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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 09 April 12 Edition

09 Apr

So, not only have conservative Wisconsinites trudged to their polling places and cast votes for their “favorite” candidate in their state’s “Winner Take All” Republican Tea Party (GOTP) Primary (42 delegates), but also DC residents (19 delegates) and Marylanders (37 delegates) also cast votes on 3 Apr 12. For Richard John Santorum it may have been his last real stand as Willard Mitt Romney’s now crossed the half way mark on his path to possibly, maybe, supposedly eventual victory.

In the last round of primary battles: Romney walked away victorious in all three virtually “winner take all” primaries, amassing 83 delegates to Santorum’s 6; Gingrich and Uncle Ron earned zero delegates.

The remaining primaries tend to favor Romney, but if Santorum can simply keep Willard from winning more than 33% of the delegates in each and thus prevent him from winning the nomination outright, perhaps he can send everything into a brokered convention and somehow come out on top; of course his “other” strategy may simply be to weaken Romney enough that he loses to President Obama in the general election making it easier for Santorum to run again in 2016 as Willard’s political career will be effectually over. For Santorum he could then point to how another moderate was beaten by the Democratic Party, and better place himself in contention.

The regular season primary records for the GOTP “Confederacy of Dunces” currently stands: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 566; Santorum 263; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,128,980

Santorum 2,850,633

Gingrich 2,212,048

Paul 1,079,897

Yes, while it remains true Willard’s leading with 4,128,998 the really harsh reality is more votes have still been cast for anyone but him; total of all other votes cast = 6,142,578; yeah he may be winning, but at the end of the day, when he realizes more fellow conservatives would rather have anyone but him, it still sucks to be Mitt.

Nationally, the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 3 – 7 Apr 12: Romney 42; Santorum 25; Paul 11 and Gingrich 9 with 12% unconvinced any of these guys can do the job.

So, how do the Political Marx Brothers stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 6 – 8 Apr 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 44

President Obama 47/Santorum 41

No one cares how Harpo and Groucho would fare because they’re not even close …

So, as in the many weeks since this wild ride began, if the GOTP clown car had finally came to a wild spinning stop, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on April 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Wisconsin Primary) 2 April 12 Edition

02 Apr

So, the topsy turvy world known as the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential primary may finally be coming to a close (or not). Tomorrow conservative Wisconsinites will trudge to their polling places and cast votes for their “favorite” candidate in their state’s Winner Take All Primary with its 42 delegates. For Richard John Santorum this is one of his final – if not the final – opportunities to stick it to Willard Mitt Romney.

Not an easy thing to do since the latest PPP (D) poll results of likely voters conducted 31 Mar – 1 Apr 12 is anything but rosy for him: Romney 43; Santorum 36; Paul 11 and Gingrich 8.

After Wisconsin the remaining primaries tend to favor Romney, but if Santorum can simply keep Willard from winning more than an averaged 33% of the delegates and thus prevent him from winning the nomination outright, perhaps he can send everything into a brokered convention and somehow come out on top; of course his “other” strategy may simply be to weaken Romney enough that he loses to President Obama making it easier for Santorum to run again in 2016 as Willard’s political career will be effectually over.

The regular season primary records for the Confederacy of Dunces stands: Romney 21; Santorum 10; Gingrich 2 and “What’s His Name” 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count (1,144 needed to win) to date is: Romney 566; Santorum 263; Gingrich 140 and Paul 67.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,128,980

Santorum 2,850,633

Gingrich 2,212,048

Paul 1,079,897

Yes, while it remains true Willard’s leading with 4,128,9980 the harsh reality is more votes have still been cast for anyone but him; total of all other votes cast = 6,142,578; yeah he may be winning but when you realize more fellow conservatives would rather have anyone but you, it still sucks to be Mitt.

Nationally, the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 28 Mar – 1 Apr 12: Romney 43; Santorum 25; Gingrich 11 and Paul 10 with 11% unconvinced any of these guys can do the job.

So, how do the four Political Marx Brothers stack up against the President? The latest USA Today/Gallup poll of registered voters conducted 25 – 26 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 49/Romney 45

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

One more time, if the GOTP clown car had finally came to a wild spinning stop, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

How big would Willard lose? Well, if the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 

 
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Posted by on April 2, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Louisiana Primary) 23 Mar 12 Edition

23 Mar

Willard Mitt Romney won Illinois and then was promptly called an Etch-A-Sketch by his Communication’s Director on national television; big win ruined by an idiotic comment by someone on his own team.

Speaking of his win, in Illinois’ Direct Election Primary (69 delegates Romney took out the competition like Sarah Palin with a bat on a baby seal winning 42 delegates; Santorum limped up the beach with 10 delegates and Gingrich and Paul were splayed with 0 delegates.

Next in the mill is Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates) where we’re likely to see the next Santorum “surge”: PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Mar 12; Santorum 42; Romney 28; Gingrich 18 and Paul 8.

Wisconsin’s Winner Take All Primary – 3 Apr 12 (42 delegates) also likely to be a Santorum win: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 23 – 26 Feb 12; Santorum 43; Romney 27; Gingrich 10 and Paul 8.

The regular season records for the undaunted candidates: Romney 21; Santorum 9; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 560; Santorum 246; Gingrich 141 and Paul 66.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 4,070,110

Santorum 2,758,186

Gingrich 2,182,346

Paul 1,068,291

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 18 – 22 Mar 12: Romney 40; Santorum 26; Gingrich 14 and Paul 8 with 12% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 15 – 17 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 44

President Obama 48/Santorum 45

President Obama 50/Gingrich 42

President Obama 46/Paul 43

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

If the General Election were held today, the Electoral College totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on March 23, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Missouri Caucus) 16 Mar 12 Edition

16 Mar

Willard Mitt Romney got his lunch handed to him this week in the deep south where clearly Republican Tea Party (GOTP) voters didn’t buy his “How y’all doin?” nonsense. Romney came in third in both Alabama and Mississippi, falling in behind Santorum and Gingrich, but he won Hawaii and American Samoa.

In Alabama’s Proportional Primary Rick Santorum took first (19 delegates); Leroy Newt Gingrich took second (12 delegates) Romney limped into third (11 delegates) and Ron Paul came in his traditional last place (0 delegates).

In American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus Romney took first in the strong Mormon island winning all 9 delegates.

In Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus Romney again took first (9 delegates) Santorum took second (5 delegates) Paul took third (3 delegates) and came in dead last (0 delegates).

In Mississippi’s Proportional Primary Santorum took first (13 delegates) Gingrich was second (12 delegates) and Romney came in third with fewer votes (12 delegates) and Paul was again last (0 delegates).

Next up is Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

In Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): Chicago Tribune poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 9 Mar 12; Romney 35; Santorum 31; Gingrich 12 and Paul 7.

In Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): GCR/WWL-TVh poll of likely voters conducted 8 – 10 Mar 12; Santorum 25; Romney 21; Gingrich 20 and Paul 6.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 19; Santorum 9; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 496; Santorum 236; Gingrich 141 and Paul 66.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,477,020

Santorum 2,286,339

Gingrich 2,106,200

Paul 949,914

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 14 Mar 12: Romney 35; Santorum 27; Gingrich 15 and Paul 10 with 13% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 12 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 46/Romney 42

President Obama 51/Santorum 39

President Obama 53/Gingrich 35

President Obama 50/Paul 38

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mitt Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Current electoral college totals based on current poll numbers:

 
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Posted by on March 16, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Alabama and Mississippi primaries) 12 Mar 12 Edition

12 Mar

Willard Mitt Romney has added, little-by-little, to his delegate lead in the past week for the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential nomination, sweeping his opposition in the Northern Marianas’ Non-Binding Caucus (9 delegates); Virgin Islands’ Non-Binding Caucus (7 delegates) and Guam’s Non-Binding Caucus (9 delegates) taking home a whopping 24 non-binding delegates, meaning they can switch at the convention; but he had his lunch handed to him in Kansas.

Speaking of the Sunflower State, Rick Santorum won a devastating victory over Mittens, taking home 33 delegates from the Kansas Hybrid Primary to Romney’s 7.

Newton Leroy Gingrich won zero delegates out of the last four primaries and caucuses; while Ron Paul garnered one delegate from the contest in the Virgin Islands.

And so the fight heads towards the Deep South:

In Alabama’s Proportional Primary – 13 Mar 12 (50 delegates): a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 10 – 11 Mar 12; Romney 31; Gingrich 30; Santorum 29 and Paul 8.

American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus – 13 mar 12 (9 delegates): no polling data available

In Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus with 20 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 16 Oct 11; Romney 24; Gingrich 8; Paul 4 and Santorum 1.

In Mississippi’s Proportional Primary with 52 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 10 – 11 Mar 12; Gingrich 33; Romney 31; Santorum 27 and Paul 7.

In Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

In Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): Chicago Tribune poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 9 Mar 12; Romney 35; Santorum 31; Gingrich 12 and Paul 7.

In Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): Clarus Research poll of likely voters conducted 20 – 22 Nov 12; Gingrich 31; Romney 23; Paul 6 and Santorum 0.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 16; Santorum 7; Gingrich 2 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 455; Santorum 199; Gingrich 117 and Paul 64.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,203,592

Santorum 1,974,351

Gingrich 1,832,322

Paul 904,503

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest CBS News/NY Times poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 11 Mar 12: Santorum 34; Romney 30; Gingrich 13 and Paul 4 with 19% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted 7 – 10 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 49

President Obama 49/Santorum 46

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Rick Santorum would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on March 12, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Kansas Caucus) 9 Mar 12 Edition

09 Mar

Super Tuesday has come and gone, that magic time every four years when cat fights turn to dog fights, when the dust is thick and heavy and when it clears there’s usually a clear indicator of who will win their party’s nomination – usually. But this year it’s different, this year we have the hybrid Republican Tea Party (GOTP) types running to the polls to decide for which of the four horsemen of the GOPocalypse they hope will win the presidential nomination. So, how’d they score?

Romney won Alaska’s Proportional Caucus (8 delegates), Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus (32 delegates), Massachusetts’s Proportional Primary (38 delegates) and Ohio’s Proportional Primary (35 delegates), Vermont’s Hybrid Primary (9 delegates) and Virginia’s Hybrid Primary (43 delegates); additional delegates won = 43; total delegates won = 208

Santorum won North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus (11 delegates), Oklahoma’s Proportional Primary (14 delegates) and Tennessee’s Proportional Primary (25 delegates); additional delegates won = 34; total delegates won = 84

Gingrich won Georgia’s Proportional Primary (42 delegates); additional delegates won = 26; total delegates won = 68

Paul won = 21 delegates

So, what’s coming up next on the candidate’s radar?

10 Mar 12 we’ve got the Northern Marianas’ Non-Binding Caucus with 9 delegates; Virgin Islands’ Non-Binding Caucus with 9 delegates and Guam’s Non-Binding Caucus also with 9 delegates, and there’s no polling data for any of these contests.

Kansas’ Hybrid Primary – 10 Mar 12 (40 delegates): no polling data available

Alabama’s Proportional Primary – 13 Mar 12 (50 delegates): Ala. Education Assoc. poll of likely voters conducted 1 – 6 Mar 12; Romney 31; Santorum 22; Gingrich 21 and Paul 7.

American Samoa’s Proportional Caucus – 13 mar 12 (9 delegates): no polling data available

Hawaii’s Proportional Caucus with 20 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 16 Oct 11; Romney 24; Gingrich 8; Paul 4 and Santorum 1.

Mississippi’s Proportional Primary with 52 delegates: PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 4 – 6 Nov 11; Gingrich 28; Romney 12; Paul 4 and Santorum 1.

Missouri’s Non-Binding Caucus – 17 Mar 12 (52 delegates): PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12; Gingrich 30; Santorum 28; Romney 24 and Paul 11.

Puerto Rico’s Winner Take All Primary – 18 Mar 12 (23 delegates): no polling data available

Illinois’ Direct Election Primary – 20 Mar 12 (69 delegates): The Simon Poll/SIU poll of registered voters conducted 11 – 16 Oct 12; Romney 21; Gingrich 8; Paul 7 and Santorum 2.

Louisiana’s Proportional Primary – 24 mar 12 (46 delegates): Clarus Research poll of likely voters conducted 20 – 22 Nov 12; Gingrich 31; Romney 23; Paul 6 and Santorum 0.

The regular season records for the dauntless candidates: Romney 7; Santorum 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 404; Santorum 165; Gingrich 105 and Paul 61.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 3,194,834

Gingrich 989,187

Santorum 956,245

Paul 479,835

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 3 – 7 Mar 12: Romney 37; Santorum 23; Gingrich 12 and Paul 11 with 17% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 5 – 7 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 48/Romney 44

President Obama 50/Santorum 42

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on March 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Electoral College Breakdown (6 Mar 12 edition)

06 Mar

If the election were held today – based on available polling information – the President wins against either Romney or Santorum in landslides …

 
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Posted by on March 6, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – (pre-Super Tuesday) 5 Mar 12 Edition

05 Mar

Tomorrow – Super Tuesday – Republican Tea Party (GOTP) types will run to the polls in droves to decide which for which of the four horsemen of the GOPocalypse they hope will win their party’s presidential nomination.

Willard Mittens Romney won Saturday’s Washington’s Non-Binding Caucus with 43 delegates; Romney 37.6 (16 delegates); Santorum 32 (5 delegates); Paul 16 (5 delegates) and Gingrich 13 (0 delegates).

So how do things stack up going into Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)?

Alaska’s Proportional Caucus with 27 delegates; no polling info …

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; InsiderAdvantage poll of likely voters conducted 4 Mar 12: Gingrich 47; Romney 21; Santorum 18 and Paul 6 with 8% undecided. Newt is showing a second wind, at least in his home state – but the more important question is who will take second place?

Idaho’s Non-Binding Caucus with 32 delegates; no polling info …

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; Suffolk/7News poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 15 Feb 12: Romney 64; Santorum 16; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 and with 7% undecided.

North Dakota’s Non-Binding Caucus with 28 delegates; no polling info …

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 4 Mar 12: Santorum 32; Romney 31; Gingrich and Paul 13 with 11% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Rasmussen Reports of likely voters conducted 21 Feb 12: Santorum 43; Gingrich 22; Romney 18 and Paul 7 with 10% undecided.

Tennessee’s Proportional Primary with 58 delegates; PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 3 – 4 Mar 12: Santorum 34; Romney 29; Gingrich 27 and Paul 8 with 2% undecided.

In Vermont’s Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; Castleton State College poll of likely voters conducted 11 – 11 Feb 12: Romney 34; Santorum 27; Paul 14 and Gingrich 10 with 15% undecided

Virginia ludicrous Hybrid Primary (where only Romney and Paul are on the ballot) with 49 delegates; a new NBC News/Marist poll of likely voters conducted 29 Feb – 2 Mar 12: Romney 69 and Paul 26 with 5% undecided. Of course winning a state where you’re the only real candidate on the ballot doesn’t mean much, except in delegates awarded.

So the Super Tuesday rundown looks like this:

Romney: Idaho, Massachusetts, Vermont and Virginia

Santorum: Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee,

Gingrich: Georgia

Paul:

Unknown: Alaska and North Dakota

The regular season records for the gallant candidates: Romney 7; Santorum 3; Gingrich 1 and Paul 0 with Maine still unbelievably yet to be determined.

The GOTP Delegate Count to date is: Romney 173; Santorum 74; Paul 37 and Gingrich 33.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,786,594

Gingrich 989,187

Santorum 956,245

Paul 479,835

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 29 Feb – 3 Mar 12: Romney 38; Santorum 32; Gingrich and Paul 13 with 4% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of registered voters conducted 29 Feb – 3 Mar 12; if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 44

President Obama 53/Santorum 39

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on March 5, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 10 Feb 12 (pre-Maine Caucus Conclusion) Edition

10 Feb

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Santorum 4, Romney 3, Gingrich 1 and Paul 0; CAN YOU BELIEVE IT!? Santorum pulled the trifecta – the hat-trick! He swept all three on Tuesday!

Ricky pulled the surprise upset in the Colorado Non-binding Caucus with 40.2% of the vote and 13 delegates; Romney got 34.9% of the vote picking up 6; Gingrich got 12.8% and picked up 2 delegates, while Paul polled 11.8% and won a whopping 1 delegate.

Ricky also dominated in the Minnesota Non-binding Caucus where he buried Mittens with 45% and 13 delegates. Romney actually placed third behind Ron Paul; Paul garnered 27.1% of the vote and 4 delegates; Mittens won 2 whole delegates with an astounding 16.9% of the vote; placing a dismal last was Newton Leroy who took 10.8% of the vote for 1delegate.

In Missouri’s Primary – which awarded no delegates; those will be decided later with caucuses – Rick surged to victory (sending the opposition packing) with 55.2% of the vote; Romney25.3% and Paul came in third with 12.2%. Gingrich – the dimwitted former Speaker – managed not to be on the Missouri ballot.

Maine’s – week long – Non-binding Caucus with 24 Delegates concludes tomorrow and the last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted way back in October is likely to be a lot closer – especially where Santorum’s concerned, charging hard from behind Romney.

Michigan’s Hybrid Primary with 30 Delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 38; Gingrich 23; Santorum 17 and Paul 14 with 8% undecided.

Arizona Winner Take All Primary with 29 delegates – 28 Feb 12; last Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 01 Feb 12: Romney 48; Gingrich 24; Santorum 13 and Paul 6 with 9% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Proportional Primary with 76 delegates; SurveyUSA poll of likely voters conducted 01 – 02 Feb 12: Gingrich 45; Romney 32; Santorum 9 and Paul 8 with 6% undecided.

Ohio Proportional Primary with 66 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 26; Romney 25; Santorum 22 and Paul 11 with 16% undecided.

Virginia Hybrid Primary (Where the FIX is in and only Romney’s on the ballot) with 49 delegates; Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Proportional Primary with 43 delegates; Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Proportional Primary with 41 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Hybrid Primary with 17 delegates; PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Romney 90; Santorum 44; Gingrich 32 and Paul 13. An interesting thought is if Gingrich and Paul were to step out and throw their delegates to Santorum, there’d be a real contest; but the same could be said if Santorum did the same for Newt; Paul is inconsequential as he’s not a serious contender – meaning he has a better chance of contracting small pox than of winning the GOTP nomination, and frankly Newt’s heading that way now too.

The current GOTP Popular Vote Count is:

Romney 1,119,283

Gingrich 838,344

Santorum 430,753

Paul 305,797

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll of registered voters conducted 06 Feb 12: Romney 34; Gingrich 27; Santorum 18 and Paul 11 with 10% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 07 – 09 Feb 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 50/Romney 40

FOX News poll of registered voters conducted 06 – 09 Feb 12:

President Obama 51/Gingrich 38

President Obama 50/Santorum 38

President Obama 48/Paul 38

If the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Willard Mittens Romney would be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

 
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Posted by on February 10, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 30 Jan 12 (pre-Florida Primary) Edition

30 Jan

After spinning wildly down the track following the South Carolina Primary, the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus, specifically the GOTP clown car, appears to be spinning back into Mitten’s favor; but can Romney pull out the nomination in the long run? Newton’s claiming he’s in it all the way to the convention – time will tell.

The current regular season records for the remaining four GOTP candidates are Gingrich 1, Santorum 1, Romney 1 and Paul 0; never have three separate candidates won the first three GOTP caucuses/primaries – NEVER; clearly the party doesn’t want Mitt, but can’t decide who it wants instead of him. Do they go with the crazy uncle in the attic, the over-the-top gay bashing brother, or the adulterer?

Concerning Florida’s Primary, a new Insider Advantage poll of likely voters conducted 29 Jan 12 has been released and the current poll results are: Romney 36; Gingrich 31; Paul 13 and Santorum 11 with 9% undecided.

There’s nothing new no new polls for the upcoming Nevada Caucus (4 Feb 12) where Romney led in the last Las Vegas Review-Journal poll of registered voters conducted 12 – 20 Dec 11: Romney 33; Gingrich 29; Paul 13 and Santorum 3 with 22% undecided.

The Maine Caucus’ (4 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Oct 11: Romney 24, Gingrich 18, Paul 5 and Santorum 2 with 51% undecided.

Colorado Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 1 – 4 Dec 11: Gingrich 37; Romney 18; Paul 6 and Santorum 4 with 38% undecided.

Minnesota Caucus (7 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 22 Jan 12: Gingrich 36; Romney 18; Santorum 17 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

Michigan Primary (28 Feb 12) last EPIC-MRA poll of likely voters conducted 21 – 25 Jan 12: Romney 31; Gingrich 26; Paul 14 and Santorum 10 with 19% undecided.

Arizona Primary (28 Feb 12) last PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 17 – 20 Nov 11: Gingrich 28; Romney 23; Paul 8 and Santorum 3 with 38% undecided.

Super Tuesday (6 Mar 12)

Georgia Primary Mason-Dixon poll of likely voters conducted 12 – 14 Dec 11: Gingrich 43; Romney 21; Paul 4 and Santorum 1 with 31% undecided.

Ohio Primary Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 9 – 16 Jan 12: Romney 27; Santorum 18; Gingrich 17 and Paul 10 with 28% undecided.

Virginia Primary (where only Romney is on the ballot – can you spell FIX?) Quinnipiac poll of registered voters conducted 13 – 19 Dec 11: Gingrich 30; Romney 25; Paul 9 and Santorum 3 with 33% undecided.

Oklahoma Primary Sooner Poll of registered voters conducted 17 Nov – 16 Dec 11: Gingrich 33; Romney 14; Paul 4 and Santorum 2 with 47% undecided.

Massachusetts Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 16 – 18 Sep 11: Romney 50; Gingrich and Paul 5 and Santorum 1 with 44% undecided

Vermont Primary PPP (D) poll of registered voters conducted 28 – 31 Jul 11: Romney 26; Paul 7 and Gingrich 6 with 61% undecided

The Current GOTP Delegate Count is: Gingrich 23; Romney 13; Santorum 6 and Paul 3.

Nationally the GOTP Nomination according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted 25 – 29 Jan 12: Gingrich 28; Romney 27; Santorum 16 and Paul 13 with 16% undecided.

So, how does each of the Four Horseman of the GOPocalypse stack up against the President? The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 27 – 29 Jan 12, if the general election were held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 52/Gingrich 35

A new USA Today/Gallup poll conducted 27 – 28 Jan 12:

President Obama 51/Santorum 43

President Obama 49/Paul 46

As crazy as it looks, clearly, on the electability scale Paul is the candidate who comes closest to actually being able to beat the President.That being said, if the GOTP clown car had finally stopped spinning, and the general election was held today, Newton Leroy Gingrich would barely be the GOTP nominee, and he’d lose to President Obama in the general election.

Speaking of the general election; the latest Electoral College figures are below, based on current available state polling, and once again, if the general election was held today these would be the results:

 
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Posted by on January 30, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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