Today’s the day…
With votes being cast how are the candidates faring in the polls as it all comes to a close?
The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 5 Nov 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 3 – 5 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 49
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.6/47.4
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 6 Nov 12
Obama 292/246
Obama 318/220
Obama 305/233
Obama 322/216
Obama 301/237
Obama 311/227
Obama 276/262
Obama 300/238
Romney 293/245
Romney 273/265
According to today’s simulations President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, ipsos poll, journal poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
IT’S Finally here! Election Day Eve! And now we can all put out our stockings and wait for … oh, wait a minute…
So, with one day to go, how do the candidates stand up against each other?
The CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of likely voters conducted from 2 – 4 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.5/47.3
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12
Obama 338/200
Obama 284/254
Obama 326/212
Obama 273/265
Obama 278/260
Obama 313/225
Obama 288/250
Obama 305/233
Obama 323/215
Romney 284/254
According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 90% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 10%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54/46; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 225/210.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, ipsos poll, journal poll, jrnl, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, ny times, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, reuters, romney, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
Just two days until the November election.
So, how do the candidates stand up against each other?
The ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 30 Oct – 2 Nov 12 has President Obama with a 54% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 53% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 31 Oct – 3 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 3 Nov 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 2 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct – 1 Nov 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 48
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 48.4/46.6
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 52.1/44.5 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 4 Nov 12
Obama 296/242
Obama 313/225
Obama 321/217
Obama 347/191
Obama 300/238
Obama 280/258
Obama 281/257
Obama 306/232
Romney 281/257
Romney 272/266
According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, general election, ipsos poll, journal poll, jrnl, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, ny times, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, reuters, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, sen obama, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice, willard
Three days until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s continues in desperation to flame out with his pack of lies running 24/7 in the swing states.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 29 Oct to 1 Nov 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 51
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.5/46.8
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.7/44.3 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 3 Nov 12
Obama 270/268
Obama 293/245
Obama 306/232
Obama 309/229
Obama 278/268
Obama 281/257
Obama 271/267
Romney 271/267
Romney 293/245
Romney 271/267
According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 70% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 30%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, accor, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, ipsos poll, journal poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pack of lies, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, swing states, Tea Party, times poll, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
Five more days until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s decided it’s better to go out as a liar than to just go out, continuing to run his ads in Ohio claiming the President allowed the auto industry to go bankrupt.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 30 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 51
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.4/46.6
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 284/254
Obama 299/239
Obama 291/247
Obama 330/208
Obama 304/234
Obama 300/238
Obama 279/259
Obama 327/211
Obama 287/251
Romney 279/259
According to the simulations President Obama has a 90% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 10%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 229/206.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, Tea Party, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
Just seven short days to go until the November election and while the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast is busy dealing with Hurricane Sandy – aka “Frankenstorm”, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s doubling down on his lies and misinformation, attempting to persuade voters in Ohio with new ads claiming it was he who saved the auto industry, and that President Obama’s shipping Jeep jobs to China. If you’ve ever wondered how far someone would go to win the presidency you now have a very real text book example in Romney; he’s willing to say anything, do anything in order to get elected.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The NPR poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 25 Oct 12 has the President and Romney tied with a 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 28 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
Meanwhile in the Gallup – anomaly – Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
Romney 51/President Obama 46
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 25 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls – counting the anomalous Gallup Poll – it appears Willard Mitt Romney edges out the President Obama in the general election 47.8/47.2; however – excluding the anomalous Gallup Poll – the opposite is found with the President edging out Romney 47.5/47.
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 303/235
Obama 290/248
Obama 272/266
Obama 286/252
Obama 288/250
Obama 303/235
Obama 290/248
Obama 307/231
Romney 288/250
Romney 276/262
According to the simulations President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 234/201.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, Tea Party, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
We’re down to a scant two (2) weeks – 14 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s reeling from the smack down he took in New York coupled with the thumping he received in Florida last night, including the fact we’re all out of horses and bayonets; can he recover from such a pummeling by the President of the United States? Sure he can because “everyone loves Mitt” – said nobody ever.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12 has the President with a 52% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 50%. So, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 17 – 22 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 45
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Gallup Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 22 Oct 12:
Romney 51/President Obama 46
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of registered voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12:
Romney 48/President Obama 45
CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 17 – 20 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 46
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 17 – 20 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
WashTimes/JZ Analytics* poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 20 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.1/42.6 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 318/220:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 23 Oct 12.
Obama 327/211
Obama 316/222
Obama 284/254
Obama 303/235
Obama 299/239
Romney 292/246
Romney 282/256
Romney 279/259
Romney 298/240
Romney 286/252
Of 10 simulations President Obama and Romney split even at five apiece.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, bayonets, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, ipsos poll, jrnl, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, surveyusa, Tea Party, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice, washtimes
Three (3) weeks – 21 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney will debate President Obama in round three of the presidential/vice presidential debates; round one went to Romney, and round two (VP debate) went to Vice President Biden, but who will win round three? Romney has two choices, continue the 180 charade (no doubt the President will be prepared for that) or return to uber-right wing Mitt (what the President was prepared for before Denver). It may prove he should’ve pulled the 180 switch tonight, meaning he shot his wad too soon – which does not have its origin in sexual connotations. The real question is which President Obama will show up; the election is his to lose not Romney’s to win. Tonight’s debate is in a town hall format, which should favor the President, one thing’s for sure, the President can’t allow the challenger to set the tone as he did in Denver.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 7 – 11 Oct 12 has the President with a 53% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 51%. So, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 10 – 13 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 46
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 8 – 14 Oct 12 had different numbers:
President Obama 47/Romney 49
IBD/TIPP Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 9 – 14 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of registered voters conducted from 7 – 11 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of registered voters conducted from 8 – 10 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 47
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 49
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.5/42.7 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235.
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 16 Oct 12
Obama 305/233
Obama 295/243
Obama 317/221
Obama 279/259
Obama 321/217
Obama 294/244
Obama 287/251
Romney 283/255
Romney 299/239
Romney 280/258
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
As to the status of the United States Congress, according to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54-46; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 229/206.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, different numbers, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, FOX News, gwu battleground poll, hurricane isaac, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, sexual connotations, state polls, tracking poll, two choices, vice presidential debates, vp candidates, vp choice, vp debate
Just four (4) weeks – 28 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney seems to have found a slight bounce from his “performance” during the Denver Presidential Debate where there was lots of energy but very little substance or facts (27 lies in 38 minutes worth). Of course conservative pundits galore have been exalting how this was the big turnaround, the moment when Mitt saved his candidacy – and conservative pollsters are of course showing a huge bounce, while other polling groups show next to nothing, or nothing; this “bounce” is however a façade and it won’t hold up. Romney’s campaign’s a walking, talking straw man looking for a lit torch; lots of words, no substance and highly combustible.
Two days to the vice-presidential debate and it’s sure to be a knock down affair as the running mates are turned loose on each other; who will win? Ryan and Biden both are exceptional, passionate speakers; The Vice President’s prone to putting his foot in his mouth while his opponent – it appears – couldn’t find the truth with both hands and a flash light. Look for the Vice-President to come out swinging and to knock Ryan around.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
Post debate favorability ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12, showed the President with a 55% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 47%. Whatever “bounce” Romney may have garnered from his “performance” in Denver, it didn’t really help is favorability – no big surprise; when you act like a spoiled bully you’re going to be perceived as a spoiled bully.
So, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent Gallup Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 8 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 49
Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 1 – 7 Oct 12 had different numbers:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
Quite a turnaround in a single day of polling, and begs the question, “What’s up at Gallup”?
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 49
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of registered voters conducted from 1 – 4 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 – 30 Sep 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 26 – 29 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 47
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 27 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 47
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 26 Sep 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 43
Bloomberg poll of likely voters conducted from 21-24 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 43
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.1/43.5; after mediocre debate performances and a disastrous VP pick, SEN McCain would never lead again in the polls ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls, Willard Mitt Romney defeats President Obama in the general election.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 9 Oct 12
Obama 328/210
Obama 341/197
Obama 346/192
Obama 293/245
Obama 293/245
Obama 288/250
Obama 332/206
Romney 271/267
Romney 280/258
Obama 337/201
Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney eight times and usually by very comfortable margins; the two Romney wins are very marginal with absolutely no room for error.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 56-44; while Democrats will be picking up at least 14 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 229/206.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, FOX News, hurricane isaac, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
Five (5) weeks – 35 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s trying to overcome his latest misstep, wondering aloud why windows can’t be rolled down on airplanes? Some suggest he was “only joking”; doesn’t matter, it was an obtuse thing to say, and it’s only added to the image that he’s not as bright as people think he is and that he’s – as Jon Stewart put it – “like Charlie from Flowers for Algernon, and the serum is wearing off”. Topping this off was Ann Romney’s startling declaration that her greatest concern for her husband was his “mental well-being”; not what you need your wife saying about you, but especially not what you need your wife saying about you when you’re running for the presidency.
So, there’s one day to the first debate and a plethora of pundits are claiming Romney can turn it all around tomorrow tonight because he’s had more than 20 debates this fall to help him prepare and he’s ready to go; yeah OK, but he’s not debating the misfits from the GOTP primaries, he’s debating the President f the United States, and from what Willard’s demonstrated thus far, I’d say the odds are nowhere near to being in his favor.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The last favorability Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 27 Sep 12, showed the President with a 50% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 46%. For the second straight week the President’s favorables are above 50% while Romney’s continues to be the most disliked presidential candidate in recent history with unfavorables of 48%.
So, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the Washington Times or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) – the most recent CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 – 30 Sep 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
According to other recent viable polls, if the general election was held today …
Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 23-29 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 44
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 26 – 29 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 47
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 27 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 47
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 26 Sep 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 43
Bloomberg poll of likely voters conducted from 21-24 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 43
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 20 Sep 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 17 – 23 Sep 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 46
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 15-19 Sep 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 43
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 47/44; SEN McCain would never lead again in the polls ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52/44.
So, if the general election was held today, according to national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.
And according to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers the President defeats Romney 347/191:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 3 Oct 12
Obama 318/220
Obama 308/230
Obama 297/241
Obama 286/252
Obama 297/241
Obama 316/222
Obama 303/235
Romney 272/266
Obama 347/191
Obama 281/257
Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney nine times and usually by very comfortable margins.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54-46; while Democrats will be picking up at least 15 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 228/207.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, FOX News, hurricane isaac, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
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