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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 30 Jan 12 (pre-Florida Primary) Edition

30 Jan

After spinning wildly down the track following the South Carolina Primary, the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus, specifically the GOTP clown car, appears to be spinning back into Mitten’s favor; but can Romney pull out the nomination in the long run? Newton’s claiming he’s in it all the way to the convention – time will tell.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 1 and Paul 0; never have three separate candidates won the first three GOTP caucuses/primaries – NEVER; clearly the party doesn’t want Mitt, but can’t decide who it wants instead of him. Do they go with the crazy uncle in the attic, the over-the-top gay bashing brother, or the adulterer?

Concerning Florida’s Primary, a new Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted 29 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are: Romney 36; Gingrich 31; Paul 13 and Santorum 11 with 9% undecided.

There’s nothing new no new polls for the upcoming Nevada Caucus (4 Feb 12) where Romney led in the last Las Vegas Review-Journal poll of registered voters conducted 12 – 20 Dec 11: Romney 33; Gingrich 29; Paul 13 and Santorum 3 with 22% undecided.

The Maine Caucus’ (4 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Colorado Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 4 Dec 11: Gingrich 37; Romney 18; Paul 6 and Santorum 4 with 38% undecided.

Minnesota Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Jan 12: Gingrich 36; Romney 18; Santorum 17 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

Michigan Primary (28 Feb 12) last EPIC-MRA poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jan 12: Romney 31; Gingrich 26; Paul 14 and Santorum 10 with 19% undecided.

Arizona Primary (28 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 17 – 20 Nov 11: Gingrich 28; Romney 23; Paul 8 and Santorum 3 with 38% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Primary Mason-Dixon poll of likely voters conducted 12 – 14 Dec 11: Gingrich 43; Romney 21; Paul 4 and Santorum 1 with 31% undecided.

Ohio Primary Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 9 – 16 Jan 12: Romney 27; Santorum 18; Gingrich 17 and Paul 10 with 28% undecided.

Virginia Primary (where only Romney is on the ballot – can you spell FIX?) Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Primary Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Gingrich 23; Romney 13; Santorum 6 and Paul 3.

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 25 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 28; Romney 27; Santorum 16 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 52/Gingrich 35

A new USA Today/Gallup poll conducted 27 – 28 Jan 12:

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

President Obama 49/Paul 46

As crazy as it looks, clearly, on the electability scale Paul is the candidate who comes closest to actually being able to beat the President.That being said, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Newton Leroy Gingrich would barely be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Speaking of the general election; the latest Electoral College figures are below, based on current available state polling, and once again, if the general election was held today these would be the results:

 
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Posted by on January 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 23 Jan 12 (post-South Carolina Primary) Edition

23 Jan

Never has the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus, specifically the GOTP clown car, spun so wildly down Nomination Drive as it did on Saturday, 21 Jan 12 in South Carolina when Newton Leroy Gingrich pummeled Willard Mittens Romney in a decisive primary victory 40 to 27 placing Mitten’s assured coronation as the GOTP nominee in serious danger. No GOTP primary candidate has ever won the party’s nomination without winning South Carolina – NONE repeat NONE have ever pulled that off.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 1 and Paul 0; never have three separate candidates won the first three GOTP caucuses/primaries – NEVER; clearly the party doesn’t want Mitt, but can’t decide who it wants instead of him. Do they go with the crazy uncle in the attic, the over-the-top gay bashing brother, or the adulterer?

So, in the aftermath of Newton’s victory where have things settled poll wise? A new Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18 – 22 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are: Willard Mittens Romney 29; Newton Leroy Gingrich 28; Ronny Paul 13 and Ricky Santorum 11

Things have turned drastically against Romney in current Florida polling where the new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted on 22 Jan 12 now has Gingrich 41; Romney 32; Santorum 11; and Paul 8

There are no new polls for the upcoming Nevada Caucus where Romney led in the last Las Vegas Review-Journal poll: Romney 35; Gingrich 26; Paul 5; Perry 4; Huntsman and Santorum 1, but depending on Florida things may turn here as well.

For the Maine Caucus there haven’t been any new polls conducted since October; Maine’s caucus is the same day as Nevada, 4 Feb 12.

Concerning how the GOTP candidates currently stack up against the President, the latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 20 – 22 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 45/Romney 43

President Obama 48/Gingrich 39

President Obama 48/Santorum 38

Clearly Rasmussen doesn’t see Paul as a serious contender – finally something I can agree on with Rasmussen.

Romney’s primary record went from 1-1 to 1-2 as a seemingly clear victory became at best a long and drawn out primary process for Mittens, but at worse a losing proposition; Florida will tell if he’s realistically still in it.

So, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would barely be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on January 23, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 19 Jan 12 (pre-South Carolina Primary) Edition

19 Jan

The GOTP nominating circus, specifically the GOTP clown car, continues spinning wildly down the road, and it’s spun another wannabe out the window; a new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 17 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are:

Willard Mittens Romney 30; Newton “Benny Hill” Gingrich 27; Ricky “The Ric” Santorum 15 and Ronny Paul 13

The Palmetto State primary is Saturday and a new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted on 18 Jan 12 shows Newt in the lead once again: Gingrich 33; Romney 31; Paul 13 and Santorum 11

Romney continues to lead strongly in Florida where the new CNN/Time poll of likely voters conducted on 13 – 17 Jan 12 has Romney 43; Santorum 19; Gingrich 18 and Paul 9

In the upcoming Nevada Caucus Romney leads in the latest Las Vegas Review-Journal poll: Romney 35; Gingrich 26; Paul 5; Perry 4; Huntsman and Santorum 1

Concerning how the GOTP candidates stack up against the President, the latest PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 16 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 44

President Obama 49/Gingrich 42

President Obama 50/Santorum 42

President Obama 47/Paul 42

Romney’s primary record went from 2-0 to 1-1, and may be 1-2 come Saturday; a suddenly clear victory is now a possibly long and drawn out primary process.

So, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on January 19, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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$362,000 in Speaking Fees is ‘Not Very Much’?

17 Jan

The Huffington Post’s reporting Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential front runner Willard Mittens Romney has a new definition of “not much”, it’s $362,000; and what’s more amazing is Mittens finally admitted the effective tax rate he’s been paying for the last several years is “likely below” that of middle-class workers, which would also include members of the military.

Romney was asked at a campaign stop what his effective tax rate is. It was also a very hot topic of discussion at Monday night’s debate, at which Romney repeatedly declined to fully commit to release his tax returns.

“It’s probably closer to the 15% rate than anything,” Mittens mewed. “For the past 10 years, my income comes overwhelmingly from investments made in the past, rather than ordinary income or earned annual income. I got a little bit of income from my book, but I gave that all away. Then, I get speakers fees from time to time, but not very much.”

And exactly how much is not very much to someone like Willard? Oh, it’s not very much, according to a report in USA Today, over the course of a year, Mittens eeked out a mere $362,000 in speakers fees — a period during which he joked he was “unemployed.”

So Willard the putz was making “not very much” while joking about being “unemployed” to an audience in Florida in June, once more proving how out of touch this guy is; really, $362,000 while joking about being unemployed to unemployed people?

And what is the spoiled rich boy’s estimated wealth? Well, it’s supposed to be in the neighborhood of between $190 million to $250 million; but wait, that’s not all, when Mittens left his much publicized “employment creating” position with Bain Capital in 1999, he reportedly negotiated a retirement package guaranteeing him a percentage of the firm’s profits. Thus, he’s still earning money from some of the more outrageous takeovers in Bain’s portfolio; you know, like the notorious KB Toys takeover and bankruptcy where the robber barons of Bain made millions while employees lost their jobs, retirements, everything.

Now for the icing on the cake, according to the Congressional Research Service, persons earning more than $35,350 in income pay a 25% tax rate on any earnings above that amount, and many families earning less than $100,000 per year pay an effective tax rate just above that, but Mitten’s wealthy welfare comes from a loophole in the tax code – written by fellow millionaires in Congress – taxing long-term capital gains at a lower 15% rate. Private equity executives are then “paid” with capital gains instead of regular income. Thus the alleged “job creating” executives, like Romney, report (legally lie) to the Internal Revenue Service they weren’t being reimbursed a salary for work they performed but instead were merely investors reaping the rewards of risk taking.

Once again Mittens proves he’s nothing like the 99% of us who aren’t paying taxes at a 15% tax rate, and who don’t look at $362,000 at being “not much”; for most Americans that’s not only a lot of money, it’s a fortune, it’s more than ten years salary. Romney’s a fraud; he’s the rich kid who in the words of the late Texas Governor Ann Richards was “born with a silver foot in his mouth”.

 
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Posted by on January 17, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 12 Jan 12 Edition

12 Jan

Concerning the ongoing GOTP nominating circus, a new Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 6 – 10 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are:

Willard Mittens Romney 31; Newton “Benny Hill” Gingrich 16; Ricky “The Ric” Santorum 15; Ronny Paul 13; Reverend Rick Perry 6 and Jon “I can’t believe it’s not butter” Huntsman 2

The GOTP clown car continues to careen wildly down the campaign trail with Mittens firmly ensconced behind the steering wheel the rest of cast is trying apparently in vain to shove him out the door with Newton taking on the role of Pennywise the Dancing Clown; Santorum and Paul are holding on in a weak third and fourth place seeming to be perfectly willing to allow Newt to self destruct and hopefully take Romney with him; Reverend Perry’s campaign is beginning to go through its death rattle while Huntsman continues to loiter about at bottom-dwelling mud sucker status.

Heading into the Palmetto State Willard holds a very precarious lead over Newton where the latest Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted 11 Jan 12 finds Romney 23;Gingrich 21; Santorum 14; Paul 13; Huntsman 7 and Perry

Romney appears to strongly in the lead in Florida where the new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted on 11 Jan 12 has Romney 41; Gingrich 19; Santorum 15; Paul 9; Huntsman 5 and Perry 2

In the upcoming Nevada Caucus Romney leads in the latest Las Vegas Review-Journal poll: Romney 35; Gingrich 26; Paul 5; Perry 4; Huntsman and Santorum 1

Concerning how the GOTP “candidates stack up against the President the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters conducted 5 – 9 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 43

President Obama 53/Gingrich 38

President Obama 51/Santorum 40

President Obama 48/Paul 41

Romney’s clearly in control of the nomination process, and unless Newt suddenly can produce pictures of Willard playing golf with Satan it isn’t likely to change.

So, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on January 12, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Let them envy while they eat their cake?

11 Jan

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Willard Mittens Romney claimed on NBC’s Today Show that concerns about Wall Street, financial institutions and income inequality were the result of “envy.”

Mittens – who not surprisingly crushed his opponents in the New Hampshire primary Tuesday night — attacked the President for promulgating the “politics of envy.” Though his attack was mainly directed at the president, Willard’s “envy” remark came after Lauer asked about the concerns of “anyone who has questions about the distribution of wealth and power in this country.”

“I think it’s about envy. I think it’s about class warfare,” Romney said. “I think when you have a president encouraging the idea of dividing America based on 99 percent versus one percent… you’ve opened up a whole new wave of approach in this country which is entirely inconsistent with the concept of ‘one nation under God.'”

But wait, that’s not all, Mittens also mewed it wasn’t necessary to have a public debate about the inequality of wealth distribution in this country, and claimed the President’s focus on this issue was just “part of his campaign rally.”

“I think it’s fine to talk about those things in quiet rooms and discussions about tax policy and the like,” Romney said. “But the president has made this part of his campaign rally. Everywhere he goes we hear him talking about millionaires and billionaires and executives and Wall Street. It’s a very envy-oriented, attack-oriented approach and I think it’ll fail.”

Now the question is how long will it take for Mittens to scream that Lauer got him with a “gotcha question”? Probably not long; the real issue is that Willard’s shown once again that he’s a Rodney Rich Pig who can’t relate to anyone who’s not from his class.

 
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Posted by on January 11, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Mittens vetoed contraception bill for rape victims as governor?

09 Jan

Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Mittens Romney mewed during this weekend’s debate about a question about whether states have the right to ban birth control, calling the question “silly” and saying that states wouldn’t want to do that anyway. But guess who, as governor of Massachusetts in 2005, vetoed a widely supported bill that would’ve made the morning-after pill available over the counter and require hospitals to offer emergency contraception to rape victims? That’s right, white bread conservative Mitt.

The good news was his moronic veto didn’t stand because the Massachusetts state Senate voted unanimously to overrule it, and the state House voted 139-16 to do the same.

The bad news for women is that Romney’s anti-contraception policies don’t end with the morning-after pill because Mittens is one in a long line of obtuse GOTP candidates signing their lives away on one pledge after another, and one of the pledges he’s put his Willard Hancock on is the pledge to eliminate the Title X family planning program, providing affordable contraception and other basic medical care to millions of uninsured or low-income women in medically underserved communities across the country, because as any Rodney Rich Pig can tell you, “Only rich women have the right to contraception”.

Romney’s once again misrepresented his real stance on an issue, if not outright lied about it to the American people. He’s a flip-flopper and a liar, and he’s not to be trusted.

 
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Posted by on January 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 9 Jan 12 (New Hampshire Primary) Edition

09 Jan

Concerning the ongoing Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus (New Hampshire Primary Edition), a new WMUR/UNH poll of likely voters conducted 5 – 8 Jan 12 has been released and Romney is way out in front (no big surprise) with Paul in second and Huntsman a close third: Romney 41; Paul 18; Huntsman 16; Gingrich 12; Santorum 11and Perry 1.

Nationally, a new CBS News poll of registered voters conducted 4 – 8 Jan 12, Romney is barely in the lead, and seems to be benefitting from the plethora of anti-Romney candidates still in competition: Mittens 19; Gingrich 15; Santorum 14; Paul 10; Perry 6 and Huntsman 4.

In South Carolina the wheels have clearly come off the Gingrich mobile, a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters: Romney 30; Gingrich 23; Santorum 19; Paul 9; Perry 5 and Huntsman 4.

In the Sunshine State (Florida to FOX viewers) Mittens has surged ahead in a new Quinnipiac poll of likely voters: Romney 36; Gingrich 24; Santorum 16; Paul 10 Perry 5 and Huntsman 2.

So, clearly Mittens is becoming the solid (sort of) GOTP nominee favorite – unless some of the lame brain anti-Romney’s finally wake up and drop out of the race – but how does he stand up to the President if the General Election was held today?

Well surprise Timmy, a new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 3 – 4 Jan 12 now has the race tied:

President Obama 42/Romney 42

President Obama 49/Gingrich 39

And of course nobody else matters at this point.

If the GOTP Magical Mystery Tour had spun to a stop today, and if the general election were also held today, Mittens would be the GOTP choice (sort of) and he would’ve tied with the President, of course it’s a Rasmussen Poll which means it’s skewed at least five points to Romney’s side which further means the President would likely win.

In one of the first tests of the upcoming 2012 Congressional contest, the latest poll on the Oregon 1st Congressional Special Election (to be held 31 Jan 12) conducted by SurveyUSA of likely voters from 22 Dec 11 – 4 Jan 12 has Democratic candidate Suzanne Bonamici way out in the lead ahead of GOTP Rob Cornilles 50/39, is this the bell weather test of the upcoming 2012 contest, or is this as has been said many times before, simply a case of “All politics” being “local”.

 
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Posted by on January 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Mittens’ tax plan, steal from the poor and give to the rich

05 Jan

According to the Associated Press (AP) Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential hopeful Mittens Romney’s so-called “tax plan” would increase taxes on low-income families while (wait for it) cutting taxes for the middle-class and the rich.

It appears Mittens plan would increase taxes on households making less than $20,000 by more than 60 percent, while households making between $50,000 and $75,000 would get small tax cuts, averaging 2.2 percent, or about $250, and anyone making more than $1 million would get tax cuts averaging 15 percent, or about $146,000.

So, just to recap, those making $1 million or more get a 15% tax cut, those making $50 to $70K would get a 2.2% tax cut and everyone else will get screwed with a 60% tax increase?!

On top of sticking it to the poor, Romney’s plan would reduce tax revenues by $180 billion in 2015, adding to the federal budget deficit. Of course Mittens campaign disputes those numbers claiming tax breaks to the wealthy will create jobs and spur the economy, blaah, blaah, blaah …

Romney’s plan would cut the top corporate tax rate from 35% to 25%, eliminate investment taxes for the middle class and make permanent a massive package of tax cuts first enacted under President George W. Bush. He said he’d also repeal tax increases on the wealthy enacted as part of President Barack Obama’s health care package.

But wait, that’s not all, Mitten’s plan would allow tax cuts enacted under President Obama as part of the massive economic stimulus package passed in 2009 to expire; and here’s the kicker, those tax cuts targeted low-income families with children, including many people who don’t make enough money to pay any federal income taxes. They included an expanded tax credit for college students, a more generous Earned Income Tax Credit for families with three or more children, and a more generous child tax credit for low-income families.

Romney isn’t interested in helping anyone who isn’t wealthy, he isn’t interested in spurring the economy, he’s interested in using the office of the President of the United States to help improve only one part of the nation’s population, the top 1% – his own. There’s only one group that benefits from his “tax plan”, and that’s the wealthy, I guess it’s immaterial the President is supposed to represent all the people, but to Mittens it’s only the wealthiest of We the People. Of course there’ll be great groups of naïve conservatives, with their FOX addled minds who will rush to vote for Romney because they want to protect their interests for when they too become millionaires. WAKE UP! You’ve a better chance of being abducted by space aliens than of ever belonging to the top 1%.

 
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Posted by on January 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Founding Fathers would have cracked down on pot?

04 Jan

Self proclaimed historian and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential wannabe Newton Leroy Gingrich, said during a town hall-style appearance in Concord, that if elected (which is an ever expanding really big IF) he had no interest in exploring drug decriminalization, arguing such efforts haven’t worked in Europe, and of course as a conservative he’d base success rates of things off of Europe – which to conservatives has never succeeded in anything.

According to the Huffington Post, when a member of an audience later in the day argued the founding fathers had been far more lenient about marijuana than the current political class, Newton responded, “I think Jefferson or George Washington would have rather strongly discouraged you from growing marijuana and their techniques with dealing with it would have been rather more violent than our current government.” A comment which has no (as in zero) basis of fact to back it up, other than Newton being a conservative, and all conservative are born with an inherent understanding of what the Founding Fathers thought or would’ve thought on any subject from drug laws to potty training.

Of course the fact many of the Founding Fathers grew hemp (George Washington especially and Thomas Jefferson also included) was lost on Professor Gingrich, which today would’ve landed the grower in jail. Yeah, it’s easy to see how the Founding Fathers would’ve been harder than today’s authorities.  This is once again nothing but right-wing FOX style hyper-bole based on utter and complete nonsense. As a presidential candidate Newt’s a joke, and as a historian he’s an ignoramus.

 
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Posted by on January 4, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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