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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Missouri Caucus) 16 Mar 12 Edition

16 Mar

Willard Mitt Romney got his lunch handed to him this week in the deep south where clearly Republican Tea Party (GOTP) voters didn’t buy his “How y’all doin?” nonsense. Romney came in third in both Alabama and Mississippi, falling in behind Santorum and Gingrich, but he won Hawaii and American Samoa.

In Alabama’s Proportional Primary Rick Santorum took first (19 delegates); Leroy Newt Gingrich took second (12 delegates) Romney limped into third (11 delegates) and Ron Paul came in his traditional last place (0 delegates).

In American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus Romney took first in the strong Mormon island winning all 9 delegates.

In Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus Romney again took first (9 delegates) Santorum took second (5 delegates) Paul took third (3 delegates) and came in dead last (0 delegates).

In Mississippi’s Proportional Primary Santorum took first (13 delegates) Gingrich was second (12 delegates) and Romney came in third with fewer votes (12 delegates) and Paul was again last (0 delegates).

Next up is Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

In Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): Chicago Tribune poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 9 Mar 12; Romney 35; Santorum 31; Gingrich 12 and Paul 7.

In Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): GCR/WWL-TVh poll of likely voters conducted 8 – 10 Mar 12; Santorum 25; Romney 21; Gingrich 20 and Paul 6.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 19; Santorum 9; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 496; Santorum 236; Gingrich 141 and Paul 66.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,477,020

Santorum 2,286,339

Gingrich 2,106,200

Paul 949,914

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 14 Mar 12: Romney 35; Santorum 27; Gingrich 15 and Paul 10 with 13% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 12 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 42

President Obama 51/Santorum 39

President Obama 53/Gingrich 35

President Obama 50/Paul 38

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Current electoral college totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on March 16, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Alabama and Mississippi primaries) 12 Mar 12 Edition

12 Mar

Willard Mitt Romney has added, little-by-little, to his delegate lead in the past week for the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential nomination, sweeping his opposition in the Northern Marianas’ Non-Binding Caucus (9 delegates); Virgin Islands’ Non-Binding Caucus (7 delegates) and Guam’s Non-Binding Caucus (9 delegates) taking home a whopping 24 non-binding delegates, meaning they can switch at the convention; but he had his lunch handed to him in Kansas.

Speaking of the Sunflower State, Rick Santorum won a devastating victory over Mittens, taking home 33 delegates from the Kansas Hybrid Primary to Romney’s 7.

Newton Leroy Gingrich won zero delegates out of the last four primaries and caucuses; while Ron Paul garnered one delegate from the contest in the Virgin Islands.

And so the fight heads towards the Deep South:

In Alabama’s Proportional Primary – 13 Mar 12 (50 delegates): a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 10 – 11 Mar 12; Romney 31; Gingrich 30; Santorum 29 and Paul 8.

American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus – 13 mar 12 (9 delegates): no polling data available

In Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus with 20 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 16 Oct 11; Romney 24; Gingrich 8; Paul 4 and Santorum 1.

In Mississippi’s Proportional Primary with 52 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 11 Mar 12; Gingrich 33; Romney 31; Santorum 27 and Paul 7.

In Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

In Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): Chicago Tribune poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 9 Mar 12; Romney 35; Santorum 31; Gingrich 12 and Paul 7.

In Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): Clarus Research poll of likely voters conducted 20 – 22 Nov 12; Gingrich 31; Romney 23; Paul 6 and Santorum 0.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 16; Santorum 7; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 455; Santorum 199; Gingrich 117 and Paul 64.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,203,592

Santorum 1,974,351

Gingrich 1,832,322

Paul 904,503

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 11 Mar 12: Santorum 34; Romney 30; Gingrich 13 and Paul 4 with 19% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 10 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 49

President Obama 49/Santorum 46

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Rick Santorum would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on March 12, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Mathematically Improbable for Romney to win nomination

12 Mar

Being somewhat of a politics-geek I’ve been thinking why the Romney camp’s pushing the idea he’s the sole inevitable winner of the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating process; the only answer I can come up with is because he’s nothing of the kind and they’re trying to weaken his opponent’s base. They’ve come to understand the longer Rick Santorum and Newton Leroy Gingrich hang on the fewer delegates their guy wins.

If you run the numbers – specifically the number of delegates yet to be won – it’s abundantly clear Romney’s the only one who can still win the nomination outright prior to the GOTP convention 27 – 30 Aug 12; but it’s not very clear at all if he’ll be able to do so, in fact the odds are fast becoming anything but in his favor. There are 878 delegates left to be picked up by the candidates and 1,144 needed for victory; Romney’s picked up 455 delegates to date and still needs to pick up 691 delegates to win, or roughly 80% of all the remaining delegates. If you eliminate the “winner take all” primaries won so far he’s averaging about 33% of delegates, and that’s not going to get it done; even if he wins all the “winner take all” primaries – which he may, but is doubtful – if Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich remain in the race it doesn’t look probable for Romney, and thus a brokered convention is looming more and more on the horizon.

There are 126 so-called “super delegates” available at the GOTP Convention, made up of state chairs and additional RNC types, but they’re not necessarily going all to Romney, especially considering his “popularity” within the party; even if we were to count all the super delegates to Mitt, he only takes the nomination at that point by a mere 50 or so delegates. Santorum or Gingrich could very much act as spoilers sending this into a brokered convention. At any rate, it’s not a foregone conclusion that Mitt’s the nominee. Not just yet.

Of course the only possible way for Santorum to win now is in a brokered convention and that’s what he’s aiming at, he knows he can’t win any other way; Newt’s reason for hanging on is pure and simple, he hates Romney’s guts for the character attacks following the South Carolina primary; so at this point it’s all about keeping Romney from winning. Ron Paul’s still hanging in there but he’s pretty much inconsequential, basically just siphoning off delegates here and there. Romney’s basically in a begging position where he needs the others to fall out.

 
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Posted by on March 12, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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God himself could not sink this campaign?

08 Mar

According to news reports Willard Thurston Mittens Romney’s campaign staff called the national press corps into a room and boldly declared, it would take an “act of God” for any candidate not named Mitt Romney to win the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nomination. Really, they declared this roughly a month from the 100th anniversary of the sinking of the “unsinkable” RMS Titanic, the ship “God himself could not sink”!?

Now, their seemingly unshakeable confidence in Mr. Vanilla is not necessarily misplaced, especially when one starts looking at the mathematics; clearly Ron Paul is way past done, and outside of Newt’s “miraculous” victory in his home state of Georgia he too is finished in this campaign, leaving only Rick Santorum, who also clearly is facing extremely long odds at winning the nomination out right – but Romney’s camp shouldn’t be invoking the Lord’s name quite so fast. After all, it was just a few short weeks ago that Mrs. Santorum declared that God had chosen Rick.

“We will get to 1,144 whether it’s on someone else’s timeline, or on our timeline,” said one top Romney aide. “We will get to 1,144 and be the Republican nominee.”

But, what if their candidate were to make another couple of dozen gaffs? Like that’ll never happen; and what if Santorum can keep from sounding too crazy, and he wins enough delegates, not necessarily to win, but to keep Mittens from crossing the magic number? And of course there’s always the possibility that many of the delegates – who are “non-binding” switch allegiance?

The Romney campaign’s simply trying to paint their guy as the inevitable winner, and is trying to convince GOTP types to stop all this nonsense and just accept it, and rally to their banner!

“There’s not a lot of Floridas left out there, no more Arizonas, no more Virginias. There’s just no more big chunks of delegates to go get. So whether it’s a one-, two-, three- or four-way race, you’re still going to have people bunched up there,” said one Romney aide.

The campaign’s also trying to get its opponents to accept they can’t win and to drop out rather than to continue to force Romney to spend millions more in primaries and caucuses only to barely squeak past Santorum; states like his home state of Michigan, where he outspent Ricky by 2 to 1 only to win by a couple of percentage points; or in Ohio, where he once again out spent Santorum by more than 2 to 1 and managed a mere 1 percent victory. In short, it’s getting embarrassing and, to top it all off, they’re making Mittens spend his war chest too quickly. Allegedly Romney’ campaign raised $11.5 million in February, but then spent between $8 to $9 million between Michigan and Ohio, and who knows what it spent in Virginia where Ron Paul still managed to win more than 40%.

What’s really funny is how Romney aides are trying to play down the persistent stories their man’s a weak front-runner, unable to connect and failing to garner the support of independent voters and they’re pointing to polling from 1992, which showed then-Gov. Bill Clinton’s favorability ratings upside down.

“If I remember correctly, he served two terms,” said one aide.

THEY’RE COMPARING ROMNEY TO BILL CLINTON!? Yeah, that’s going to help big time with the uber-conservative crowd; or are they simply trying to imply Romney’s got a heartbeat, and is a “great communicator”?

When you, as the purported GOTP frontrunner (who’s only managed to garner 55% of the delegates thus far) start to compare your campaign to Bill Clinton all is not as it appears; my Dad used to tell me when someone keeps talking about one particular strength in a product – or a candidate – attempting to get you to buy it, that’s usually its weakest point; team Romney’s not confident of winning, they’re scared spit less this is going to drag on into summer, that Mittens isn’t going to garner enough delegates and they’re going to be facing a brokered convention, where Mr. Luke Warm doesn’t win.

RUN HARDER RICK! RUN HARDER NEWT!

 
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Posted by on March 8, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Cut down the forest of hypocrisy …

07 Mar

Christian conservatives are screaming about contraception being forced on them by the President, but refuse to condemn Rush Limbaugh for saying vile and degrading things about women.

Don’t preach “family values” to me until I see you condemn Limbaugh.

Don’t preach “religious” freedom to me until you condemn Limbaugh

Don’t claim to be the “moral” majority until you condemn Limbaugh.

You scream about “values” and about “religion” and then allow someone like this to be your hero; to be your spokesman?

You call someone a hero who calls a young woman a “slut” and “prostitute” and who attacks her for three full broadcast days, more than 9 hours of accusations and vilifying, asking to see the videos of her alleged promiscuity?

Want to know where the GOTP candidates really stand on “family values” and how they view women?

As a Latter-day Saint, where’s Mitt Romney’s outrage?

As Catholics, where’s Rick Santorum’s and Newt Gingrich’s outrage?

I’m sorry, I can’t see your “values” because there’s a forest of hypocrisy in my way.

Do what’s right conservatives and then come talk to me …

 
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Posted by on March 7, 2012 in Women's Rights

 

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Mittens fights from behind to tie?

29 Feb

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) bride’s maid Willard Mittens Romney won Arizona, and Michigan – or did he? It seems that while he won the popular vote in Michigan’s primary, Mittens will have to split his home state’s convention delegates with second-place finisher Rick Santorum; they each won 15 of the state’s 30 delegates.

And since they’re splitting the delegates, Santorum’s now trying to say it’s a victory; but wait, it gets better, Mittens outspent Santorum more than 2 to 1 in his home state, $4.27 million to $2.3 million and the best he could do was tie! So, let me get this straight, Romney outspent Santorum by almost 2 to 1, in his home state, and the best he could do was tie? Wow, can you feel the love for this guy or what?

 
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Posted by on February 29, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Santorum’s kidnapping the nomination?

28 Feb

According to the Associated Press (AP) Republican Tea Party (GOTP) bride’s maid Willard Mittens Romney says he’s struggling with the way conservative voters are backing rival Rick Santorum because he’s unwilling to make the “incendiary” comments he said they want. But of course he’s not above lying about Santorum, Gingrich or President Obama.

Reporters have increasingly been asking why Romney’s struggling to win over his party’s right wing in Michigan where he was born and raised, and Mittens mewed it’s because he’s not willing to say “outrageous things” like his opponents.

“It’s very easy to excite the base with incendiary comments. We’ve seen throughout the campaign that if you’re willing to say really outrageous things that are really accusative and attacking of President Obama, you’re going to jump up in the polls,” Romney said. Fielding questions from the national traveling press corps for the first time in nearly three weeks, he said: “I’m not willing to light my hair on fire to try and get support. I am what I am.”

That may be true, but remarks highlighting his wealth – like when he said Sunday he doesn’t follow NASCAR as closely as some but has “great friends who are NASCAR team owners” – are definitely hurting his campaign and Mittens has admitted as much.

Romney’s has also reportedly accused Santorum of trying to “kidnap the primary process” by urging Democrats to come to the polls in Michigan’s open primary and vote against the former Massachusetts governor; of course Mittens has conveniently forgotten how he voted in Democratic primaries in Massachusetts in an effort he says was aimed at picking the weakest opponent for the Republican who was running. He said Tuesday he voted “against Ted Kennedy, Tip O’Neill and Bill Clinton,” and that doing so as a private citizen was different than a presidential campaign paying for phone calls.

Let’s see? No, it’s not any different, what’s good for the goose is indeed good for the gander.

At least Romney’s been honest in one thing (which yes, I admit is hard to believe), he says if he loses in the state where daddy served as governor, and where he was weaned, it would be extremely embarrassing and could possibly deal a devastating blow to his campaign, and he’s been playing catch-up in after losses to Santorum on in Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado.

Losing Michigan would deal a strategic blow against Mittens showing a possible weakness to the voters in future primaries and will considerably lengthen an already tiresome primary process which will not help him because if one thing’s for sure it’s that the more of Romney people see the worse off he is.

What’s truly comical is Mittens shouldn’t be in this spot, he should’ve nailed down the nomination long before now, but he’s not liked, and conservatives aren’t sure he’s really one of them.

If he loses Michigan it quite literally could be the beginning of the end of his presidential quest especially since Santorum’s leading in Ohio and second behind Newton in Georgia; winning Arizona will give him a boost but losing his home state would be a devastating hit.

 
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Posted by on February 28, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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There should be no apology to Afghanistan?

26 Feb

The Associated Press (AP) is reporting that Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Rick Santorum is busily criticizing President Barack Obama’s apology for the thoughtless and yet accidental burning of Korans in Afghanistan, adding that Afghanistan should apologize to the United States for the deaths of four U.S. soldiers during six days of violence sparked by the incident.

“There was nothing deliberately done wrong here,” Santorum said Sunday on ABC’s “This Week”. “This was something that happened as a mistake. Killing Americans in uniform is not a mistake. It was something that deliberate.”

First, Rick should remember we’re supposedly at war in Afghanistan – for more than 10 years now – and unfortunately, soldiers get killed after you invade and occupy a country. Second, burning someone’s most holy book is wrong, accidental or on purpose, it’s wrong. Following Santorum’s logic it must be OK to assume if one of his kids breaks a neighbor’s window with a baseball there’s no harm done, no apology is needed, no money should be offered to recompense. If something is accidental you never need to apologize in Santorumville.

Reportedly, more than 30 people have been killed in clashes since it was learned copies of the Koran and other religious materials had been thrown into a fire pit used to burn garbage at Bagram Air Field.

“The response needs to be apologized for by (President Hamid) Karzai and the Afghan people for attacking and killing our men and women in uniform and overreacting to this inadvertent mistake,” Santorum said on NBC’s “Meet the Press”. “That is the real crime here, not what our soldiers did.”

Clearly Santorum is as ignorant on foreign relations as he’s always appeared to be; who is Rick Santorum, “Mr. Christian”, to decide what an appropriate response by a Muslim population is to the burning of the Koran?

Santorum is woefully uninformed as to the situation and to the feelings of other religions, and lately he’s bemoaned – as many uber-conservatives have – the so-called “war on religion” by the Obama Administration for requiring non-profit organizations to provide emergency contraception to their employees as part of their health insurance coverage, but burning a Koran is no big deal? How would he feel if the Taliban had been reported to have “accidentally” burned Bibles? He – and the rest of the right-wing world – would be incensed and claim it was no accident.

The president’s apology suggests that there is blame and that the U.S. did something wrong “in the sense of doing a deliberate act,” Santorum said.

Santorum says that rather than saying he was sorry, Obama should have only acknowledged that burning copies of Islam’s holiest book in a trash pit was wrong and taken responsibility for the incident, “but to apologize, I think, lends credibility that somehow or another that it was more than that.”

Well, perhaps if we hadn’t occupied Afghanistan for 10 years, tortured prisoners, murdered civilians, flushed copies of the Koran down toilets, and had ministers in America burning Korans then the President might’ve been able to have taken that or another stance, but since a former President allowed many of those things to occur under his watch, the current President doesn’t have a lot of options.

If anything is learned from this latest spate of violence it’s that we’ve long overstayed our welcome in Afghanistan; we invaded to punish the Taliban and to get Bin Laden. We got the latter, and the former is up for dispute; it’s time to cut bait and come home. It’s time to leave the people of Afghanistan to their own devices, we’ve been there for more than a decade and it’s had little effect, saving the fact we killed Bin Laden. It’s time to bring all of our people home; it’s time to leave.

 
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Posted by on February 26, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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No Right Turns

16 Feb

 
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Posted by on February 16, 2012 in Humor

 

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Dick Santorum says market more important than child’s life

02 Feb

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential groupie Dick Santorum told the mother of a child with a rare genetic disorder that she shouldn’t have a problem paying $1 million a year for drugs because Apple’s iPad can cost around $900.

Speaking to a “huge” crowd of a couple hundred people in Colorado, Dick said demand should set prices for drugs.

“People have no problem paying $900 for an iPad,” the candidate explained. “But paying $900 for a drug they have a problem with — it keeps you alive. Why? Because you’ve been conditioned to think health care is something you can get without having to pay for it.”

First, you unfeeling dolt, an iPad costs about $500, and it’s a onetime expense; and second, that’s all you’ve got to offer as someone running for president? “Demand should prices for drugs”? What was the next line you were going to say? “If you can’t afford the drugs then perhaps your son should die and decrease the surplus population”? Perhaps Dick “in the sight of Heaven, you are more worthless and less fit to live than millions like this poor woman’s child!”

The mother replied she couldn’t afford her son’s medication, Abilify, which can cost as much as $1 million a year without health insurance.

“Look, I want your son and everybody to have the opportunity to stay alive on much-needed drugs,” Santorum insisted. “But the bottom line is we have to give companies the incentive to make those drugs. And if they don’t have the incentive to make those drugs, your son won’t be alive and lots of other people in this country won’t be alive.”

What’s that supposed to mean? I want your son to live, but we can’t have both? For the good of society it’s better to sacrifice your son’s life than ask a pharmaceutical company to make less profit? This is the classic uber-conservative religious zealot in action, oppose abortion, oppose contraception but once the child is born forget about it and place the entire burden of raising a child upon the head of the parent. No help from government, “that’s not government’s concern”.

“He’s alive today because drug companies provide care,” the candidate continued. “And if they didn’t think they could make money providing that drug, that drug wouldn’t be here. I sympathize with these compassionate cases. … I want your son to stay alive on much-needed drugs. Fact is, we need companies to have incentives to make drugs. If they don’t have incentives, they won’t make those drugs. We either believe in markets or we don’t.”

So, markets and corporations trump people in Santorum world? What if it was his family that didn’t have health insurance or couldn’t afford the meds his daughter needed? “Oh God! To hear the insect on the leaf pronouncing on the too much life among his hungry brothers in the dust!”

Santorum needs to crawl back into whatever dark, dank hole he slithered out of; he’s an embarrassment.

 
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Posted by on February 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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