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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 2 Oct 12 Edition

Five (5) weeks – 35 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s trying to overcome his latest misstep, wondering aloud why windows can’t be rolled down on airplanes? Some suggest he was “only joking”; doesn’t matter, it was an obtuse thing to say, and it’s only added to the image that he’s not as bright as people think he is and that he’s – as Jon Stewart put it – “like Charlie from Flowers for Algernon, and the serum is wearing off”. Topping this off was Ann Romney’s startling declaration that her greatest concern for her husband was his “mental well-being”; not what you need your wife saying about you, but especially not what you need your wife saying about you when you’re running for the presidency.

So, there’s one day to the first debate and a plethora of pundits are claiming Romney can turn it all around tomorrow tonight because he’s had more than 20 debates this fall to help him prepare and he’s ready to go; yeah OK, but he’s not debating the misfits from the GOTP primaries, he’s debating the President f the United States, and from what Willard’s demonstrated thus far, I’d say the odds are nowhere near to being in his favor.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?

The last favorability Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 27 Sep 12, showed the President with a 50% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 46%. For the second straight week the President’s favorables are above 50% while Romney’s continues to be the most disliked presidential candidate in recent history with unfavorables of 48%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) – the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 – 30 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

According to other recent viable polls, if the general election was held today …

Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 23-29 Sep 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 44

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 26 – 29 Sep 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 27 Sep 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 26 Sep 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 43

Bloomberg poll of likely voters conducted from 21-24 Sep 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 20 Sep 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 17 – 23 Sep 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 46

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 15-19 Sep 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 43

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 47/44; SEN McCain would never lead again in the polls ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52/44.

So, if the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 3 Oct 12

Obama 318/220
Obama 308/230
Obama 297/241
Obama 286/252
Obama 297/241

Obama 316/222
Obama 303/235
Romney 272/266
Obama 347/191
Obama 281/257

Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney nine times and usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54-46; while Democrats will be  picking up at least 15 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 228/207.

 
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Posted by on October 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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No Right Turns

 
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Posted by on October 1, 2012 in Humor

 

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Wealthy donors begin fleeing sinking ship?

According to Fox Business’ Charlie Gasparino wealthy donors are reportedly beginning to pull their rather substantial financial support from Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s campaign and are instead sending their dollars to Republican House and Senate candidates who they’re betting on will have a better chance of winning come election day.

Gasparino said “a major player in Romney’s New York fundraising circles,” told him donors are losing faith Willard can beat the President.

The desire to head for the life boats may be due to the fact the President’s leading in national polling, and more importantly is leading by healthy margins in almost every battleground states except North Carolina.

According to my calculations Romney’s not just going to lose but lose big (somewhere around the 347/191 neighborhood) and it seems a lot of others – particularly his money backers – are finally beginning to see that as well.

 
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Posted by on October 1, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Ann says she’s concerned about Mitt’s ‘mental well-being’?

According to Reuters’, in a recent interview, Ann Romney said her biggest concern if her husband, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney, becomes president was his “mental well-being.”

“I think my biggest concern obviously would just be for his mental well-being,” she said. “I have all the confidence in the world in his ability, in his decisiveness, in his leadership skills, in his understanding of the economy. … So for me I think it would just be the emotional part of it.”

Wow, talk about your glowing character recommendation; not exactly the thing you want your wife going around saying when you’re running for the office of the most powerful man in the world, whose decisions can plummet the world into nuclear armageddon.

No doubt Ann would object to anyone quoting her this way, “Stop it. This is hard. You want to try it? Get in the ring,” she might say.

Sorry Ann, you’re the one who said you’re worried about Willard’s mental state, not me.

This could possibly be the most devastating miscue of the entire campaign.

 
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Posted by on September 29, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Private Sector is Doing Fine – 28 Sep 12 Edition

“The private sector is doing fine” ~ President Obama

“I think he’s really defining what it means to be out of touch with reality.” ~ Willard Mitt Romney

Since the above exchange between the President and Willard the following indicators the private sector is indeed “doing fine”:

Fiscal First Quarter reported earnings:

FedEx posted $10.79 billion

In the 2nd Quarter the following earnings were reported by the private sector:

Yahoo reported $1.08 billion
Facebook reported $1.2 billion
EBay reported $3.4 billion
Macy’s reported $6.12 billion
Travelers reported $6.36 billion
McDonald’s reported $6.92 billion
Morgan Stanley reported $7 billion
Best Buy reported $10.55 billion
Amazon.com reported $12.8 billion
Google reported $12.21 billion
United Parcel Service (UPS) reported $13.4 billion
Coca-Cola reported $13.09 billion
Intel reported $13.5 billion
Dell reported $14.5 billion
Pfizer reported $15.1 billion
Johnson & Johnson reported $16.5 billion
Microsoft reported $18.06 billion
Citigroup reported $18.4 billion
Procter & Gamble reported $20.2 billion
Bank of America reported $22.2 billion
IBM reported $25.8 billion
Verizon reported $28.6 billion
AT&T reported $31.6 billion

Following are third quarter earnings:

Hewlett-Packard reported $29.7 billion

Following are fourth quarter earnings:

News Corp. reported $8.4 billion
Cisco reported $11.7 billion

The private sector added 163,000 jobs in July, according to the ADP report. Analysts had been expecting an increase of 120,000.

The Labor Department reports nonfarm payrolls rose by 96,000 in August from July, less than the 125,000 expected. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 8.1% from 8.3.

New claims for unemployment benefits fell to 359,000 last week from an upwardly revised 385,000 the week prior. Claims were expected to fall to 378,000 from an initially reported 382,000. Week of 17-22 Sep 12.

The Conference Board’s gauge of consumer confidence rose to 65.9 in July from 62.7 in June, better than the 61.5 economists expected.

The Conference Board’s reading on consumer confidence rose to 70.3 in September from an upwardly revised 61.3 in August, topping estimates for a reading of 63. The reading was the highest since February.

The manufacturing sector in the U.S. Midwest expanded at a slightly swifter pace in July than it did the month before. The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago’s PMI gauge came in at 53.7, higher than expectations of 52.5 and a reading of 52.9 in June.

Home prices in 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas climbed 2.2% in May from the month before on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, according the S&P/Case-Shiller report. That came in stronger than the 1.5% gain economists expected.

Sales of existing homes rose 2.3% in July from June to an annualized rate of 4.47 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Existing home sales rose 7.8% in August from July to an annualized rate of 4.82 million units, topping estimates of a 4.55-million unit rate and marking the fastest pace since May 2010.

U.S. pending home sales rose 2.4% in July from June, topping the 1% expected and hitting the highest level since April 2010. Sales were up 12.4% from a year ago.

U.S. housing starts jumped 6.9% in June from May to a 760,000-unit rate, topping estimates of a 745,000-unit rate and marking the highest rate since October 2008.

Housing starts rose 2.3% in August from July to a 750,000-unit rate, missing estimates of a 765,000-unit rate. Permits fell 1% to an 803,000-unit rate, but topped estimates of a 796,000-unit rate.

Sales of new single-family homes rose 3.6% in July from June to an annualized rate of 372,000 units. Analysts were expecting an annualized rate of 365,000 units.

The Commerce Department reported that building permits rose 6.8% to a rate of 812,000, the highest level in four years.

The Labor Department reported producer prices climbed 0.3% in July from June, the fastest pace in five months. Analysts expected an increase of 0.2%. Excluding the food and energy components, prices were up 0.4%, also more than the 0.2% increase forecast.

Retail sales climbed 0.8% in July from June, the largest increase since February and a bigger gain than the 0.3% economists expected.

The consumer sentiment reading of the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey showed consumer sentiment increased to 73.6 in early August from July’s final reading of 72.3. The August preliminary reading topped forecasts for an increase to 72.4 and marked the highest level since May.

U.S. retail sales rose 0.9% in August from July, more than the 0.7% expected and the largest rise since February. Excluding the auto segment, sales were up 0.8%, topping estimates of 0.6%.

The broad S&P 500 struck its highest level since May 2008 on 21 Aug 12, while the Dow is sitting less than 60 points beneath its highest point since the end of 2007. Meanwhile, oil futures are jumping 1.5% as the U.S. dollar sinks to its lowest level since early July.

The Markit Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.9 in August from 51.4 in July, the first monthly increase in five months. Readings over 50 point to expansion while readings below 50 indicate contraction.

Orders for long-lasting U.S. goods rose 4.2% in July from June, blowing past estimates of a 2.4% increase. Excluding the transportation segment, orders were down 0.4%, missing estimates of a 0.5% gain.

A second reading on U.S. gross domestic product showed the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 1.7% in the second quarter, in line with economists’ estimates and faster than an initial estimate of 1.5%.

The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas shows home prices rose 2.3% in June from May on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a bigger gain than the 1.6% expected. Prices were up 0.5% from the same period a year earlier in the first increase since September 2010.

The S&P/Case Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas shows home prices rose 1.6% in July from June on a non-seasonally adjusted basis. Prices were up 1.2% from a year ago, more than the 1% expected.

Personal spending rose 0.4% in July from June, as expected, to the highest level since February. Personal income rose 0.3%, also as expected.

A final reading on consumer sentiment for the month of August checked in at 74.3, higher than a preliminary reading of 73.6, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters and the University of Michigan.

The Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of service-sector activity rose to 53.7 in August, the highest level since May, from 52.6 in July; the index was expected to fall slightly to 52.5.

New claims for unemployment benefits fell to 365,000 from an upwardly revised 377,000 the week prior. Claims were expected to fall to 370,000 from an initially reported 374,000.

Stock Market was 8077.56 on 19 Jan 09 and 13,437.13 on 28 Sep 12

Who’s out of touch Mitt?

 
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Posted by on September 28, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 25 Sep 12 Edition

Just six (6) weeks – 42 days – to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s spent the last week trying to convince voters he cares about 100% of the nation’s people in spite of being over heard in a recently released video, saying in a $50,000 per plate fund raiser that 47% of voters are freeloading losers who’re so dependent on government handouts they’ll never vote for him.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?

The last favorability Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 20 Sep 12, showed the President with a 53% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 46%. Romney’s the most disliked presidential candidate in recent history – no one has scored worse on favorability in over 30 years, not even Dukakis, Carter or Dole.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) – the most recent Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 20 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

According to other recent viable polls, if the general election was held today …

Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 17 – 23 Sep 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 46

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 15-19 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 43

Associated Press/GfK poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 17 Sep 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

Hartford Courant/UConn poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 18 Sep 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 43

Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted 13 – 16 Sep 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 45

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 47/44; SEN McCain would never lead again in the polls ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52/44.

So, if the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 25 Sep 12

Obama 316/222
Obama 312/226
Obama 303/235
Obama 335/203
Obama 322/216

Obama 319/219
Obama 283/255
Obama 333/205
Obama 293/245
Obama 347/191

Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney every time and usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 53-47; while Democrats will be  picking up at least 15 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 227/208.

 
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Posted by on September 25, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney wonders why airplane windows don’t roll down?

Following a recent fundraiser Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney demonstrated he knows less about airplanes than he knows about foreign policy.

It seems after his wife’s plane was forced to make an emergency landing Romney told the Los Angeles Times, he was worried for her safety.

“I appreciate the fact that she is on the ground, safe and sound. And I don’t think she knows just how worried some of us were,” Romney mewed. “When you have a fire in an aircraft, there’s no place to go, exactly.”

Then Willard began to display his ignorance of modern aircraft when he said the biggest problem in a distressed aircraft is that “the windows don’t open. I don’t know why they don’t do that. It’s a real problem. So it’s very dangerous.”

Of course, there are very good reasons why airplane windows don’t open Mr. Wizard, chief among them being there isn’t enough oxygen at cruising altitude to keep passengers alive (which is why they have those handy oxygen masks ready to drop down), and the resulting depressurization which would occur would suck anything not secured out into a free fall.

“You can’t find any oxygen from outside the aircraft to get in the aircraft, because the windows don’t open,” Romney told the Times, suggesting that additional oxygen in the cabin during a potential fire would be a good thing? Once again, Willard demonstrates – willingly – his ignorance. Fire + more oxygen = more fire.

There’s not really anything to add; Mitt’s pretty well said it all, “the windows don’t open. I don’t know why they don’t do that. It’s a real problem. So it’s very dangerous.” Clearly at this point Jeff Foxworthy should show up and have Willard look into the camera and say, “I’m Mitt Romney, and I’m not smarter than a fifth grader.”

 
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Posted by on September 24, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Private Sector is Doing Fine – 21 Sep 12 Edition

“The private sector is doing fine” ~ President Obama

“I think he’s really defining what it means to be out of touch with reality.” ~ Willard Mitt Romney

Since the above exchange between the President and Willard the following indicators the private sector is indeed “doing fine”:

Fiscal First Quarter reported earnings:

FedEx posted $10.79 billion

In the 2nd Quarter the following earnings were reported by the private sector:

Yahoo reported $1.08 billion
Facebook reported $1.2 billion
EBay reported $3.4 billion
Macy’s reported $6.12 billion
Travelers reported $6.36 billion
McDonald’s reported $6.92 billion
Morgan Stanley reported $7 billion
Best Buy reported $10.55 billion
Amazon.com reported $12.8 billion
Google reported $12.21 billion
United Parcel Service (UPS) reported $13.4 billion
Coca-Cola reported $13.09 billion
Intel reported $13.5 billion
Dell reported $14.5 billion
Pfizer reported $15.1 billion
Johnson & Johnson reported $16.5 billion
Microsoft reported $18.06 billion
Citigroup reported $18.4 billion
Procter & Gamble reported $20.2 billion
Bank of America reported $22.2 billion
IBM reported $25.8 billion
Verizon reported $28.6 billion
AT&T reported $31.6 billion

Following are third quarter earnings:

Hewlett-Packard reported $29.7 billion

Following are fourth quarter earnings:

News Corp. reported $8.4 billion
Cisco reported $11.7 billion

The private sector added 163,000 jobs in July, according to the ADP report. Analysts had been expecting an increase of 120,000.

The Labor Department reports nonfarm payrolls rose by 96,000 in August from July, less than the 125,000 expected. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 8.1% from 8.3.

The Conference Board’s gauge of consumer confidence rose to 65.9 in July from 62.7 in June, better than the 61.5 economists expected.

The manufacturing sector in the U.S. Midwest expanded at a slightly swifter pace in July than it did the month before. The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago’s PMI gauge came in at 53.7, higher than expectations of 52.5 and a reading of 52.9 in June.

Home prices in 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas climbed 2.2% in May from the month before on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, according the S&P/Case-Shiller report. That came in stronger than the 1.5% gain economists expected.

Sales of existing homes rose 2.3% in July from June to an annualized rate of 4.47 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Existing home sales rose 7.8% in August from July to an annualized rate of 4.82 million units, topping estimates of a 4.55-million unit rate and marking the fastest pace since May 2010.

U.S. pending home sales rose 2.4% in July from June, topping the 1% expected and hitting the highest level since April 2010. Sales were up 12.4% from a year ago.

U.S. housing starts jumped 6.9% in June from May to a 760,000-unit rate, topping estimates of a 745,000-unit rate and marking the highest rate since October 2008.

Housing starts rose 2.3% in August from July to a 750,000-unit rate, missing estimates of a 765,000-unit rate. Permits fell 1% to an 803,000-unit rate, but topped estimates of a 796,000-unit rate.

Sales of new single-family homes rose 3.6% in July from June to an annualized rate of 372,000 units. Analysts were expecting an annualized rate of 365,000 units.

The Commerce Department reported that building permits rose 6.8% to a rate of 812,000, the highest level in four years.

The Labor Department reported producer prices climbed 0.3% in July from June, the fastest pace in five months. Analysts expected an increase of 0.2%. Excluding the food and energy components, prices were up 0.4%, also more than the 0.2% increase forecast.

Retail sales climbed 0.8% in July from June, the largest increase since February and a bigger gain than the 0.3% economists expected.

The consumer sentiment reading of the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey showed consumer sentiment increased to 73.6 in early August from July’s final reading of 72.3. The August preliminary reading topped forecasts for an increase to 72.4 and marked the highest level since May.

U.S. retail sales rose 0.9% in August from July, more than the 0.7% expected and the largest rise since February. Excluding the auto segment, sales were up 0.8%, topping estimates of 0.6%.

The broad S&P 500 struck its highest level since May 2008 on 21 Aug 12, while the Dow is sitting less than 60 points beneath its highest point since the end of 2007. Meanwhile, oil futures are jumping 1.5% as the U.S. dollar sinks to its lowest level since early July.

The Markit Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.9 in August from 51.4 in July, the first monthly increase in five months. Readings over 50 point to expansion while readings below 50 indicate contraction.

Orders for long-lasting U.S. goods rose 4.2% in July from June, blowing past estimates of a 2.4% increase. Excluding the transportation segment, orders were down 0.4%, missing estimates of a 0.5% gain.

A second reading on U.S. gross domestic product showed the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 1.7% in the second quarter, in line with economists’ estimates and faster than an initial estimate of 1.5%.

The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas shows home prices rose 2.3% in June from May on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a bigger gain than the 1.6% expected. Prices were up 0.5% from the same period a year earlier in the first increase since September 2010.

Personal spending rose 0.4% in July from June, as expected, to the highest level since February. Personal income rose 0.3%, also as expected.

A final reading on consumer sentiment for the month of August checked in at 74.3, higher than a preliminary reading of 73.6, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters and the University of Michigan.

The Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of service-sector activity rose to 53.7 in August, the highest level since May, from 52.6 in July; the index was expected to fall slightly to 52.5.

Stock Market was 8077.56 on 19 Jan 09 and 13,579.47 on 21 Sep 12

New claims for unemployment benefits fell to 365,000 from an upwardly revised 377,000 the week prior. Claims were expected to fall to 370,000 from an initially reported 374,000.

Who’s out of touch Mitt?

 
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Posted by on September 21, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 18 Sep 12 Edition

Seven (7) weeks – 49 days – to go and counting until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s managed to successfully change the campaign from the economy to foreign policy, admittedly that wasn’t what he meant to do, but he’s done it by chiming in (rather badly) on the unrest throughout the Middle East, once again proving he’s not in any way ready for the big time.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted from 13 – 16 Sep 12, showed the President with a 46% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 41%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) – the most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 12 – 16 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

That’s three more than the 47% Romney insulted in his speech in Florida.

The most recent above mentioned Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted 13-16 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 45

The most recent Gallup poll of registered voters conducted 8 – 15 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted from 8 – 12 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

The most recent FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 9 – 11 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 43

The most recent Esquire/Yahoo! News poll of likely voters conducted from 7 – 10 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

The most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 7 – 9 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 45

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 47/45; SEN McCain would never lead in the polls again and SEN Obama went on to defeat him 52/44.

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 18 Sep 12

Obama 313/225
Obama 298/240
Obama 312/226
Obama 300/238
Obama 316/222
Obama 292/246
Obama 318/220
Obama 299/239
Obama 310/228
Obama 312/226

Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney every time and usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 52-48; while Democrats will be  picking up at least 16 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House 226/209.

 
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Posted by on September 18, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Paul Ryan accuses President of treating Israel with near-contempt?

According to news reports, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) vice presidential footnote Paul Ryan’s accusing the President of treating Israel with “indifference bordering on contempt.”

“Look across that region today, and what do we see?” he said at the Values Voters Summit last week. “The slaughter of brave dissidents in Syria. Mobs storming American embassies and consulates. Iran four years closer to gaining a nuclear weapon. Israel, our best ally in the region, treated with indifference bordering on contempt by the Obama administration. Amid all these threats and dangers, what we do not see is steady, consistent American leadership.”

Of course the only problem with Mr. Ryan’s comments that the President’s treating Israel with “indifference bordering on contempt” is all evidence points to the contrary. In July the President released $70 million dollars to Israel in additional aid; in September the President gave Israel 55 bunker-buster 5,000 pound bombs and while under the Bush administration aid to Israel steadily declined to $2,424,000,000, under President Obama aid to Israel is on the rise once again $2,550,000,000 in 2009 and $2,770,000,000 in 2010 with continued increase expected through FY 12. The long and short of it is Paul Ryan’s a liar and he knows he’s a liar, he’s just hoping the majority of Americans don’t know or don’t care he’s a liar.

 
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Posted by on September 17, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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