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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 20 April 2015 Edition

20 Apr

The 2016 Presidential Election season rolls on, and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown car spins and swerves from one fantastic tale to another while former Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton is driving her “Scooby Mobile” into New Hampshire this week.

decision 2016

Where are things in these early moments of the 2016 campaign?

Nationally, a CNN/ORC poll of voters describing themselves as “republicans” or “independents who lean republican” conducted 16-19 April 2015, has former Florida Governor Jeb Bush leading the group of GOTP candidates and likely candidates. Jeb Bush 17%, Scott Walker 12%, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Ted Cruz 7%, Ben Carson and Chris Christie 4%, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum 3%, while Bobby Jindal and John Kasich 2%.

On the Democratic side, a CNN/ORC poll of voters describing themselves as “Democrat” or “independents who lean Democrat” conducted 16-19 April 2015, has Clinton in a commanding lead of undeclared candidates with 69%, followed by Joe Biden 11%, Bernie Sanders 5%, Jim Webb 3% Martin O’Malley at 1%.

How do things stack up if the General Election was today? The same CNN/ORC poll has Hillary Clinton beating all GOTP comers by double digits.

Clinton 55/Rubio 41

Clinton 56/Bush 39

Clinton 58/Paul 39

Clinton 58/Christie 39

Clinton 59/Walker 37

Clinton 58/Huckabee 37

Clinton 60/Cruz 36

Clinton 60/Carson 36

According to recent polling data available, if the election was today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would be footnotes in history books.

 
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Posted by on April 20, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 14 April 2015 Edition

14 Apr

The 2016 Presidential Election season is rolling, and the Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown car has lurched away from the curb with the junior senator from Texas, Ted Cruz at the wheel. The junior senators from Kentucky and Florida, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio have joined Cruz on this political joy ride. Opposing this dynamic trio of right-wing idiocy is former Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton – who announced her candidacy on Sunday.

decision 2016

So, where are we thus far in the early moments of the 2016 campaign?

In the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary, a REACH Communications poll of “registered Republicans and Undeclared” voters conducted 08-09 April 2015, has Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker leading pack of GOTP candidates and likely candidates. Scott Walker 23%, Jeb Bush 17%, Rand Paul 15%, Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio and Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie and Mike Huckabee 6%, Rick Perry and Carly Fiorina 2% and Rick Santorum not registering any measurable level of support.

On the Democratic side, a Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University poll of likely Democratic voters conducted 22-25 March 2015, has Clinton in a commanding lead of undeclared candidates with 47%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 22%, Joe Biden 10%, Bernie Sanders 8%, Andrew Cuomo 4%, Martin O’Malley 1% and Jim Webb with no calculable support.

How do things stack up if the General Election was today? The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll of registered voters has Hillary Clinton beating all GOTP comers by double digits.

Clinton 56/Cruz 39

Clinton 53/Bush 41

Clinton 54/Walker 40

Clinton 54/Rubio 39

According to recent polling data available, if the election was today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States, and the others would be footnotes in history books.

 
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Posted by on April 14, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2016 Presidential Polls – 24 March 2015 Edition

24 Mar

decision 2016

Here we go, the 2016 Presidential Election season has officially started! The Republican Tea Party (GOTP) clown car has lurched away from the curb with the very junior senator from Texas, Ted Cruz at the wheel. Cruz announced his intention to win the White House at uber-right-wing Liberty University to a packed house of students required to attend the rally or face a fine. Nothing quite says “liberty” like forcing students to attend a political rally.

So, where are we in the early moments of the 2016 campaign?

In the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary, a Gravis Marketing poll of potential voters conducted from 25 March 2015 has Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker leading a huge pack of likely candidates – other than Cruz.

Scott Walker 19%, Jeb Bush 18%, Rand Paul and Chris Christie 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz and Ben Carson 6%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum 1% respectively.

On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is far in the lead of undeclared candidates with 49%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 20%, Bernie Sanders 12%, Joe Biden 5%, and Jim Webb and Martin O’Malley with 2%.

If the general election was held today, the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll of potential voters has Hillary Clinton beating all GOTP comers by double digits.

Clinton 54/Paul 43

Clinton 55/Rubio 42

Clinton 55/Huckabee 41

Clinton 55/Bush 40

Clinton 55/Walker 40

Clinton 55/Christie 40

Clinton 56/Carson 40

So, according to recent polling data available, if the election was held today Hillary Clinton would be the 45th President of the United States.

 
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Posted by on March 24, 2015 in 2016 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls – 9 Jan 12 (New Hampshire Primary) Edition

09 Jan

Concerning the ongoing Republican Tea Party (GOTP) nominating circus (New Hampshire Primary Edition), a new WMUR/UNH poll of likely voters conducted 5 – 8 Jan 12 has been released and Romney is way out in front (no big surprise) with Paul in second and Huntsman a close third: Romney 41; Paul 18; Huntsman 16; Gingrich 12; Santorum 11and Perry 1.

Nationally, a new CBS News poll of registered voters conducted 4 – 8 Jan 12, Romney is barely in the lead, and seems to be benefitting from the plethora of anti-Romney candidates still in competition: Mittens 19; Gingrich 15; Santorum 14; Paul 10; Perry 6 and Huntsman 4.

In South Carolina the wheels have clearly come off the Gingrich mobile, a new PPP (D) poll of likely voters: Romney 30; Gingrich 23; Santorum 19; Paul 9; Perry 5 and Huntsman 4.

In the Sunshine State (Florida to FOX viewers) Mittens has surged ahead in a new Quinnipiac poll of likely voters: Romney 36; Gingrich 24; Santorum 16; Paul 10 Perry 5 and Huntsman 2.

So, clearly Mittens is becoming the solid (sort of) GOTP nominee favorite – unless some of the lame brain anti-Romney’s finally wake up and drop out of the race – but how does he stand up to the President if the General Election was held today?

Well surprise Timmy, a new Rasmussen Reports poll of likely voters conducted 3 – 4 Jan 12 now has the race tied:

President Obama 42/Romney 42

President Obama 49/Gingrich 39

And of course nobody else matters at this point.

If the GOTP Magical Mystery Tour had spun to a stop today, and if the general election were also held today, Mittens would be the GOTP choice (sort of) and he would’ve tied with the President, of course it’s a Rasmussen Poll which means it’s skewed at least five points to Romney’s side which further means the President would likely win.

In one of the first tests of the upcoming 2012 Congressional contest, the latest poll on the Oregon 1st Congressional Special Election (to be held 31 Jan 12) conducted by SurveyUSA of likely voters from 22 Dec 11 – 4 Jan 12 has Democratic candidate Suzanne Bonamici way out in the lead ahead of GOTP Rob Cornilles 50/39, is this the bell weather test of the upcoming 2012 contest, or is this as has been said many times before, simply a case of “All politics” being “local”.

 
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Posted by on January 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Bachmann’s entire paid staff in New Hampshire runs away

22 Oct

The Associated Press (AP) is reporting that Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential candidate Michele “Krazy” Bachmann is losing her entire New Hampshire staff – all five of them.

Bachmann spokeswoman Alice Stewart disputed reports of a staff shakeup, saying: “We have a great team in New Hampshire. We haven’t been notified that anyone’s left the campaign.”

Still, Stewart reportedly said she hadn’t been able to reach the top New Hampshire staff to confirm they were still on board. She said she had reached some junior staffers who didn’t say they were leaving.

Meanwhile sources close to the White Star Line are denying there’s anything wrong on board the RMS Titanic, and no one should assume that just because they can’t contact the ship that anything’s gone wrong.

Campaign finance reports show that Krazy, who has fallen in polls and struggled to raise money, had (what a coincidence) five paid staff in New Hampshire as recently as late September.

The once GOTP presidential headliner has largely ignored the first-in-the-nation primary state in recent months. She has been focused on Iowa and South Carolina, where her social conservative message has more appeal.

Krazy hasn’t visited New Hampshire very often since launching her presidential campaign in June, and since mistaking it for Massachusetts (that whole darned “shot heard round the world” mistake) and Stewart acknowledged a greater focus on Iowa, where Bachmann was born and where she won the GOP’s presidential straw poll in August.

According to Bachmann aides, her Iowa staff consists of 11 paid members, including her national political director who relocated to Iowa this fall. The staff is among the larger teams in the leadoff caucus state; a state where she’s polling in fourth place behind Cain, Romney and Gingrich. Someone please stick her with a fork.

 
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Posted by on October 22, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls (8 Aug 11 Edition)

08 Aug

As we move into the first week of August, here are the most current 2012 presidential election poll numbers.

USA Today/Gallup polling conducted from 4 to 7 August 2011 –who would be the Republican/Tea Party (GOTP) nominee if it all ended today:

Romney 24, Perry 17, Paul 14, Bachmann 13, Gingrich 7, Cain 4, Pawlenty 3, Huntsman 2 and bringing up the rear it’s Santorum with 1 …

So, Romney (aka Flopsy Mopsy) has pulled ahead slightly, with Perry (Pres of the 2nd Republic of Texas) slipping a little, possibly because of his evangelical prayer fest, and Palin (aka the Ice Queen) gets absolutely no mention in our current numbers; Paul moves up, while Bachmann (aka Krazy) is slipping farther behind no doubt due to her hubby’s business of praying the gay away – and her poll numbers too; Gingrich moves ahead a little, as Cain (aka the Pizza Man, who has never met a Muslim he hasn’t disliked) skids farther down; Pawlenty remains stagnant, Huntsman rises a little and Santorum slithers to the bottom of the political gene pool.

In Iowa – according to Rasmussen – Bachmann’s shine is fading 22; Mitt 21; Paul 16; Perry 12; Pawlenty 11; Gingrich 5 and Cain 4 …

In New Hampshire – according to PPP (D): Flopsy 25, Bachmann 18, Palin 11, Paul 9, Perry and Cain 7, Pawlenty and Huntsman 6 and Gingrich 4…

So, how does the GOTP pack stack up against President Obama?

If the election was held today, according to FOX PAC:

President Obama 47/Romney 41

President Obama 49/Bachmann 38

President Obama 47/Perry 37

President Obama 47/Pawlenty 37

President Obama 48/Cain 35

President Obama /Gingrich

President Obama / Palin

President Obama /Paul

President Obama /Huntsman

If the GOTP nomination circus – and the general election – had both ended this week Flopsy would be the GOTP candidate, and he would still have lost to the President.

 
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Posted by on August 8, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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Latest 2012 Presidential Polls (29 Jul 11 edition)

29 Jul

Hot out of the polling oven it’s the most current 2012 presidential election pastries.

Out first – from Gallup polling conducted from 20 – 24 July 2011 – let’s look at who would be the Republican/Tea Party (GOTP) nominee if it all ended today:

Romney 17, Perry 15, Palin 12, Bachmann and Giuliani 11, Paul 8, Cain and Gingrich 3, Santorum and Pawlenty 2, and Huntsman’s no longer being mentioned in national polls…

So, Romney (aka Flopsy Mopsy) is very narrowly holding on to his lead, with Perry (Pres of the 2nd Republic of Texas) making a very serious challenge (even though he hasn’t announced he’s running) as Palin (aka the Ice Queen – who also hasn’t announced she’s running) moves up while Bachmann (aka Krazy) is beginning to slip behind running neck-and-neck with Giuliani (of all people), followed by Paul, as Cain (aka the Pizza Man, who has never met a Muslim he hasn’t disliked) tied with Newter Gingrich follow, as Pawlenty and Santorum are still running a very distant last place while Jon Huntsman has effectively dropped off the national political radar screen (was he ever on the radar screen?).

But what about the Iowa Caucus? Well, if it was held today (according to Magellan Strategies polling: Krazy 29; Flopsy 16; and the rest of the pack are still running so far back they are inconsequential…

How about New Hampshire? According to PPP (D): Flopsy 25, Bachmann 18, Palin 11, Paul 9, Perry and Cain 7, Pawlenty and Huntsman 6 and Gingrich 4…

So, how does the GOTP pack stack up against President Obama?

If the election was held today, according to NBC/WSJ (which only asked about Bachmann and Romney) and previous polls for the others:

President Obama 48/Romney 41

President Obama 49/Bachmann 38

President Obama 47/Perry 37

President Obama 47/Pawlenty 37

President Obama 52/Gingrich 39

President Obama 53/Palin 37

President Obama 48/Cain 35

President Obama 52/Paul 42

President Obama 52/Huntsman 34

If the GOTP nomination circus – and the general election – had both ended this week Flopsy would be the GOTP candidate, and he would still have lost to the President.

 
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Posted by on July 29, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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Huntsman’s lagging because of dog days?

27 Jul

The Associated Press (AP) is reporting that Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential candidate Jon Huntsman is blaming his slow start on “the dog days of summer,” claiming he’ll do better when the election season hits high gear.

Except for the fact he’s dead last in almost every poll, finishing several points behind a former pizza company executive, everything’s fine. You can almost hear the GOTP hopeful saying, “We’ve got them right where we want them.”

When asked about his dismal polling numbers, Huntsman replied, “If the election were next month, I guess that would be a cause for concern.”

Someone on his campaign needs to step up and say, “No governor, its cause for concern right now.” Huntsman isn’t just last he’s dead last in every poll garnering around 2% of those asked if they’d vote for him.

Huntsman reportedly told CBS’s “The Early Show” that “it’s going to take a little while” to hone his message of “moving this country to a position of competitiveness and job creation.” He said “we’ve got a terrific presence in the early states” and said that he expects an even stronger organization on the ground by this fall.

By early states he’s referring to Iowa, or maybe New Hampshire? I’m sorry to burst his bubble but in New Hampshire polling only Newt is doing worse than Huntsman is; and in Iowa he’s not even registering, as in he has a 0%; so much for “early states”.

Point is the governor stinks. No one is going to vote for him. Partly because he’s a Mormon, and the right-wing uber-conservative Christian nut jobs in the Tea Party aren’t going to nominate a Mormon; and partly because paint drying is more enthusiastic than John Huntsman. Road kill has more people looking at than John Huntsman. More people watch reruns of Hee Haw than attend Huntsman events. Maybe his angle is to garner enough followers to place him in the running for the VP nod? It could happen; maybe whoever wins the nomination will need a boring VP choice? Maybe Romney will chose him as his junior companion (VP) and they can run with the motto they’re “On a ‘Mission’ to take back America”?

 
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Posted by on July 27, 2011 in 2012 Election

 

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