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Category Archives: 2012 Election

Surprise, surprise, Mitt gets caught in another lie

During his stirring campaign address to the Cadets of the Virginia Military Institute, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney said, “The size of our Navy is at levels not seen since 1916. I will restore our Navy to the size needed to fulfill our missions by building 15 ships per year, including three submarines.”

In 1916 the United States had 245 ships

36 battleships


30 cruisers


3 monitors


61 destroyers


18 torpedo boats


44 submarines


17 steel gunboats


11 gunboats
25 auxiliaries/support vessels

In 2012 the United States has 287 ships, 3,700+ aircraft and 321,053 active duty personnel

13 aircraft carriers


22 cruisers


9 amphibious assault ships


62 destroyers


24 frigates


71 submarines
7 amphibious transport docks
12 dock landing ships
2 littoral combat ships
13 coastal patrol ships
14 mine countermeasure ships
38 auxiliaries/support vessels

Concerning Willard’s ambitious ship building goals, Navy spokesman Lt. Cdr. Chris Servello says building 15 ships per year would be next to impossible given the current industrial base of shipyards in the United States. In other words, Romney doesn’t know what he’s talking about – I know, hard to believe.

There’s more however, to our Navy today than the number of ships it has, the quality and lethality of our modern Navy is such that almost any one of its ships could more than handle anything afloat in 1916. But concerning his “numbers”, either Willard’s staff (hence Romney) knew the numbers were off and used them anyway (LIED), or no one bothered to fact check the speech first (INCOMPETENT); don’t need either someone who’s a liar or incompetent in the White House. I tend to believe Willard knew it was a lie when he said it, but went ahead and lied to the Cadets in an effort to paint the President as weak on defense. As has been proven again and again, Romney’s a liar.

 
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Posted by on October 10, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 9 Oct 12 Edition

Just four (4) weeks – 28 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney seems to have found a slight bounce from his “performance” during the Denver Presidential Debate where there was lots of energy but very little substance or facts (27 lies in 38 minutes worth). Of course conservative pundits galore have been exalting how this was the big turnaround, the moment when Mitt saved his candidacy – and conservative pollsters are of course showing a huge bounce, while other polling groups show next to nothing, or nothing; this “bounce” is however a façade and it won’t hold up. Romney’s campaign’s a walking, talking straw man looking for a lit torch; lots of words, no substance and highly combustible.

Two days to the vice-presidential debate and it’s sure to be a knock down affair as the running mates are turned loose on each other; who will win? Ryan and Biden both are exceptional, passionate speakers; The Vice President’s prone to putting his foot in his mouth while his opponent – it appears – couldn’t find the truth with both hands and a flash light. Look for the Vice-President to come out swinging and to knock Ryan around.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?

Post debate favorability ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12, showed the President with a 55% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 47%. Whatever “bounce” Romney may have garnered from his “performance” in Denver, it didn’t really help is favorability – no big surprise; when you act like a spoiled bully you’re going to be perceived as a spoiled bully.

So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent Gallup Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 8 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 49

Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 1 – 7 Oct 12 had different numbers:

President Obama 50/Romney 45

Quite a turnaround in a single day of polling, and begs the question, “What’s up at Gallup”?

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12:

President Obama 45/Romney 49

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of registered voters conducted from 1 – 4 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 48

CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 – 30 Sep 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 26 – 29 Sep 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 27 Sep 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 47

FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 26 Sep 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 43

Bloomberg poll of likely voters conducted from 21-24 Sep 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 43

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.1/43.5; after mediocre debate performances and a disastrous VP pick, SEN McCain would never lead again in the polls ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls, Willard Mitt Romney defeats President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 9 Oct 12

Obama 328/210
Obama 341/197
Obama 346/192
Obama 293/245
Obama 293/245

Obama 288/250
Obama 332/206
Romney 271/267
Romney 280/258
Obama 337/201

Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney eight times and usually by very comfortable margins; the two Romney wins are very marginal with absolutely no room for error.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 56-44; while Democrats will be  picking up at least 14 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 229/206.

 
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Posted by on October 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Posted by on October 6, 2012 in 2012 Election, Humor

 

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God’s putting Romney behind to prove it’s a miracle when he wins?

Uber right-wing conservative talk show host Glenn Beck says Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wannabe Willard Mitt Romney’s poll numbers have fallen as a part of a heavenly plan from God to make it obvious to the American people “divine intervention” was responsible when Republicans take the White House in November.

“I know Mitt Romney wasn’t your first choice, nor was he mine,” Beck recently said in an interview. “I am to the point that — A — God is trying to make this so clear to us that if it happens, it’s his finger. Because nothing looks good.”

“And yet, everybody I know who I consider a spiritual giant feels good,” he continued. “And it bothers me that I feel good because, I’m like, there’s no reason that I should feel good on this.”

So, what happens when Willard not only loses but loses big? Was God’s divine plan thwarted by some evil plan, or was Beck proven – once again – to be as mad as a hatter?

But wait, Beck wasn’t done, he declared Willard’s hidden private life proved he was “kind of on the line” with President George Washington.

“And a politician to hide that shows even deeper character, I think,” Beck observed. “It shows he knows [God is] in charge. And he obeys. … He’s enough like [Washington] that God can change you.”

Really, so, now Mitt Romney’s stature is equal to George Washington’s?

One would think having been fired from FOX News because of his lunatic ramblings would’ve made Beck step back and take a look at his life, and maybe seek some professional therapy, but apparently he’s decided to just keep rambling down crazy lane on his way to Bedlam.

 
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Posted by on October 5, 2012 in 2012 Election, Right Wing Crazies

 

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Posted by on October 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Private Sector is Doing Fine – 5 Oct 12 Edition

“The private sector is doing fine” ~ President Obama

“I think he’s really defining what it means to be out of touch with reality.” ~ Willard Mitt Romney

Since the above exchange between the President and Willard the following indicators the private sector is indeed “doing fine”:

Fiscal First Quarter reported earnings: FedEx posted $10.79 billion

In the 2nd Quarter the following earnings were reported by the private sector: Yahoo reported $1.08 billion, Facebook reported $1.2 billion, EBay reported $3.4 billion, Macy’s reported $6.12 billion, Travelers reported $6.36 billion, McDonald’s reported $6.92 billion, Morgan Stanley reported $7 billion, Best Buy reported $10.55 billion, Amazon.com reported $12.8 billion, Google reported $12.21 billion, United Parcel Service (UPS) reported $13.4 billion, Coca-Cola reported $13.09 billion, Intel reported $13.5 billion, Dell reported $14.5 billion, Pfizer reported $15.1 billion, Johnson & Johnson reported $16.5 billion, Microsoft reported $18.06 billion, Citigroup reported $18.4 billion, Procter & Gamble reported $20.2 billion, Bank of America reported $22.2 billion, IBM reported $25.8 billion, Verizon reported $28.6 billion, AT&T reported $31.6 billion

Following are third quarter earnings: Hewlett-Packard reported $29.7 billion

Following are fourth quarter earnings: News Corp. reported $8.4 billion, Cisco reported $11.7 billion

The private sector added 163,000 jobs in July, according to the ADP report. Analysts had been expecting an increase of 120,000.

The Labor Department reports nonfarm payrolls rose by 96,000 in August from July, less than the 125,000 expected. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 8.1% from 8.3.

The Labor Department reports nonfarm payrolls increased by 114,000 in September from August, slightly ahead of estimates of 113,000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 7.8%, the lowest rate since January 2009, from 8.1% the month prior.

The Conference Board’s gauge of consumer confidence rose to 65.9 in July from 62.7 in June, better than the 61.5 economists expected.

The Conference Board’s reading on consumer confidence rose to 70.3 in September from an upwardly revised 61.3 in August, topping estimates for a reading of 63. The reading was the highest since February.

The manufacturing sector in the U.S. Midwest expanded at a slightly swifter pace in July than it did the month before. The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago’s PMI gauge came in at 53.7, higher than expectations of 52.5 and a reading of 52.9 in June.

Home prices in 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas climbed 2.2% in May from the month before on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, according the S&P/Case-Shiller report. That came in stronger than the 1.5% gain economists expected.

Sales of existing homes rose 2.3% in July from June to an annualized rate of 4.47 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Existing home sales rose 7.8% in August from July to an annualized rate of 4.82 million units, topping estimates of a 4.55-million unit rate and marking the fastest pace since May 2010.

U.S. pending home sales rose 2.4% in July from June, topping the 1% expected and hitting the highest level since April 2010. Sales were up 12.4% from a year ago.

U.S. housing starts jumped 6.9% in June from May to a 760,000-unit rate, topping estimates of a 745,000-unit rate and marking the highest rate since October 2008.

Housing starts rose 2.3% in August from July to a 750,000-unit rate, missing estimates of a 765,000-unit rate. Permits fell 1% to an 803,000-unit rate, but topped estimates of a 796,000-unit rate.

Sales of new single-family homes rose 3.6% in July from June to an annualized rate of 372,000 units. Analysts were expecting an annualized rate of 365,000 units.

The Commerce Department reported that building permits rose 6.8% to a rate of 812,000, the highest level in four years.

The Labor Department reported producer prices climbed 0.3% in July from June, the fastest pace in five months. Analysts expected an increase of 0.2%. Excluding the food and energy components, prices were up 0.4%, also more than the 0.2% increase forecast.

Retail sales climbed 0.8% in July from June, the largest increase since February and a bigger gain than the 0.3% economists expected.

The consumer sentiment reading of the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey showed consumer sentiment increased to 73.6 in early August from July’s final reading of 72.3. The August preliminary reading topped forecasts for an increase to 72.4 and marked the highest level since May.

U.S. retail sales rose 0.9% in August from July, more than the 0.7% expected and the largest rise since February. Excluding the auto segment, sales were up 0.8%, topping estimates of 0.6%.

The broad S&P 500 struck its highest level since May 2008 on 21 Aug 12, while the Dow is sitting less than 60 points beneath its highest point since the end of 2007. Meanwhile, oil futures are jumping 1.5% as the U.S. dollar sinks to its lowest level since early July.

The Markit Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.9 in August from 51.4 in July, the first monthly increase in five months. Readings over 50 point to expansion while readings below 50 indicate contraction.

Orders for long-lasting U.S. goods rose 4.2% in July from June, blowing past estimates of a 2.4% increase. Excluding the transportation segment, orders were down 0.4%, missing estimates of a 0.5% gain.

A second reading on U.S. gross domestic product showed the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 1.7% in the second quarter, in line with economists’ estimates and faster than an initial estimate of 1.5%.

The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas shows home prices rose 2.3% in June from May on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a bigger gain than the 1.6% expected. Prices were up 0.5% from the same period a year earlier in the first increase since September 2010.

The S&P/Case Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas shows home prices rose 1.6% in July from June on a non-seasonally adjusted basis. Prices were up 1.2% from a year ago, more than the 1% expected.

Personal spending rose 0.4% in July from June, as expected, to the highest level since February. Personal income rose 0.3%, also as expected.

A final reading on consumer sentiment for the month of August checked in at 74.3, higher than a preliminary reading of 73.6, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters and the University of Michigan.

The Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of service-sector activity rose to 53.7 in August, the highest level since May, from 52.6 in July; the index was expected to fall slightly to 52.5.

The Institute for Supply Management’s gauge of service-sector activity rose to 55.1 in September from 53.7 in August, suggesting the sector is expanding at a faster rate. Economists expected a reading of 53.1.

The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing PMI gauge rose to 51.5 in September from 49.6 in August, topping expectations for a reading of 49.7 and marking the first time the index rose above 50 since May. Readings above 50 point to expansion while those below indicate contraction.

The unemployment rate in the U.S. unexpectedly fell to 7.8 percent in September, the lowest since President Barack Obama took office in January 2009. In spite of the Republican majority ‘do nothing congress’ that didn’t pass Obama’s Job’s Bill – (5 Oct 12)

Propelled by a surprising drop in the nation’s unemployment rate, stocks are solidly higher Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average at its highest intraday level since December of 2007. The blue-chip barometer is up 85 points, or 0.6%, at 13660 and the other major stock indices are seeing similar percentage gains. The yield on the 10-year Treasury has moved up to 1.72% after the U.S. jobless rate fell to 7.8%.

Stock Market was 8077.56 on 19 Jan 09 and 13610.15 on 04 Oct 12

Who’s out of touch Mitt?

 
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Posted by on October 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Posted by on October 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Presidential Debate 3 Oct 12

The debates have begun, and it was an interesting evening first round. The candidates were there, and Americans got to see two very different men presenting two very different sets of ideas, some factual, many not.

Jim Leher was pathetic as a moderator allowing the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wannabe Willard Mitt Romney to run roughshod throughout the evening, and failing to keep control of the debate. If Romney’s goal was to come across as a bully then he succeeded. While he came out swinging – with some ill timed zingers – he failed to really land any punches, and at times appeared erratic. It appeared his strategy was to dazzle with furious jabs, bouncing around the ring, but stay away from substance and facts.

The President, on the other hand, came across as lethargic; he was slow and steady in a “prevent” defense mode, preventing his opponent from scoring decisively, and making some small hits on both facts and substance. In a debate on the economy the President needed to be more aggressive, and should’ve taken the opportunity to nail Romney on the 47% issue, and on details for his plans. He failed to do so, and he allowed Romney to win, had he pushed he could have pushed Romney off message – and perhaps he’s saving that for the next round.

This wasn’t a decisive win for Romney (meaning it won’t turn the campaign around), but it was a win; the President cannot afford to come out in the next debate on his heels, and needs to set up Romney and hit him with some body blows and go for a knock out.

Performance goes to Romney – factual statements go to the President = Romney wins – slightly – by decision

 
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Posted by on October 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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October Surprise Fail

 
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Posted by on October 3, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Misinformed talk radio hosts?

There are times when I have to remind myself why I’m a Democrat; these times usually occur when fellow “progressives” deem it necessary to attack Mitt Romney on the basis of the Church he belongs to. What makes it worse is those making the attacks never have their facts straight, even people who are supposed to be “intelligent” like Thom Hartmann have made ignorant and ridiculous statements about the LDS Church – which happens to also be my Church. Makes me wonder what other “facts” these seemingly intellectual midgets are incorrect about.

Here are just some of the comments I’ve heard recently on so-called “progressive” talk radio:

From Thom Hartmann’s 2 Oct 12 show: “There’s a story out there that when Mitt Romney was a Bishop – well, I suppose he’s still a Bishop – that he told a woman she’d have to leave the Church if she left her husband.”

Misinformed – I’ve known a lot of women in the Church who’ve left their husbands and who’ve not been told they’d have to leave the Church. Hartman then spent a great deal of time attempting to tie Mormonism to Shariah Law – evidently thinking somehow that if Mitt Romney were elected he’d force everyone to become Mormon?

From Stephanie Miller’s show – practically every day: “He’s got his ‘magic underwear’ on.”

Juvenile – They’re called temple garments and they represent covenants made between the person wearing them and the Lord; nothing quite speaks to the level of a person’s ignorance as does their lack of reverence, or respect, for that which someone else holds sacred. This is the same level of intellectual unawareness that allows Baptist ministers to burn Korans in the name of Jesus.

From Randi Rhodes show 2 Oct 12: “There’s scripture in their Book of Mormon that says when a Mormon is elected President Jesus will come back again and they’ll rule together from their paradise in Missouri.”

This went from misinformed and jumped straight ahead into stupid.

Why attack Romney because of which Church he belongs to? There’re plenty of things to attack him on, to disagree with him on, to poke fun at without going after his Church; funny how I don’t hear anyone making fun of Harry Reid because he’s a Mormon.

When I joined the Army many years ago my father told me I’d ‘probably think the Army had the corner on idiots’, and for the past couple of years I’ve thought to myself, ‘no Dad, that would be conservative talk radio’; but now I see we have plenty of idiots on both sides of the political microphone. Ignorance does clearly appear to be bliss, because far too many pundits blissfully skip down Ignorance Avenue and don’t think twice about it. I suggest before you attack someone’s faith you should spend some time learning some facts, or better yet, don’t attack someone’s faith – unless of course you’re in mid-school and just don’t know any better.

 
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Posted by on October 3, 2012 in 2012 Election, Left Wing Crazies

 

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