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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 25 Sep 12 Edition

Just six (6) weeks – 42 days – to go until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s spent the last week trying to convince voters he cares about 100% of the nation’s people in spite of being over heard in a recently released video, saying in a $50,000 per plate fund raiser that 47% of voters are freeloading losers who’re so dependent on government handouts they’ll never vote for him.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?

The last favorability Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 20 Sep 12, showed the President with a 53% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 46%. Romney’s the most disliked presidential candidate in recent history – no one has scored worse on favorability in over 30 years, not even Dukakis, Carter or Dole.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) – the most recent Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 20 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

According to other recent viable polls, if the general election was held today …

Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 17 – 23 Sep 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 46

National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 15-19 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 43

Associated Press/GfK poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 17 Sep 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

Hartford Courant/UConn poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 18 Sep 12:

President Obama 46/Romney 43

Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted 13 – 16 Sep 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 45

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 47/44; SEN McCain would never lead again in the polls ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52/44.

So, if the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 25 Sep 12

Obama 316/222
Obama 312/226
Obama 303/235
Obama 335/203
Obama 322/216

Obama 319/219
Obama 283/255
Obama 333/205
Obama 293/245
Obama 347/191

Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney every time and usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 53-47; while Democrats will be  picking up at least 15 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 227/208.

 
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Posted by on September 25, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 18 Sep 12 Edition

Seven (7) weeks – 49 days – to go and counting until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s managed to successfully change the campaign from the economy to foreign policy, admittedly that wasn’t what he meant to do, but he’s done it by chiming in (rather badly) on the unrest throughout the Middle East, once again proving he’s not in any way ready for the big time.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted from 13 – 16 Sep 12, showed the President with a 46% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 41%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) – the most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 12 – 16 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

That’s three more than the 47% Romney insulted in his speech in Florida.

The most recent above mentioned Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted 13-16 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 45

The most recent Gallup poll of registered voters conducted 8 – 15 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted from 8 – 12 Sep 12, if the election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

The most recent FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 9 – 11 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 43

The most recent Esquire/Yahoo! News poll of likely voters conducted from 7 – 10 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 46

The most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 7 – 9 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 45

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 47/45; SEN McCain would never lead in the polls again and SEN Obama went on to defeat him 52/44.

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 18 Sep 12

Obama 313/225
Obama 298/240
Obama 312/226
Obama 300/238
Obama 316/222
Obama 292/246
Obama 318/220
Obama 299/239
Obama 310/228
Obama 312/226

Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney every time and usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 52-48; while Democrats will be  picking up at least 16 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House 226/209.

 
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Posted by on September 18, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 11 Sep 12 Edition

With eight (8) weeks to go until the November election there’s good news and bad news for Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney. The good news is he’s finally found his post convention “bounce”, and the bad news? President Obama’s got it. Following a mediocre Republican National Convention filled with all the usual FOX News talking points the Democratic National Convention finished high after three days of incredible speeches and multiple political home runs.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 7 – 9 Sep 12, showed the President with a 57% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 48%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the above mentioned CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted 7 – 9 Sep 12, if the election were held today:

President Obama 52/Romney 46

The most recent Gallup (Monday – 7 day tracking) poll of registered voters conducted from 3 – 10 Sep 12, if the election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 44

As a comparison, the last Gallup Tracking poll prior to the DNC of registered voters conducted 20 – 26 Aug 12 demonstrates clearly how the President’s poll numbers have indeed bumped higher by six points following the DNC:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

The most recent IBD/CSM/TIPP poll of registered voters conducted 4 – 9 Sep 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 44

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 27 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

The most recent CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 26 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 45

On this day four years ago John McCain was leading in the polls 47.7/45.2 but the President went on to defeat McCain 52.1/44.5.

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 11 Sep 12

Obama 314/224
Obama 337/201
Obama 287/251
Obama 287/251
Obama 285/253

Romney 270/268
Obama 288/250
Obama 313/225
Obama 326/212
Obama 312/226

Of 10 simulations Romney wins only one as the President beats him nine (9) times, and usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

 
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Posted by on September 11, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 4 Sep 12 Edition

We’re now below the double digits with just nine (9) weeks left until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s searching desperately for his “bump” from the “reinvention convention” as we move into the Democratic National Convention. It says a lot about you as a candidate when you receive absolutely no bump from your convention.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 26 Aug 12, showed the President with a 41% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 31%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most recent Gallup – Monday (7-day tracking, meaning it began as the GOTP convention was opening), if the election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

The last Gallup Tracking poll prior to the convention of registered voters conducted 20 – 26 Aug 12 demonstrated how Romney not only didn’t get a bounce but lost some traction:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

The most recent Democracy Corps (D) poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 27 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

The most recent CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 26 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 45

The most current ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 25 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

And finally, the most current CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 23 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 332/206:

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Sep 12

Obama 287/251
Obama 319/219
Obama 313/225
Obama 284/254
Obama 282/256

Romney 282/256
Obama 287/251
Obama 313/225
Obama 313/225
Obama 309/229

Of 10 simulations Romney wins only one as the President beats him nine times usually by very comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

 
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Posted by on September 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 28 Aug 12 Edition

With ten (10) weeks to go until the November election Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s supposed to be receiving the accolades of the party faithful in Tampa, FL but instead the “reinvention convention’s” been delayed because of Hurricane Isaac, and he’s dealing with rumors New Jersey Gov Chris Christie was his first VP choice but turned it down because he believes Romney can’t win. Additionally, Romney’s having to confront the mess created by GOTP Senate candidates declaring no abortions under any circumstances, and woman can’t get pregnant from rape..

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 26 Aug 12, showed the President with a 41% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 31%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most recent CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 26 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 45

The most recent Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 20 – 26 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

The most current ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted from 22 – 25 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 47

The most current CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 23 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

The most recent Associated Press/GfK poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 20 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 46

And finally, the most recent NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 20 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 44

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election, and according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 28 Aug 12

Obama 299/239
Obama 332/206
Obama 347/191
Obama 306/232
Obama 276/262

Obama 288/250
Obama 312/226
Obama 337/201
Obama 273/265
Obama 270/268

Of 10 simulations Romney wins zero as the President beats him most of the time by comfortable margins.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

 
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Posted by on August 28, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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No Right Turns

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Posted by on August 21, 2012 in Humor

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 21 Aug 12 Edition

Just eleven (11) short weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s trying to manage his usual amount of flip-flops and lies while “embracing” his new running mate, and yet distancing himself from him at the same time on almost every political subject under the sun from health care to taxes and budgets to woman’s issue; the honeymoon seems to have ended before it ever started, and Paul Ryan will likely go down as one of the most devastating VP selections by a major candidate ever, even to excel the abysmal choice of Sarah Palin in 2008.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted from 15 – 19 Aug 12, showed the President with a 45% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 40%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of likely voters conducted from 15 – 19 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 45

The most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 8 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 52/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 5 – 7 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 40

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:


Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 21 Aug 12

Obama 286/252
Obama 279/259
Obama 282/256
Obama 292/246
Romney 277/261
Obama 325/213
Obama 341/197
Obama 322/216
Obama 300/238
Obama 285/253

Of 10 simulations Romney manages only one very close victory, while the President beats Romney 90% of the time and most of those by comfortable margins.

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Posted by on August 21, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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No Right Turns

 
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Posted by on August 20, 2012 in Humor

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 14 Aug 12 Edition

Twelve weeks to go until the November election and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wanna-be Willard Mitt Romney’s decided to try to shake things up by selecting Tea Party (TP) darling Congressman Paul Ryan as his running mate, and he’s still trying to dodge the need to release his tax records, but now it seems he’s required his VP candidates to release many years of tax records to his campaign before he could select them, nothing like hypocrisy on a grand level.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?

The last favorability CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 7 – 8 Aug 12, showed the President with a 54% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 48%.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right) – the most current IBD/CSM/TIPP poll of registered voters conducted 3 – 10 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 39

The most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 8 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 52/Romney 45

And finally, the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 2 – 6 Aug 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 42

If the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:

Results of 15 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 14 Aug 12

Obama 319/219
Obama 297/241
Obama 295/243
Obama/Romney 269/269
Obama 317/221

Obama 287/251
Obama 274/264
Obama 318/220
Obama 292/246
Obama 279/259

Romney 273/265
Obama 332/206
Obama 314/224
Obama 291/247
Romney 277/261

Of 15 simulations Romney manages only two victories and one tie, while the President not only beats Romney but beats him by a landslide more than half the time defeating Romney 12/3.

 
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Posted by on August 14, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Romney forced VP contenders to provide ‘Several’ Years of Tax Returns?

According to news sources, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wannabe, Willard Mitt Romney requested “several” years of tax returns from his potential running mates; a fact released by a senior adviser to the campaign and one which suggests those Willard was considering were required to reveal more financial documents than he’s been willing to, and reveling yet another level of abject hypocrisy from Romney.

While talking to reporters Saturday, senior adviser Beth Myers – allegedly in charge of the VP selection process – evidently declined to specify exactly how many years of tax returns were required, saying only that “several” were requested in yet another stumbling blunder of a Romney staffer, and one that will only serve to draw renewed attention to Romney’s unwillingness to release his own tax records. To date Willard’s released one year (2010) and that’s not a complete record, as well as a so-called “estimate for his 2011 taxes”; it was Romney’s father, George who while running for the republican nomination in 1968, released 12 years of income tax records.

According to the Huffington Post, former Minnesota GOTP governor Tim Pawlenty told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on Sunday’s “This Week,” that he’d submitted “a bunch of tax returns” to the Romney campaign as part of being vetted.

“Well, I don’t know the exact number, George, but I — you know, there were several years, I believe,” Pawlenty said.

Stephanopoulos didn’t let Pawlenty off so easily and further asked whether it was more than two years of returns, to which Pawlenty responded, “Well, we don’t get into the details of the vetting process, but I gave them a bunch of tax returns. I don’t remember the exact number of years.”

There’s no doubt whatsoever the choice to not release his tax records has hurt Romney’s chances in a big way, coupled with hundreds of millions squirreled away in off shore accounts it’s made him look as though he was hiding something; but to require a vice presidential pick to provide you with tax records in order to be vetted while you stubbornly refuse to provide the same to the American people – so as to be vetted – smacks of rank insincerity, double standards and duplicity and it’s very likely Willard’s going to continue paying – and paying big – for his obstinacy.

 
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Posted by on August 13, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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