Politics | The Liberty Tree

Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 23 Oct 12 Edition

We’re down to a scant two (2) weeks – 14 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s reeling from the smack down he took in New York coupled with the thumping he received in Florida last night, including the fact we’re all out of horses and bayonets; can he recover from such a pummeling by the President of the United States? Sure he can because “everyone loves Mitt” – said nobody ever.

So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?

The ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12 has the President with a 52% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 50%. So, who’s more electable right now?

In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 17 – 22 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:

President Obama 47/Romney 45

According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …

Gallup Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 22 Oct 12:

Romney 51/President Obama 46

ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12:

President Obama 49/Romney 48

Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of registered voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12:

Romney 48/President Obama 45

CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 17 – 20 Oct 12:

President Obama 48/Romney 46

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 17 – 20 Oct 12:

President Obama 47/Romney 47

WashTimes/JZ Analytics* poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 20 Oct 12:

President Obama 50/Romney 47

On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.1/42.6 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.

So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.

According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 318/220:

As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008

Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 23 Oct 12.

Obama 327/211
Obama 316/222
Obama 284/254
Obama 303/235
Obama 299/239

Romney 292/246
Romney 282/256
Romney 279/259
Romney 298/240
Romney 286/252

Of 10 simulations President Obama and Romney split even at five apiece.

The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.

According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 230/205.

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Posted by PEB on October 23, 2012 in 2012 Election

Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, bayonets, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, ipsos poll, jrnl, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, surveyusa, Tea Party, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice, washtimes

Judge rejects request to reinstate Wisconsin union busting law

22 Oct

According to the Associated Press (AP) Dane County District Judge Juan Colas has rejected the state of Wisconsin’s request to put on hold his earlier ruling striking down large portions of Republican Tea Party (GOTP) Governor Scott Walker’s contentious collective bargaining law.

Judge Colas ruled in September that the law stripping most public workers of nearly all their union rights violates teachers and local government workers’ free speech, free association and equal protection rights.

Of course it was Republican Tea Party (GOTP) Attorney General J.B. Van Hollen had begged for a stay while he appeals the September decision and Van Hollen’s spokeswoman Dana Brueck says he’ll now ask the court of appeals to issue a stay.

While the wheels of justice turn agonizingly slow, they do turn and occasionally they actually turn in favor of those being trodden upon. Judge Colas’ ruling is the correct ruling as the union busting law was thrust through the state legislature in an overt attempt to crush unions in the state while the Governor was bargaining with the likes of the Koch Brothers promising to essentially hand over the state to private business interests.

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Posted by PEB on October 22, 2012 in Unions

Tags: collective bargaining law, j b van hollen, Koch Brothers, overt attempt, Politics, Politics News, private business interests, Scott Walker, Wisconsin Collective Bargaining, Wisconsin Collective Bargaining Law, Wisconsin Collective Bargaining Ruling, Wisconsin Union Law, Wisconsin Union Law Ruling, Wisconsin Union Ruling, Wisconsin Unions

NAZI symbol painted on Obama campaign office

20 Oct

According to various news reports, in another act of racism, a NAZI swastika was painted on the window of President Barack Obama’s campaign office in the Denver suburb of Conifer, CO late Thursday night, and the vandalism was discovered the next morning by building owners. This latest incident comes a week after a shot was fired into a window of Obama’s Denver campaign office.

In 2009 during a Tea Party rally held to oppose the stimulus package on the day Obama signed the bill, a participant waved a sign bearing a swastika in the “O” of Obama’s name. The sign holder had a picture taken with conservative anchor-baby Michelle Malkin and was reportedly on stage when then-state Senate Minority Leader Josh Penry (R-Grand Junction) spoke.

It’s sad that in America in the 21^st century there are still individuals who think this is acceptable political speech; however, it appears to be the way ever more increasing numbers of the new Republican Tea Party (GOTP) think and express themselves. Vandalism, threats, signs along road ways with nooses, it’s all part of the party today; this must be part of what they mean when they say they want to “take the country back”, they just mean they want to take it back a hundred years or more, that’s all.

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Posted by PEB on October 20, 2012 in 2012 Election

Tags: barack obama, Barack Obama 2012, Colorado Politics, conifer co, Denver Colorado, Election 2012, elections 2012, Jefferson County Colorado, Josh Penry, Kyle Counts, michelle malkin, nazi swastika, Nazis, Obama Office, Off The Bus, Politics, Politics News, senate minority leader, Swastika, Video

Limbaugh claims Candy Crowley committed an ‘act of journalistic malpractice’?

18 Oct

So Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney has his lunch handed to him on national television by the President of the United States and uber-right wing radio blowhard Rush “Rusty” Hudson Limbaugh III’s assessment is debate moderator Candy Crowley was biased towards President Obama

Rusty was especially outraged over Crowley’s fact-check of Mitt Romney on Libya, and bellowed she “kept feeding” Obama lines and interrupted Romney a total of twenty-eight times.

“In the real world, she would’ve committed career suicide last night,” he bloviated. “In the real world — in the media world I grew up in, her career would be finished.”

But wait, Rusty wasn’t finished, “She committed an act of journalistic terror or malpractice last night. If there were any journalist standards, what she did last night would have been the equivalent of blowing up her career like a suicide bomber. But there aren’t any journalist standards anymore. And she’s going to be praised and celebrated, probably even get a raise, give her another half hour on that show she hosts.”

In what world of reality is Rush Limbaugh qualified to comment on someone’s journalistic standards? First of all, one would need to have standards in order to judge someone else’s, and secondly, well, one would need to have standards in order to judge someone else’s.

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Posted by PEB on October 18, 2012 in Right Wing Radio

Tags: Candy Crowley, Candy Crowley Rush Limbaugh, career suicide, current-events, debate moderator, Limbaugh Crowley, Mitt Romney, Politics, Politics News, Rush Limbaugh, Rush Limbaugh Candy Crowley, Rush Limbaugh Debate, Rush Limbaugh Debate Crowley, Video

Romney shouldn’t make son’s death part of agenda

18 Oct

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Posted by PEB on October 18, 2012 in 2012 Election

Tags: Barbara Doherty, current-events, Navy Seal Glen Doherty, Politics, Romney shouldn't make son's death part of agenda, Romney uses Libya attack for political gain, romney wrong on Libya

Debate Moments

17 Oct

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Posted by PEB on October 17, 2012 in 2012 Election

Tags: debate moments, Politics, quotes, walsh and duckworth debate

He’s got binders full of women, well not really

17 Oct

During last night’s presidential debate, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) footnote Willard Mitt Romney boasted how as governor of Massachusetts, he was so frustrated by the lack of qualified women for positions in his cabinet he sent women’s groups out to actively recruit them.

“I went to a number of women’s groups and said, ‘Can you help us find folks?’ and they brought us whole binders full of women,” he said.

There’s just one small problem with Willard’s story, it’s not true. According to news sources, a bipartisan coalition of women’s groups known as MassGAP approached Romney and his Democratic challenger Shannon O’Brien before the 2002 gubernatorial election and pressured each to sign a pledge to appoint more women if elected.

Liz Levin, chairwoman of MassGAP at the time, reportedly told reporters during the 2002 governor’s race, the group spent months identifying, vetting and collecting resumes of qualified women for the high-level appointments.

“They told us … that they were going to send [the binders] to us,” O’Brien recalled in a Wednesday interview with The Huffington Post. “Whoever won was going to get this.”

Carol Hardy-Fanta, former co-chair of MassGAP’s higher education subcommittee agreed with that assessment, “He didn’t go out looking for these binders,” she said.

So, what’s the problem?

Well, Willard said during last night’s debate he initiated the search, “I went to my staff, and I said, how come all the people for these jobs are — are all men?

“They said, well, these are the people that have the qualifications. And I said, well, gosh, can’t we — can’t we find some — some women that are also qualified?

“And — and so we — we took a concerted effort to go out and find women who had backgrounds that could be qualified to become members of our cabinet. I went to a number of women’s groups and said, can you help us find folks? And I brought us whole binders full of — of women.”

Once more Willard reached into his past and pulled out a half-truth, a prevarication, a lie. He didn’t initiate the search. He didn’t think to himself, “Gee, we need more women.” He’s a fraud, and he thinks women are too dumb to see he’s a fraud. Problem for Romney is he thinks he’s starring in an episode of Mad Men and “dames” just won’t catch on.

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Posted by PEB on October 17, 2012 in 2012 Election

Tags: Binders Full Of Women, Binders Full Of Women Claim, democratic challenger, education subcommittee, level appointments, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney Binders, Mitt Romney Binders Full Of Women, Politics, Politics News, Romney Binders, Romney Binders Full Of Women, shannon o brien