Four more days and counting until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s going down with his pants streaming flame behind him, his latest Florida ads have him comparing the President to Castro.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 51
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.4/46.5
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.7/44.3 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 332/206
Obama 319/219
Obama 299/239
Obama 297/241
Obama 274/264
Obama 289/249
Obama 272/266
Obama 310/228
Obama 313/225
Obama 290/248
According to today’s simulations President Obama has a 100% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 0%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, gallup poll, ipsos poll, journal poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, ny times, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, research poll, Tea Party, times poll
In the midst of Hurricane Sandy recovery, “Fox and Friends” is wondering if NBC’s upcoming fundraiser “Hurricane Sandy: Coming Together,” isn’t secretly a campaign event for President Obama.
The benefit, airing tonight is featuring performances by Bon Jovi, Bruce Springsteen, Sting, Christina Aguilera and Billy Joel, among others, but “Fox and Friends” thinks something is rotten in New Amsterdam, because the concert is airing so close to the presidential election.
“Good intention, raise some money for victims, but the timing is more than suspect,” guest host Eric Bolling said. “Is this more political? Is this more, let’s get this thing on TV before the election to help President Obama look more presidential? Or is it more to help out victims?”
“It does look like they’re trying to squeeze it in,” Steve Doocy agreed, pointing out for his audience that Bon Jovi and Bruce Springsteen are avowed Obama supporters, while of course conveniently forgetting they’re also both from New Jersey; too much thinking for Doocy apparently makes his brain hurt.
“Is it a hurricane benefit or a concert for Obama?” he asked. “Where are the conservative performers? How’s NBC going to control what people say?”
Yeah Steve, where are the conservative performers, like Ted Nugent and Hank Williams Jr.? Doocy’s proven once again he’s a douche and a moron all at the same time. Seventy four people are dead, and more than three million in 15 states remain without power, but a benefit concert being held in the same week after “Frankenstorm” slams the area is suspiciously political. Once again, Steve Doocy is a douche and a moron.
Tags: entertainment, eric bolling, Fox and Friends, Fox And Friends Hurricane Sandy, Fox And Friends Nbc, FOX News, Hank Williams Jr., Hurricane Sandy 2012, Hurricane Sandy Concert, Nbc Hurricane Sandy Benefit, Politics, Politics News, Video
Five more days until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s decided it’s better to go out as a liar than to just go out, continuing to run his ads in Ohio claiming the President allowed the auto industry to go bankrupt.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 52% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 51% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll of likely voters from 27 – 31 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 46
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 27 – 30 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
RAND poll of likely voters conducted 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 45
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 28 – 30 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 46
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
National Journal poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
Gallup poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 51
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.4/46.6
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.4/43.6
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 284/254
Obama 299/239
Obama 291/247
Obama 330/208
Obama 304/234
Obama 300/238
Obama 279/259
Obama 327/211
Obama 287/251
Romney 279/259
According to the simulations President Obama has a 90% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 10%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 229/206.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, senate candidates, state polls, Tea Party, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
Happy Halloween – Trick-or-Treat – six days left until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s busy collecting food for his disaster photo op capitalizing on the devastation from “Frankenstorm” as only he can for political gain, while a real leader in the GOTP, GOV Chris Christie of New Jersey’s giving credit where credit’s due for the President’s and FEMA’s response to the storm.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President?
The CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12 has President Obama with a 46% favorability compared to Willard Romney at 44% favorability rating, so, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 26 – 29 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 48/Romney 49
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
CBS News/NY Times poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 47
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted 24 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 25 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
Public Policy Polling poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 24 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
NPR poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 25 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 48
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears President Obama is edging out GOTP challenger Willard Mitt Romney in the general election 47.5/47.2
On this day four years ago, SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately McCain lost to SEN Obama by a margin of 50.0/43.5.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 317/221
Obama 334/204
Obama 343/195
Obama 276/262
Obama 300/238
Obama 287/251
Obama 314/224
Obama 280/258
Romney 286/252
Romney 293/245
According to the simulations, President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based on national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, halloween trick, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, Politics, post poll, research poll, times poll
Just seven short days to go until the November election and while the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast is busy dealing with Hurricane Sandy – aka “Frankenstorm”, Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s doubling down on his lies and misinformation, attempting to persuade voters in Ohio with new ads claiming it was he who saved the auto industry, and that President Obama’s shipping Jeep jobs to China. If you’ve ever wondered how far someone would go to win the presidency you now have a very real text book example in Romney; he’s willing to say anything, do anything in order to get elected.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The NPR poll of likely voters conducted from 23 – 25 Oct 12 has the President and Romney tied with a 51% favorability rating, but, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the liberal electorate) – the most recent Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 28 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 49
Meanwhile in the Gallup – anomaly – Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 25 – 28 Oct 12:
Romney 51/President Obama 46
IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 27 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 44
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 22 – 25 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls – counting the anomalous Gallup Poll – it appears Willard Mitt Romney edges out the President Obama in the general election 47.8/47.2; however – excluding the anomalous Gallup Poll – the opposite is found with the President edging out Romney 47.5/47.
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.9/43.9 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 30 Oct 12
Obama 303/235
Obama 290/248
Obama 272/266
Obama 286/252
Obama 288/250
Obama 303/235
Obama 290/248
Obama 307/231
Romney 288/250
Romney 276/262
According to the simulations President Obama has an 80% chance of winning compared with Romney’s 20%.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 234/201.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Auto industry, Barrack Obama for President, battleground poll, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, national polls, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, pew research poll, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, Tea Party, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
We’re down to a scant two (2) weeks – 14 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney’s reeling from the smack down he took in New York coupled with the thumping he received in Florida last night, including the fact we’re all out of horses and bayonets; can he recover from such a pummeling by the President of the United States? Sure he can because “everyone loves Mitt” – said nobody ever.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12 has the President with a 52% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 50%. So, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent IBD/TIPP poll of likely voters conducted from 17 – 22 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 45
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Gallup Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 16 – 22 Oct 12:
Romney 51/President Obama 46
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of registered voters conducted from 18 – 21 Oct 12:
Romney 48/President Obama 45
CBS News poll of registered voters conducted from 17 – 20 Oct 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 46
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl poll of likely voters conducted from 17 – 20 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
WashTimes/JZ Analytics* poll of likely voters conducted from 18 – 20 Oct 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 50.1/42.6 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls it appears Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 318/220:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 23 Oct 12.
Obama 327/211
Obama 316/222
Obama 284/254
Obama 303/235
Obama 299/239
Romney 292/246
Romney 282/256
Romney 279/259
Romney 298/240
Romney 286/252
Of 10 simulations President Obama and Romney split even at five apiece.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 55/45; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 230/205.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, bayonets, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, electorate, FOX News, ipsos poll, jrnl, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, surveyusa, Tea Party, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice, washtimes
Three (3) weeks – 21 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney will debate President Obama in round three of the presidential/vice presidential debates; round one went to Romney, and round two (VP debate) went to Vice President Biden, but who will win round three? Romney has two choices, continue the 180 charade (no doubt the President will be prepared for that) or return to uber-right wing Mitt (what the President was prepared for before Denver). It may prove he should’ve pulled the 180 switch tonight, meaning he shot his wad too soon – which does not have its origin in sexual connotations. The real question is which President Obama will show up; the election is his to lose not Romney’s to win. Tonight’s debate is in a town hall format, which should favor the President, one thing’s for sure, the President can’t allow the challenger to set the tone as he did in Denver.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
The Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 7 – 11 Oct 12 has the President with a 53% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 51%. So, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 10 – 13 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 49/Romney 46
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 8 – 14 Oct 12 had different numbers:
President Obama 47/Romney 49
IBD/TIPP Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 9 – 14 Oct 12:
President Obama 47/Romney 47
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of registered voters conducted from 7 – 11 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun poll of registered voters conducted from 8 – 10 Oct 12:
President Obama 46/Romney 47
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 49
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 4 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.5/42.7 and ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls, Willard Mitt Romney loses to President Obama in the general election.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 303/235.
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 16 Oct 12
Obama 305/233
Obama 295/243
Obama 317/221
Obama 279/259
Obama 321/217
Obama 294/244
Obama 287/251
Romney 283/255
Romney 299/239
Romney 280/258
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
As to the status of the United States Congress, according to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 54-46; while Democrats will be picking up at least 13 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 229/206.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, different numbers, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, FOX News, gwu battleground poll, hurricane isaac, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, sexual connotations, state polls, tracking poll, two choices, vice presidential debates, vp candidates, vp choice, vp debate
Just four (4) weeks – 28 days – until the November election and Republican Tea Party (GOTP) presidential footnote Willard Mitt Romney seems to have found a slight bounce from his “performance” during the Denver Presidential Debate where there was lots of energy but very little substance or facts (27 lies in 38 minutes worth). Of course conservative pundits galore have been exalting how this was the big turnaround, the moment when Mitt saved his candidacy – and conservative pollsters are of course showing a huge bounce, while other polling groups show next to nothing, or nothing; this “bounce” is however a façade and it won’t hold up. Romney’s campaign’s a walking, talking straw man looking for a lit torch; lots of words, no substance and highly combustible.
Two days to the vice-presidential debate and it’s sure to be a knock down affair as the running mates are turned loose on each other; who will win? Ryan and Biden both are exceptional, passionate speakers; The Vice President’s prone to putting his foot in his mouth while his opponent – it appears – couldn’t find the truth with both hands and a flash light. Look for the Vice-President to come out swinging and to knock Ryan around.
So, how does the GOTP candidate stand up against the President this week?
Post debate favorability ABC News/Wash Post poll of registered voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12, showed the President with a 55% favorability rating compared to Romney’s 47%. Whatever “bounce” Romney may have garnered from his “performance” in Denver, it didn’t really help is favorability – no big surprise; when you act like a spoiled bully you’re going to be perceived as a spoiled bully.
So, who’s more electable right now?
In the most recent viable’ national poll(s) – which are any group other than the WeAskAmerica or Rasmussen (which are generally always skewed not just to the right, but far to the right – usually by five or more points) or ARG (which only polls landline phone numbers, thus eliminating a huge portion of the electorate) – the most recent Gallup Tracking poll of likely voters conducted from 1 – 8 Oct 12, if the general election was held today:
President Obama 47/Romney 49
Gallup Tracking poll of registered voters conducted from 1 – 7 Oct 12 had different numbers:
President Obama 50/Romney 45
Quite a turnaround in a single day of polling, and begs the question, “What’s up at Gallup”?
According to other recent polls, if the general election was held today …
Pew Research poll of likely voters conducted from 4 – 7 Oct 12:
President Obama 45/Romney 49
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of registered voters conducted from 1 – 4 Oct 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 48
CNN/Opinion Research poll of registered voters conducted from 28 – 30 Sep 12:
President Obama 50/Romney 47
ABC News/Wash Post poll of likely voters conducted from 26 – 29 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 47
Politico/GWU/Battleground poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 27 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 47
FOX News poll of likely voters conducted from 24 – 26 Sep 12:
President Obama 48/Romney 43
Bloomberg poll of likely voters conducted from 21-24 Sep 12:
President Obama 49/Romney 43
On this day four years ago SEN Obama led SEN McCain in the polls 49.1/43.5; after mediocre debate performances and a disastrous VP pick, SEN McCain would never lead again in the polls ultimately losing to SEN Obama by a margin of 52.1/44.5.
So, if the general election was held today, according to the latest national polls, Willard Mitt Romney defeats President Obama in the general election.
According to state polls, if the General Election were held TODAY (note these are based on current poll numbers – not projections), the Electoral College totals based on all available current poll numbers President Obama defeats Romney 332/206:
As a comparison, President Obama defeated John McCain 365/173 in 2008
Results of 10 consecutive simulations based on poll data as of 9 Oct 12
Obama 328/210
Obama 341/197
Obama 346/192
Obama 293/245
Obama 293/245
Obama 288/250
Obama 332/206
Romney 271/267
Romney 280/258
Obama 337/201
Of 10 simulations the President beats Romney eight times and usually by very comfortable margins; the two Romney wins are very marginal with absolutely no room for error.
The simulations use cumulative polling data by state and are not based off of national polling data.
According to polling data available if the election was held today the Democratic Party would retain its majority in the United States Senate 56-44; while Democrats will be picking up at least 14 seats in the House of Representatives, the GOTP would retain control of the lower House, but just barely at 229/206.
Tags: 2012 Election, 2012 Electoral Map, 2012 presidential polls, ABC News, Barrack Obama for President, cbs news, cnn, congressman paul, congressman paul ryan, current poll, d poll, democracy corps, double digits, Election 2012, elections 2012, FOX News, hurricane isaac, ipsos poll, Mitt Romney, Mitt Romney 2012, national poll, nbc news, news poll, obama, Obama/Biden 2012, opinion research, Politics, poll numbers, post poll, presidential polling sites 2012, registered voters, research poll, Romney 2012, Romney-Ryan 2012, s poll, Sarah Palin, senate candidates, state polls, tracking poll, vp candidates, vp choice
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