In the past year 70 people have been ruthlessly murdered by gunmen using either assault weapons – as in the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting – or 9mm pistols with high capacity magazines.
And yet 1.3% of the nation’s total population of 315,167,682 people is keeping us – as Americans – from having the long overdue discussion and accompanying legislation to address this issue. The National Rifle Association has a reported 4,250,000 members, or 1.3% of the total population.
During the 2012 campaign cycle the NRA contributed $1,061,710 to the election process, with $719,596 being “donated” to federal campaigns. Of course the NRA also gave out hefty funds in the form of lobbying in 2012, totaling some $2,205,000. Total political contributions + lobbying = $3,266,710, or roughly $6,000 of peddling per member of the United States Congress. How do the other 99% fight that kind of money and influence?
Well, for starters, there are 169,000,000 registered voters (53.6% of the population) in the United States, including 86,000,000 registered Democrats (27.2% of the total population) and 55,000,000 registered Republicans (17.4% of the total population), with 28,000,000 registered others (8.8% of the total population). If each registered Democrat wrote to every member of the Congress and said they’d give them $5.00 a piece to pass meaningful legislation including a ban on assault weapons and high capacity magazines, that would equal $430,000,000 in influence divided between 535 members of Congress or $803,738 in campaign contributions; a great deal more than any member of Congress has ever received from the NRA.
And, if only half of all registered Democrats were to write to every member of Congress and offer to donate $5.00 a piece, that would equal $215,000,000 in influence, again divided between 535 members of congress equals $401,869 in campaign contributions; once again, a great deal more money than any member of Congress has ever received from the NRA.
A very simple solution to countering the NRA; money talks, and more money talks louder.
Tags: 9mm pistols, 9mm pistols with high capacity magazines, AR-15, assault weapons ban, ban on assault weapons, Bushmaster AR-15, current-events, high capacity magazines, National Rifle Association, Politics, Sandy Hook Elementary School, XM-15 Bushmaster
This really isn’t rocket science; here are my thoughts on helping to prevent another Sandy Hook or Aurora.
Step one – get the right-wing to stop making excuses for needing assault weapons and high capacity magazines – of course if they don’t we’ll just move on to step two without them.
Step two – ban assault weapons and high capacity magazines
Step three – increase funding for school security throughout country, mandate federal standards for security, i.e., doors, windows, armed police officers etc
Step four – increase federal funding for mental health care, or simply fully fund it under the Affordable Care Act.
If the right-wing won’t police its own house – ie, the NRA – then the rest of us will; the Congress and the Tea Party oppose meaningful gun legislation at their own political peril; in case they didn’t notice they didn’t win in November. This isn’t about the adults rights to own whatever thing (gun) they want, personal property rights do not trump another individual’s right to life – as in 20 first grade students slaughtered at Sandy Hook.
Tags: assault weapons, assault weapons ban, aurora colorado shooting, current-events, gun legislation, not rocket science, Politics, sandy hook, Sandy Hook Elementary School, Sandy Hook Elementary School Shooting, Sandy Hook School, Second Amendment, second amendment rights
For those who will insist on continuing to use the “Hitler” reference in their argument to allow American citizens to own whatever gun they desire, or that the Founding Fathers meant for the Second Amendment to change with the times.
First, way to use the already debunked right-wing Hitler reference; one can only hope you’d know he never made any speech in 1935, or any other year where he said, “This year will go down in history! For the first time, a civilized nation has full gun registration! Our streets will be safer, our police more efficient, and the world will follow our lead into the future!”
Second, the truth is no gun law was passed in Germany in 1935. There was no need for one, since a gun registration program was already in effect in Germany; it was enacted in 1928, during the Weimar Republic, five years before Hitler’s ascendancy. But that law didn’t “outlaw” guns, it restricted their possession to individuals who were considered law-abiding citizens, and who had a reason to own one. And there’s no reason to consider that law particularly significant, either since the NAZIs didn’t seize control of their own country at the point of a bayonet, they used a much more potent weapon: propaganda. One can also hope you’d realize that no matter how well-armed German Jewry might have been it wouldn’t have been able to resist the military might of the Third Reich. Many did try and were murdered anyway. It’s the same lunatic thinking that some new wonderful band of “patriots” is going to stand up to the United States military and “take back the guvmint”.
Third, the Second Amendment was to make possible the defense of the colonies as a whole through providing for a “well regulated” militia; meaning all the “able-bodied” men would be prepared when called up, with the same caliber musket, as well as sufficient quantities of powder and ball. The Founders never intended a large standing army as Britain had been able to use in its attempt to control the colonies, thinking it the basis of tyranny. Men like Washington and Adams intended the new nation would have a very small standing army and in time of war the “citizen soldier” would be called upon to swell its ranks. It was not put into place to provide the “common man” the ability to overthrow the government, nor to be able to defend his home against marauding zombies. It also wasn’t put into place to provide the “common man” with the ability to hunt since Founders couldn’t care less who had a “squirrel gun” or a hunting rifle, it was a given you’d have the right to hunt and to provide food for your family.
So, you want guns to hunt with – fine, no problem. You want guns to defend your home – fine, also no problem. However, you don’t need assault weapons and high capacity magazines to do either of those things.
You want your assault rifle and high capacity magazine to have a revolution – fine, have it. But stop threatening it and do it, that way me and millions of others like me will be able to fulfill our oath and “protect and defend” our Constitution against the “domestic” enemy the right-wing fringe has become. If you’re going to have your revolution please start and let the rest of us move on in this much needed change of gun fantasy in this nation.
Tags: Adolf Hitler, Founding Fathers, Hitler, Hitler and guns, Politics, Second Amendment, second amendment rights
The Leprechaun, Sean Hannity’s at it again, telling one big whopper after another. Tonight’s lie came during his FOX News program (9 Jan 13) when he claimed no president had ever made use of recess appointments until President Obama, I just heard him say it, you can’t make this stuff up; but of course almost every President since – and including – George Washington have made recess appointments.
President Washington appointed South Carolina judge John Rutledge as Chief Justice of the United States during a congressional recess in 1795.
Some additional examples?
New Jersey judge William J. Brennan was appointed to the Supreme Court by President Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1956 through a recess appointment. This was done in part with an eye on the presidential campaign that year; Eisenhower was running for reelection, and his advisors thought it would be politically advantageous to place a northeastern Catholic on the court. Brennan was promptly confirmed when the Senate came back into session. President Eisenhower, also using a recess appointment, designated Charles W. Yost as United States ambassador to Syria.But wait, that’s not all President Eisenhower made two additional recess appointments, Chief Justice Earl Warren and Potter Stewart.
President George H. W. Bush appointed Lawrence Eagleburger Secretary of State during a recess in 1992 because Eagleburger had in effect filled that role after James Baker resigned.
And according to the Congressional Research Service, President Bill Clinton made 139 recess appointments while President George W. Bush made a record 171 recess appointments, and as of 5 Jan 12, President Barack Obama – who Hannity claims is attempting to “by-pass the Legislative Branch creating an imperial presidency” – had made only 32 recess appointments.
Hannity’s an idiot, and anyone who ever takes him seriously is also an idiot. Like too many people working at FOX he wouldn’t know a fact if it came and bit him on the nose.
Tags: Bill Clinton, Charles W. Yost, chief justice, Chief Justice Earl Warren, eisenhower recess appointments, George W. Bush, george washington recess appointments, James Baker, John Rutledge, Lawrence Eagleburger, Libya, Politics, Potter Stewart, President Dwight D. Eisenhower, President George H. W. Bush, recess appointment, recess appointments, recess appotinments, sean, Sean Hannity, sean hannity idiot, Sean Hannity/Liar, William J. Brennan
According to the Associated Press (AP), Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s telling top donors President Obama was re-elected because of the “gifts” he’d given to Blacks, Hispanics and young voters, and because of the painting him as anti-immigrant.
“The president’s campaign, if you will, focused on giving targeted groups a big gift,” Romney said in a special call to “big” donors this week. “He made a big effort on small things.”
Of course during his call he didn’t bring up any of his own screw ups, like his infamous “47 percent” remark, his lack of support for the auto bailout, his call for illegal immigrants to “self-deport,” or his flip-flopping virtually on every single position.
Among the so-called “gifts” Willard maintains the President had given out in order to win were free health care “in perpetuity,” which Romney alleged was highly motivational to Black and Hispanic voters as well as for voters making $25,000 to $35,000 a year.
Willard also claimed the promise of “amnesty” to the children of illegal immigrants –”the so-called DREAM Act kids” – helped send Hispanics to the polls for Obama.
Then were the “young voters”, which Romney stated, were motivated by the administration’s plan for partial forgiveness of college loan interest and being able to remain on their parents’ health insurance plans. And of course there were the young women who had the additional incentive to vote for the President because of “free contraception coverage” under the president’s health care plan.
So, according to Willard Mitt Romney, he lost because more than 50% of voters were bought off, not because he sucked, his campaign sucked or because the GOTP’s policies really suck. Not only was Mitt a sad candidate, he’s even a sadder loser.
Tags: children of illegal immigrants, current-events, elections 2012, free health care, health insurance plans, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, Mitt Romney Campaign, Mitt Romney Gifts, Mitt Romney Obama, Politics, Politics News, romney, screw ups
As it became clear Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney had lost the election advisors said Willard was taken completely by surprise.
“He was shell-shocked,” one adviser reportedly told CBS News.
Clearly Willard and his staff were caught unprepared because they’d chosen to ignore polling showing swing state races favoring the President. Instead, according to CBS News, they foolishly relied upon their own so-called “unskewed” internal polling, which plainly were not only wrong, but wildly wrong and completely skewed.
Anyone honestly assessing the election knew Romney was never going to win, and for months I’ve predicted the election’s outcome up to and including the morning of election day; this is not rocket science, you simply have to be willing to evaluate the polling data honestly.
CBS News reported as it became clear Willard had lost the race and had to concede, his personal assistant, Garrett Jackson, called his counterpart in the Obama campaign, Marvin Nicholson, to connect the two men.
Romney reportedly appeared “stoic” as he talked to the president, as his wife Ann wept; running mate Paul Ryan seemed “genuinely shocked”, and Ryan’s wife Janna also was shaken and cried softly.
Meanwhile back at the ranch Timmy’s fallen down the well again and conservatives across the nation are in panic mode, mourning for their country as President Obama prepares for the next four years; Glenn Beck’s imploring his faithful listeners to move to the country with “like minded” people and to buy guns and ammunition because America’s “driving the righteous out” and “deserves to be destroyed”; Donald Trump’s calling for “revolution” while Sarah Palin’s “perplexed” and Rush Limbaugh’s “confused” as to how this happened.
It happened because your candidate sucked, and your party’s out of touch with reality. You sit in your bubbles watching FOX News and salivating over Rasmussen polling data totally ignoring all that’s going on around you. If the GOTP’s ever to become the GOP again it needs to pull its collective heads out of its fourth point of contact and look around, otherwise it’s destined to some day, in the not so distant future, to go the way of the Wig Party.
Tags: barack obama, Boston, CBS, Death & Dying, elections 2012, Electoral College, faithful listeners, Glenn Beck, guns and ammunition, Lost Election, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney Lost, Politics, Politics News, Presidency, Romney Lost, Romney shell-shocked, Rush Limbaugh, Sarah Palin
Today’s the day…
With votes being cast how are the candidates faring in the polls as it all comes to a close?
The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 5 Nov 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 3 – 5 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 49
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.6/47.4
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 6 Nov 12
Obama 292/246
Obama 318/220
Obama 305/233
Obama 322/216
Obama 301/237
Obama 311/227
Obama 276/262
Obama 300/238
Romney 293/245
Romney 273/265
According to today’s simulations President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, ipsos poll, journal poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
IT’S Finally here! Election Day Eve! And now we can all put out our stockings and wait for … oh, wait a minute…
So, with one day to go, how do the candidates stand up against each other?
The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.5/47.3
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12
Obama 338/200
Obama 284/254
Obama 326/212
Obama 273/265
Obama 278/260
Obama 313/225
Obama 288/250
Obama 305/233
Obama 323/215
Romney 284/254
According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 90% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 10%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, ipsos poll, journal poll, jrnl, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, ny times, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, reuters, romney, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
Just two days until the November election.
So, how do the candidates stand up against each other?
The ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 30 Oct – 2 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 54% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 53% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.4/46.6
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12
Obama 296/242
Obama 313/225
Obama 321/217
Obama 347/191
Obama 300/238
Obama 280/258
Obama 281/257
Obama 306/232
Romney 281/257
Romney 272/266
According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, general election, ipsos poll, journal poll, jrnl, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, ny times, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, reuters, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, sen obama, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice, willard
Three days until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s continues in desperation to flame out with his pack of lies running 24/7 in the swing states.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 1 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 51
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.5/46.8
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.7/44.3 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 3 Nov 12
Obama 270/268
Obama 293/245
Obama 306/232
Obama 309/229
Obama 278/268
Obama 281/257
Obama 271/267
Romney 271/267
Romney 293/245
Romney 271/267
According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 70% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 30%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, ipsos poll, journal poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
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