 9 July to 25 July, he is the current snake oil salesman and the GOTP is loving what he’s selling.

In the most recent polls, the CNN/ORC Poll, conducted by telephone of 1,017 “registered voters” from July 22 to 25, 2015 has the seating in the GOTP Clown Bus lining up as follows:

Donald Trump 18%
Jeb Bush 15%
Scott Walker 10%
Ted Cruz, the Junior Senator for Ottawa 7%
Marco Rubio and Rand Paul 6%
Mike Huckabee 5%
Ben Carson, Chris Christie and John Kasich 4%
Rick Perry 3%
Rick Santorum and Bobby Jindal 2%
Carly Fiorina and Lindsey Graham 1%

The PPP (D) Poll, conducted by telephone of 1,087 “registered voters” from July 20 to 21, 2015 has the GOTP Clown Bus lining up this way:

Trump leads at 19%
Walker 17%
Bush 12%
Rubio and Carson 10%
Huckabee 8%
Cruz, Paul and Fiorina 4%
Christie and Kasich 3%
Perry, Santorum and Jindal 1%
Graham at 0%

Trump is currently in second place, behind Walker, in a NBC/Marist Poll in Iowa, but leads in the same poll in New Hampshire.

According to the rules of the first Republican/Tea Party 2016 Debate sponsored by Fox News and set for 6 August 2015, only candidates who place in the top 10 in an average of the five most recent national polls prior to the event will be on the stage.

The averages for the 16 contenders in the GOTP Happy Meal Box are as follows:

1 – Trump 18.2%
2 – Bush 13.7%
3 – Walker 11.7%
4 – Rubio 6.8%
5 – Huckabee 6%
6 – Carson 6%
7 – Cruz 5.7%
8 – Paul 5.7%
9 – Christie 3.0%
10 Kasich 2.2%

The rest get to watch from a nearby pub crying into their beer

Perry 2.0%
Santorum 1.5%
Jindal 1.3%
Fiorina 1.3%
Graham 0.2%

On the Democratic side, CNN/ORC Poll has:

Hillary Clinton still way out in front with 56%
Bernie Sanders at 19%
Vice-President Joe Biden 15%
Jim Webb 1%
Martin O’Malley and Lincoln Chafee 0%

The PPP (D) Poll shakes out as follows:

Clinton 57%
Sanders 22%
Webb 5%
Chafee 3%
O’Malley 2%

According to CNN/Opinion Research Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 56/Trump 40
Clinton 53/Walker 44
Clinton 51/Bush 46

Sanders 59/Trump 38
Sanders 48/Walker 43
Sanders 47/Bush 48

According to the PPP (D) Poll, if the General Election was today:

Clinton 50/Trump 37
Clinton 48/Cruz 40
Clinton 47/Carson 39
Clinton 47/Fiorina 37
Clinton 46/Huckabee 40
Clinton 46/Christie 38
Clinton 46/Walker 41
Clinton 46/Bush 41
Clinton 46/Rubio 41
Clinton 45/Paul 42

Sanders 47/Trump 37
Sanders 39/Walker 40
Sanders 37/Bush 44
Sanders 36/Rubio 41

According to recent polling data available, if the election was today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would still be footnotes in history books.

 
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Posted by on July 27, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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